Süper Lig·Regular Season - 27·
Süper Lig·Regular Season - 27·Predicted match statistics
Goals
22%
22%
56%
homeawaytotalprediction1.121.923.03safe0.15–2.091.06–2.771.21–4.86safer0.00–2.340.83–3.000.73–5.34
Shots on target
22%
67%
homeawaytotalprediction3.795.629.42safe1.93–5.663.88–7.375.81–13.02safer1.44–6.153.42–7.834.86–13.98
Total shots
15%
79%
homeawaytotalprediction10.9615.7026.66safe7.04–14.8912.14–19.2619.18–34.15safer5.95–15.9811.18–20.2217.13–36.20
Shots in box
18%
75%
homeawaytotalprediction6.9710.2917.26safe4.03–9.917.61–12.9711.64–22.89safer3.20–10.746.87–13.7110.07–24.45
Blocked shots
21%
67%
homeawaytotalprediction2.664.296.95safe0.78–4.542.64–5.943.41–10.48safer0.23–5.082.14–6.432.38–11.52
Corners
24%
64%
homeawaytotalprediction3.965.579.53safe1.74–6.173.57–7.575.31–13.74safer1.17–6.743.04–8.104.21–14.85
Possession %
87%
homeawayprediction39.9959.68safe33.20–46.7852.89–66.46safer31.53–48.4551.22–68.13
Passes
90%
homeawaytotalprediction326478804safe259–393412–544671–938safer241–412394–562635–974
Pass accuracy %
18%
78%
homeawayprediction77.0883.63safe73.05–81.1079.31–87.96safer71.75–82.4078.00–89.27
Fouls
49%
43%
homeawaytotalprediction13.4113.0526.46safe10.57–16.2510.11–16.0020.68–32.24safer9.82–17.019.36–16.7419.18–33.75
Offsides
49%
22%
29%
homeawaytotalprediction1.981.503.49safe0.82–3.140.41–2.601.23–5.74safer0.52–3.440.12–2.890.64–6.33
Yellow cards
43%
19%
38%
homeawaytotalprediction2.372.224.59safe1.32–3.421.09–3.352.41–6.77safer1.06–3.690.80–3.641.86–7.33
Red cards
14%
74%
homeawaytotalprediction0.180.150.33safe0.01–0.340.00–0.340.00–0.67safer0.00–0.490.00–0.470.00–0.96
GK saves
59%
15%
26%
homeawaytotalprediction3.772.686.45safe2.33–5.201.12–4.243.45–9.44safer1.94–5.590.70–4.662.64–10.25
| Stat | Homepred / safe / safer | Awaypred / safe / safer | Totalpred / safe / safer | Who wins |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Goals | 1.12 0.15–2.09 0.00–2.34 | 1.92 1.06–2.77 0.83–3.00 | 3.03 1.21–4.86 0.73–5.34 | 22% 22% 56% |
| Shots on target | 3.79 1.93–5.66 1.44–6.15 | 5.62 3.88–7.37 3.42–7.83 | 9.42 5.81–13.02 4.86–13.98 | 22% 67% |
| Total shots | 10.96 7.04–14.89 5.95–15.98 | 15.70 12.14–19.26 11.18–20.22 | 26.66 19.18–34.15 17.13–36.20 | 15% 79% |
| Shots in box | 6.97 4.03–9.91 3.20–10.74 | 10.29 7.61–12.97 6.87–13.71 | 17.26 11.64–22.89 10.07–24.45 | 18% 75% |
| Blocked shots | 2.66 0.78–4.54 0.23–5.08 | 4.29 2.64–5.94 2.14–6.43 | 6.95 3.41–10.48 2.38–11.52 | 21% 67% |
| Corners | 3.96 1.74–6.17 1.17–6.74 | 5.57 3.57–7.57 3.04–8.10 | 9.53 5.31–13.74 4.21–14.85 | 24% 64% |
| Possession % | 39.99 33.20–46.78 31.53–48.45 | 59.68 52.89–66.46 51.22–68.13 | — | 87% |
| Passes | 326 259–393 241–412 | 478 412–544 394–562 | 804 671–938 635–974 | 90% |
| Pass accuracy % | 77.08 73.05–81.10 71.75–82.40 | 83.63 79.31–87.96 78.00–89.27 | — | 18% 78% |
| Fouls | 13.41 10.57–16.25 9.82–17.01 | 13.05 10.11–16.00 9.36–16.74 | 26.46 20.68–32.24 19.18–33.75 | 49% 43% |
| Offsides | 1.98 0.82–3.14 0.52–3.44 | 1.50 0.41–2.60 0.12–2.89 | 3.49 1.23–5.74 0.64–6.33 | 49% 22% 29% |
| Yellow cards | 2.37 1.32–3.42 1.06–3.69 | 2.22 1.09–3.35 0.80–3.64 | 4.59 2.41–6.77 1.86–7.33 | 43% 19% 38% |
| Red cards | 0.18 0.01–0.34 0.00–0.49 | 0.15 0.00–0.34 0.00–0.47 | 0.33 0.00–0.67 0.00–0.96 | 14% 74% |
| GK saves | 3.77 2.33–5.20 1.94–5.59 | 2.68 1.12–4.24 0.70–4.66 | 6.45 3.45–9.44 2.64–10.25 | 59% 15% 26% |
safe = prediction ± MAE · safer = ± RMSE of the serving model for that statistic. The bars show the model's own chance of each side recording more of that statistic — a Poisson approximation from the predicted rates, with the two teams treated as independent
Statistical estimates for information & entertainment only — not betting advice.