Süper Lig·Regular Season - 10·
Süper Lig·Regular Season - 10·Predicted match statistics
Goals
21%
23%
56%
homeawaytotalprediction1.051.852.90safe0.08–2.011.00–2.711.07–4.72safer0.00–2.260.77–2.930.59–5.20
Shots on target
20%
69%
homeawaytotalprediction3.715.739.45safe1.85–5.583.99–7.475.84–13.05safer1.36–6.073.52–7.944.89–14.01
Total shots
19%
75%
homeawaytotalprediction11.2515.1726.42safe7.32–15.1711.60–18.7318.93–33.90safer6.23–16.2710.64–19.6916.88–35.95
Shots in box
18%
75%
homeawaytotalprediction7.0310.3817.42safe4.09–9.987.70–13.0611.79–23.04safer3.26–10.816.96–13.8010.23–24.61
Blocked shots
24%
14%
62%
homeawaytotalprediction2.854.207.05safe0.97–4.732.55–5.853.51–10.58safer0.42–5.272.06–6.352.48–11.62
Corners
24%
64%
homeawaytotalprediction3.985.629.60safe1.77–6.203.62–7.625.39–13.81safer1.20–6.773.08–8.154.28–14.92
Possession %
20%
77%
homeawayprediction43.0956.58safe36.30–49.8849.79–63.36safer34.63–51.5548.12–65.04
Passes
19%
81%
homeawaytotalprediction353458811safe285–420392–525677–945safer267–438374–542642–980
Pass accuracy %
18%
78%
homeawayprediction77.5584.12safe73.52–81.5879.80–88.45safer72.23–82.8878.49–89.76
Fouls
43%
49%
homeawaytotalprediction11.6712.0423.71safe8.83–14.519.10–14.9917.93–29.49safer8.08–15.268.35–15.7316.42–31.00
Offsides
53%
19%
27%
homeawaytotalprediction2.411.724.13safe1.25–3.570.63–2.821.88–6.39safer0.95–3.870.34–3.101.29–6.98
Yellow cards
42%
19%
39%
homeawaytotalprediction2.312.214.52safe1.26–3.361.08–3.342.34–6.70safer0.99–3.620.79–3.631.78–7.25
Red cards
15%
77%
homeawaytotalprediction0.180.100.28safe0.02–0.340.00–0.280.00–0.63safer0.00–0.490.00–0.420.00–0.91
GK saves
60%
15%
25%
homeawaytotalprediction3.822.636.44safe2.38–5.251.07–4.183.45–9.44safer1.99–5.640.65–4.612.64–10.25
| Stat | Homepred / safe / safer | Awaypred / safe / safer | Totalpred / safe / safer | Who wins |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Goals | 1.05 0.08–2.01 0.00–2.26 | 1.85 1.00–2.71 0.77–2.93 | 2.90 1.07–4.72 0.59–5.20 | 21% 23% 56% |
| Shots on target | 3.71 1.85–5.58 1.36–6.07 | 5.73 3.99–7.47 3.52–7.94 | 9.45 5.84–13.05 4.89–14.01 | 20% 69% |
| Total shots | 11.25 7.32–15.17 6.23–16.27 | 15.17 11.60–18.73 10.64–19.69 | 26.42 18.93–33.90 16.88–35.95 | 19% 75% |
| Shots in box | 7.03 4.09–9.98 3.26–10.81 | 10.38 7.70–13.06 6.96–13.80 | 17.42 11.79–23.04 10.23–24.61 | 18% 75% |
| Blocked shots | 2.85 0.97–4.73 0.42–5.27 | 4.20 2.55–5.85 2.06–6.35 | 7.05 3.51–10.58 2.48–11.62 | 24% 14% 62% |
| Corners | 3.98 1.77–6.20 1.20–6.77 | 5.62 3.62–7.62 3.08–8.15 | 9.60 5.39–13.81 4.28–14.92 | 24% 64% |
| Possession % | 43.09 36.30–49.88 34.63–51.55 | 56.58 49.79–63.36 48.12–65.04 | — | 20% 77% |
| Passes | 353 285–420 267–438 | 458 392–525 374–542 | 811 677–945 642–980 | 19% 81% |
| Pass accuracy % | 77.55 73.52–81.58 72.23–82.88 | 84.12 79.80–88.45 78.49–89.76 | — | 18% 78% |
| Fouls | 11.67 8.83–14.51 8.08–15.26 | 12.04 9.10–14.99 8.35–15.73 | 23.71 17.93–29.49 16.42–31.00 | 43% 49% |
| Offsides | 2.41 1.25–3.57 0.95–3.87 | 1.72 0.63–2.82 0.34–3.10 | 4.13 1.88–6.39 1.29–6.98 | 53% 19% 27% |
| Yellow cards | 2.31 1.26–3.36 0.99–3.62 | 2.21 1.08–3.34 0.79–3.63 | 4.52 2.34–6.70 1.78–7.25 | 42% 19% 39% |
| Red cards | 0.18 0.02–0.34 0.00–0.49 | 0.10 0.00–0.28 0.00–0.42 | 0.28 0.00–0.63 0.00–0.91 | 15% 77% |
| GK saves | 3.82 2.38–5.25 1.99–5.64 | 2.63 1.07–4.18 0.65–4.61 | 6.44 3.45–9.44 2.64–10.25 | 60% 15% 25% |
safe = prediction ± MAE · safer = ± RMSE of the serving model for that statistic. The bars show the model's own chance of each side recording more of that statistic — a Poisson approximation from the predicted rates, with the two teams treated as independent
Statistical estimates for information & entertainment only — not betting advice.18+