Predicted match statistics
Goals
72%
17%
homeawaytotalprediction2.340.793.12safe1.37–3.310.00–1.641.30–4.95safer1.12–3.560.00–1.870.82–5.43
Shots on target
89%
homeawaytotalprediction7.122.859.96safe5.25–8.981.11–4.596.36–13.57safer4.76–9.470.64–5.065.40–14.53
Total shots
97%
homeawaytotalprediction19.308.9128.21safe15.37–23.225.35–12.4720.72–35.69safer14.28–24.324.39–13.4318.67–37.75
Shots in box
96%
homeawaytotalprediction13.195.4118.60safe10.25–16.132.73–8.0912.98–24.22safer9.42–16.961.99–8.8311.41–25.79
Blocked shots
82%
homeawaytotalprediction5.092.167.25safe3.21–6.980.50–3.813.71–10.78safer2.67–7.520.01–4.302.68–11.82
Corners
88%
homeawaytotalprediction7.032.889.92safe4.82–9.250.88–4.885.70–14.13safer4.25–9.820.35–5.424.60–15.24
Possession %
87%
homeawayprediction60.6040.18safe53.81–67.3933.40–46.97safer52.14–69.0631.72–48.64
Passes
93%
homeawaytotalprediction511335846safe444–578269–402713–980safer426–596251–419677–1016
Pass accuracy %
85%
homeawayprediction86.3977.80safe82.36–90.4273.48–82.13safer81.06–91.7172.17–83.44
Fouls
43%
49%
homeawaytotalprediction12.0412.4324.47safe9.21–14.889.49–15.3718.69–30.26safer8.45–15.648.74–16.1217.19–31.76
Offsides
32%
21%
47%
homeawaytotalprediction1.672.073.74safe0.51–2.830.98–3.161.48–5.99safer0.21–3.130.69–3.450.89–6.58
Yellow cards
24%
19%
57%
homeawaytotalprediction1.622.484.10safe0.57–2.661.35–3.611.92–6.28safer0.30–2.931.06–3.901.36–6.83
Red cards
81%
14%
homeawaytotalprediction0.060.160.22safe0.00–0.220.00–0.350.00–0.57safer0.00–0.370.00–0.480.00–0.85
GK saves
14%
75%
homeawaytotalprediction2.094.306.38safe0.65–3.522.74–5.853.39–9.38safer0.26–3.912.32–6.282.58–10.19
| Stat | Homepred / safe / safer | Awaypred / safe / safer | Totalpred / safe / safer | Who wins |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Goals | 2.34 1.37–3.31 1.12–3.56 | 0.79 0.00–1.64 0.00–1.87 | 3.12 1.30–4.95 0.82–5.43 | 72% 17% |
| Shots on target | 7.12 5.25–8.98 4.76–9.47 | 2.85 1.11–4.59 0.64–5.06 | 9.96 6.36–13.57 5.40–14.53 | 89% |
| Total shots | 19.30 15.37–23.22 14.28–24.32 | 8.91 5.35–12.47 4.39–13.43 | 28.21 20.72–35.69 18.67–37.75 | 97% |
| Shots in box | 13.19 10.25–16.13 9.42–16.96 | 5.41 2.73–8.09 1.99–8.83 | 18.60 12.98–24.22 11.41–25.79 | 96% |
| Blocked shots | 5.09 3.21–6.98 2.67–7.52 | 2.16 0.50–3.81 0.01–4.30 | 7.25 3.71–10.78 2.68–11.82 | 82% |
| Corners | 7.03 4.82–9.25 4.25–9.82 | 2.88 0.88–4.88 0.35–5.42 | 9.92 5.70–14.13 4.60–15.24 | 88% |
| Possession % | 60.60 53.81–67.39 52.14–69.06 | 40.18 33.40–46.97 31.72–48.64 | — | 87% |
| Passes | 511 444–578 426–596 | 335 269–402 251–419 | 846 713–980 677–1016 | 93% |
| Pass accuracy % | 86.39 82.36–90.42 81.06–91.71 | 77.80 73.48–82.13 72.17–83.44 | — | 85% |
| Fouls | 12.04 9.21–14.88 8.45–15.64 | 12.43 9.49–15.37 8.74–16.12 | 24.47 18.69–30.26 17.19–31.76 | 43% 49% |
| Offsides | 1.67 0.51–2.83 0.21–3.13 | 2.07 0.98–3.16 0.69–3.45 | 3.74 1.48–5.99 0.89–6.58 | 32% 21% 47% |
| Yellow cards | 1.62 0.57–2.66 0.30–2.93 | 2.48 1.35–3.61 1.06–3.90 | 4.10 1.92–6.28 1.36–6.83 | 24% 19% 57% |
| Red cards | 0.06 0.00–0.22 0.00–0.37 | 0.16 0.00–0.35 0.00–0.48 | 0.22 0.00–0.57 0.00–0.85 | 81% 14% |
| GK saves | 2.09 0.65–3.52 0.26–3.91 | 4.30 2.74–5.85 2.32–6.28 | 6.38 3.39–9.38 2.58–10.19 | 14% 75% |
safe = prediction ± MAE · safer = ± RMSE of the serving model for that statistic. The bars show the model's own chance of each side recording more of that statistic — a Poisson approximation from the predicted rates, with the two teams treated as independent
Statistical estimates for information & entertainment only — not betting advice.

