Predicted match statistics
Goals
35%
27%
39%
homeawaytotalprediction1.221.312.53safe0.25–2.190.45–2.160.70–4.35safer0.00–2.440.22–2.390.22–4.83
Shots on target
43%
14%
43%
homeawaytotalprediction4.114.128.23safe2.25–5.982.38–5.864.63–11.84safer1.76–6.461.91–6.333.67–12.79
Total shots
53%
40%
homeawaytotalprediction13.6312.7726.40safe9.70–17.559.21–16.3318.91–33.88safer8.61–18.648.25–17.2916.86–35.93
Shots in box
53%
37%
homeawaytotalprediction8.167.3215.48safe5.22–11.104.64–10.009.86–21.10safer4.39–11.933.90–10.748.29–22.67
Blocked shots
37%
15%
48%
homeawaytotalprediction3.323.717.02safe1.44–5.202.05–5.363.49–10.56safer0.89–5.741.56–5.852.45–11.59
Corners
47%
13%
39%
homeawaytotalprediction4.724.429.14safe2.51–6.932.42–6.424.93–13.35safer1.93–7.511.89–6.963.82–14.46
Possession %
40%
55%
homeawayprediction48.2251.38safe41.43–55.0144.59–58.16safer39.76–56.6842.92–59.83
Passes
41%
58%
homeawaytotalprediction404430834safe337–471364–496700–968safer319–489346–514665–1003
Pass accuracy %
38%
57%
homeawayprediction81.2883.15safe77.25–85.3178.83–87.48safer75.96–86.6077.52–88.79
Fouls
40%
53%
homeawaytotalprediction13.0513.8926.95safe10.22–15.8910.95–16.8421.16–32.73safer9.46–16.6510.20–17.5819.66–34.23
Offsides
43%
25%
32%
homeawaytotalprediction1.511.252.76safe0.35–2.670.16–2.340.50–5.01safer0.05–2.970.00–2.630.00–5.60
Yellow cards
37%
20%
43%
homeawaytotalprediction2.072.234.29safe1.02–3.111.10–3.362.11–6.47safer0.75–3.380.81–3.651.56–7.03
Red cards
82%
homeawaytotalprediction0.110.110.21safe0.00–0.270.00–0.300.00–0.56safer0.00–0.420.00–0.430.00–0.84
GK saves
44%
16%
39%
homeawaytotalprediction3.122.986.10safe1.69–4.561.42–4.533.11–9.09safer1.30–4.950.99–4.962.29–9.90
| Stat | Homepred / safe / safer | Awaypred / safe / safer | Totalpred / safe / safer | Who wins |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Goals | 1.22 0.25–2.19 0.00–2.44 | 1.31 0.45–2.16 0.22–2.39 | 2.53 0.70–4.35 0.22–4.83 | 35% 27% 39% |
| Shots on target | 4.11 2.25–5.98 1.76–6.46 | 4.12 2.38–5.86 1.91–6.33 | 8.23 4.63–11.84 3.67–12.79 | 43% 14% 43% |
| Total shots | 13.63 9.70–17.55 8.61–18.64 | 12.77 9.21–16.33 8.25–17.29 | 26.40 18.91–33.88 16.86–35.93 | 53% 40% |
| Shots in box | 8.16 5.22–11.10 4.39–11.93 | 7.32 4.64–10.00 3.90–10.74 | 15.48 9.86–21.10 8.29–22.67 | 53% 37% |
| Blocked shots | 3.32 1.44–5.20 0.89–5.74 | 3.71 2.05–5.36 1.56–5.85 | 7.02 3.49–10.56 2.45–11.59 | 37% 15% 48% |
| Corners | 4.72 2.51–6.93 1.93–7.51 | 4.42 2.42–6.42 1.89–6.96 | 9.14 4.93–13.35 3.82–14.46 | 47% 13% 39% |
| Possession % | 48.22 41.43–55.01 39.76–56.68 | 51.38 44.59–58.16 42.92–59.83 | — | 40% 55% |
| Passes | 404 337–471 319–489 | 430 364–496 346–514 | 834 700–968 665–1003 | 41% 58% |
| Pass accuracy % | 81.28 77.25–85.31 75.96–86.60 | 83.15 78.83–87.48 77.52–88.79 | — | 38% 57% |
| Fouls | 13.05 10.22–15.89 9.46–16.65 | 13.89 10.95–16.84 10.20–17.58 | 26.95 21.16–32.73 19.66–34.23 | 40% 53% |
| Offsides | 1.51 0.35–2.67 0.05–2.97 | 1.25 0.16–2.34 0.00–2.63 | 2.76 0.50–5.01 0.00–5.60 | 43% 25% 32% |
| Yellow cards | 2.07 1.02–3.11 0.75–3.38 | 2.23 1.10–3.36 0.81–3.65 | 4.29 2.11–6.47 1.56–7.03 | 37% 20% 43% |
| Red cards | 0.11 0.00–0.27 0.00–0.42 | 0.11 0.00–0.30 0.00–0.43 | 0.21 0.00–0.56 0.00–0.84 | 82% |
| GK saves | 3.12 1.69–4.56 1.30–4.95 | 2.98 1.42–4.53 0.99–4.96 | 6.10 3.11–9.09 2.29–9.90 | 44% 16% 39% |
safe = prediction ± MAE · safer = ± RMSE of the serving model for that statistic. The bars show the model's own chance of each side recording more of that statistic — a Poisson approximation from the predicted rates, with the two teams treated as independent
Statistical estimates for information & entertainment only — not betting advice.

