Süper Lig·Regular Season - 27·
Süper Lig·Regular Season - 27·Predicted match statistics
Goals
45%
26%
28%
homeawaytotalprediction1.441.072.50safe0.47–2.400.21–1.920.68–4.33safer0.22–2.660.00–2.150.20–4.81
Shots on target
59%
28%
homeawaytotalprediction5.043.868.91safe3.18–6.912.12–5.605.30–12.51safer2.69–7.401.65–6.074.35–13.47
Total shots
76%
19%
homeawaytotalprediction15.7211.5727.29safe11.80–19.658.00–15.1319.80–34.77safer10.71–20.747.04–16.0917.75–36.82
Shots in box
61%
29%
homeawaytotalprediction8.977.2916.25safe6.02–11.914.61–9.9710.63–21.88safer5.19–12.743.87–10.719.06–23.44
Blocked shots
65%
22%
homeawaytotalprediction4.492.947.43safe2.61–6.371.29–4.603.90–10.97safer2.06–6.920.80–5.092.86–12.00
Corners
63%
25%
homeawaytotalprediction5.523.999.51safe3.31–7.731.99–5.995.30–13.73safer2.73–8.311.46–6.534.19–14.83
Possession %
75%
21%
homeawayprediction56.4244.06safe49.63–63.2137.28–50.85safer47.96–64.8835.61–52.52
Passes
79%
21%
homeawaytotalprediction468371840safe401–536305–438706–973safer383–554287–455670–1009
Pass accuracy %
72%
24%
homeawayprediction85.2280.18safe81.19–89.2575.86–84.50safer79.90–90.5474.55–85.81
Fouls
48%
45%
homeawaytotalprediction13.3713.1926.56safe10.54–16.2110.24–16.1320.78–32.34safer9.78–16.979.49–16.8819.27–33.84
Offsides
34%
25%
41%
homeawaytotalprediction1.321.472.78safe0.16–2.480.38–2.560.53–5.04safer0.00–2.780.09–2.850.00–5.63
Yellow cards
35%
21%
44%
homeawaytotalprediction1.782.023.79safe0.73–2.830.89–3.151.61–5.97safer0.46–3.090.60–3.441.06–6.53
Red cards
82%
homeawaytotalprediction0.080.120.20safe0.00–0.240.00–0.310.00–0.55safer0.00–0.390.00–0.440.00–0.83
GK saves
30%
16%
54%
homeawaytotalprediction2.663.466.12safe1.23–4.101.90–5.013.13–9.11safer0.84–4.491.48–5.442.32–9.93
| Stat | Homepred / safe / safer | Awaypred / safe / safer | Totalpred / safe / safer | Who wins |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Goals | 1.44 0.47–2.40 0.22–2.66 | 1.07 0.21–1.92 0.00–2.15 | 2.50 0.68–4.33 0.20–4.81 | 45% 26% 28% |
| Shots on target | 5.04 3.18–6.91 2.69–7.40 | 3.86 2.12–5.60 1.65–6.07 | 8.91 5.30–12.51 4.35–13.47 | 59% 28% |
| Total shots | 15.72 11.80–19.65 10.71–20.74 | 11.57 8.00–15.13 7.04–16.09 | 27.29 19.80–34.77 17.75–36.82 | 76% 19% |
| Shots in box | 8.97 6.02–11.91 5.19–12.74 | 7.29 4.61–9.97 3.87–10.71 | 16.25 10.63–21.88 9.06–23.44 | 61% 29% |
| Blocked shots | 4.49 2.61–6.37 2.06–6.92 | 2.94 1.29–4.60 0.80–5.09 | 7.43 3.90–10.97 2.86–12.00 | 65% 22% |
| Corners | 5.52 3.31–7.73 2.73–8.31 | 3.99 1.99–5.99 1.46–6.53 | 9.51 5.30–13.73 4.19–14.83 | 63% 25% |
| Possession % | 56.42 49.63–63.21 47.96–64.88 | 44.06 37.28–50.85 35.61–52.52 | — | 75% 21% |
| Passes | 468 401–536 383–554 | 371 305–438 287–455 | 840 706–973 670–1009 | 79% 21% |
| Pass accuracy % | 85.22 81.19–89.25 79.90–90.54 | 80.18 75.86–84.50 74.55–85.81 | — | 72% 24% |
| Fouls | 13.37 10.54–16.21 9.78–16.97 | 13.19 10.24–16.13 9.49–16.88 | 26.56 20.78–32.34 19.27–33.84 | 48% 45% |
| Offsides | 1.32 0.16–2.48 0.00–2.78 | 1.47 0.38–2.56 0.09–2.85 | 2.78 0.53–5.04 0.00–5.63 | 34% 25% 41% |
| Yellow cards | 1.78 0.73–2.83 0.46–3.09 | 2.02 0.89–3.15 0.60–3.44 | 3.79 1.61–5.97 1.06–6.53 | 35% 21% 44% |
| Red cards | 0.08 0.00–0.24 0.00–0.39 | 0.12 0.00–0.31 0.00–0.44 | 0.20 0.00–0.55 0.00–0.83 | 82% |
| GK saves | 2.66 1.23–4.10 0.84–4.49 | 3.46 1.90–5.01 1.48–5.44 | 6.12 3.13–9.11 2.32–9.93 | 30% 16% 54% |
safe = prediction ± MAE · safer = ± RMSE of the serving model for that statistic. The bars show the model's own chance of each side recording more of that statistic — a Poisson approximation from the predicted rates, with the two teams treated as independent
Statistical estimates for information & entertainment only — not betting advice.