Süper Lig·Regular Season - 10·
Süper Lig·Regular Season - 10·Predicted match statistics
Goals
68%
19%
14%
homeawaytotalprediction2.220.883.10safe1.25–3.190.03–1.731.28–4.92safer1.00–3.440.00–1.960.80–5.40
Shots on target
80%
homeawaytotalprediction6.323.269.59safe4.46–8.191.52–5.015.98–13.19safer3.97–8.681.06–5.475.03–14.15
Total shots
94%
homeawaytotalprediction17.198.8826.06safe13.26–21.115.31–12.4418.58–33.55safer12.17–22.204.35–13.4016.53–35.60
Shots in box
89%
homeawaytotalprediction11.065.5416.60safe8.12–14.002.86–8.2210.98–22.22safer7.29–14.832.12–8.969.41–23.79
Blocked shots
78%
homeawaytotalprediction4.502.076.57safe2.62–6.390.41–3.723.03–10.10safer2.08–6.930.00–4.212.00–11.14
Corners
79%
homeawaytotalprediction6.373.369.73safe4.15–8.581.36–5.365.51–13.94safer3.58–9.160.83–5.894.41–15.05
Possession %
90%
homeawayprediction61.2938.84safe54.50–68.0832.06–45.63safer52.83–69.7530.39–47.30
Passes
93%
homeawaytotalprediction511330841safe443–578264–397707–974safer425–596246–414671–1010
Pass accuracy %
81%
16%
homeawayprediction84.4577.19safe80.42–88.4872.86–81.51safer79.13–89.7871.55–82.82
Fouls
48%
45%
homeawaytotalprediction13.4713.2826.74safe10.63–16.3010.33–16.2220.96–32.52safer9.87–17.069.58–16.9719.45–34.03
Offsides
29%
22%
49%
homeawaytotalprediction1.511.993.51safe0.35–2.670.90–3.091.25–5.76safer0.05–2.980.61–3.370.66–6.35
Yellow cards
31%
19%
50%
homeawaytotalprediction1.972.514.48safe0.92–3.021.38–3.642.30–6.66safer0.66–3.291.09–3.931.74–7.21
Red cards
80%
homeawaytotalprediction0.080.150.23safe0.00–0.240.00–0.330.00–0.58safer0.00–0.390.00–0.470.00–0.86
GK saves
18%
69%
homeawaytotalprediction2.304.096.39safe0.86–3.732.53–5.653.40–9.38safer0.48–4.122.11–6.072.58–10.19
| Stat | Homepred / safe / safer | Awaypred / safe / safer | Totalpred / safe / safer | Who wins |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Goals | 2.22 1.25–3.19 1.00–3.44 | 0.88 0.03–1.73 0.00–1.96 | 3.10 1.28–4.92 0.80–5.40 | 68% 19% 14% |
| Shots on target | 6.32 4.46–8.19 3.97–8.68 | 3.26 1.52–5.01 1.06–5.47 | 9.59 5.98–13.19 5.03–14.15 | 80% |
| Total shots | 17.19 13.26–21.11 12.17–22.20 | 8.88 5.31–12.44 4.35–13.40 | 26.06 18.58–33.55 16.53–35.60 | 94% |
| Shots in box | 11.06 8.12–14.00 7.29–14.83 | 5.54 2.86–8.22 2.12–8.96 | 16.60 10.98–22.22 9.41–23.79 | 89% |
| Blocked shots | 4.50 2.62–6.39 2.08–6.93 | 2.07 0.41–3.72 0.00–4.21 | 6.57 3.03–10.10 2.00–11.14 | 78% |
| Corners | 6.37 4.15–8.58 3.58–9.16 | 3.36 1.36–5.36 0.83–5.89 | 9.73 5.51–13.94 4.41–15.05 | 79% |
| Possession % | 61.29 54.50–68.08 52.83–69.75 | 38.84 32.06–45.63 30.39–47.30 | — | 90% |
| Passes | 511 443–578 425–596 | 330 264–397 246–414 | 841 707–974 671–1010 | 93% |
| Pass accuracy % | 84.45 80.42–88.48 79.13–89.78 | 77.19 72.86–81.51 71.55–82.82 | — | 81% 16% |
| Fouls | 13.47 10.63–16.30 9.87–17.06 | 13.28 10.33–16.22 9.58–16.97 | 26.74 20.96–32.52 19.45–34.03 | 48% 45% |
| Offsides | 1.51 0.35–2.67 0.05–2.98 | 1.99 0.90–3.09 0.61–3.37 | 3.51 1.25–5.76 0.66–6.35 | 29% 22% 49% |
| Yellow cards | 1.97 0.92–3.02 0.66–3.29 | 2.51 1.38–3.64 1.09–3.93 | 4.48 2.30–6.66 1.74–7.21 | 31% 19% 50% |
| Red cards | 0.08 0.00–0.24 0.00–0.39 | 0.15 0.00–0.33 0.00–0.47 | 0.23 0.00–0.58 0.00–0.86 | 80% |
| GK saves | 2.30 0.86–3.73 0.48–4.12 | 4.09 2.53–5.65 2.11–6.07 | 6.39 3.40–9.38 2.58–10.19 | 18% 69% |
safe = prediction ± MAE · safer = ± RMSE of the serving model for that statistic. The bars show the model's own chance of each side recording more of that statistic — a Poisson approximation from the predicted rates, with the two teams treated as independent
Statistical estimates for information & entertainment only — not betting advice.