Süper Lig·Regular Season - 11·
Süper Lig·Regular Season - 11·Predicted match statistics
Goals
32%
26%
42%
homeawaytotalprediction1.221.452.68safe0.26–2.190.60–2.310.86–4.50safer0.01–2.440.37–2.540.38–4.98
Shots on target
37%
14%
49%
homeawaytotalprediction4.034.478.50safe2.16–5.892.73–6.224.90–12.11safer1.68–6.382.27–6.683.94–13.06
Total shots
36%
57%
homeawaytotalprediction11.6212.9624.59safe7.70–15.559.40–16.5317.10–32.07safer6.61–16.648.44–17.4815.05–34.12
Shots in box
48%
42%
homeawaytotalprediction7.867.5915.45safe4.92–10.814.91–10.279.83–21.08safer4.09–11.644.17–11.018.26–22.64
Blocked shots
33%
16%
52%
homeawaytotalprediction2.933.556.48safe1.05–4.811.90–5.202.95–10.02safer0.51–5.361.40–5.701.91–11.05
Corners
42%
13%
45%
homeawaytotalprediction4.524.649.16safe2.31–6.742.64–6.644.95–13.37safer1.73–7.312.11–7.173.84–14.48
Possession %
13%
84%
homeawayprediction40.8358.85safe34.04–47.6252.07–65.64safer32.37–49.2950.39–67.31
Passes
89%
homeawaytotalprediction325473798safe257–392406–539664–931safer239–410389–557628–967
Pass accuracy %
18%
78%
homeawayprediction76.6783.14safe72.64–80.7078.81–87.46safer71.35–81.9977.50–88.77
Fouls
47%
45%
homeawaytotalprediction13.0412.8725.91safe10.20–15.889.93–15.8120.13–31.69safer9.45–16.639.18–16.5618.62–33.20
Offsides
46%
21%
32%
homeawaytotalprediction2.031.673.70safe0.87–3.190.58–2.761.45–5.95safer0.57–3.490.29–3.050.86–6.54
Yellow cards
31%
19%
50%
homeawaytotalprediction1.962.474.43safe0.91–3.011.34–3.602.25–6.61safer0.64–3.281.05–3.891.69–7.16
Red cards
79%
homeawaytotalprediction0.120.140.25safe0.00–0.280.00–0.320.00–0.60safer0.00–0.430.00–0.460.00–0.88
GK saves
48%
17%
36%
homeawaytotalprediction3.172.805.97safe1.74–4.611.25–4.362.98–8.97safer1.35–5.000.82–4.782.17–9.78
| Stat | Homepred / safe / safer | Awaypred / safe / safer | Totalpred / safe / safer | Who wins |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Goals | 1.22 0.26–2.19 0.01–2.44 | 1.45 0.60–2.31 0.37–2.54 | 2.68 0.86–4.50 0.38–4.98 | 32% 26% 42% |
| Shots on target | 4.03 2.16–5.89 1.68–6.38 | 4.47 2.73–6.22 2.27–6.68 | 8.50 4.90–12.11 3.94–13.06 | 37% 14% 49% |
| Total shots | 11.62 7.70–15.55 6.61–16.64 | 12.96 9.40–16.53 8.44–17.48 | 24.59 17.10–32.07 15.05–34.12 | 36% 57% |
| Shots in box | 7.86 4.92–10.81 4.09–11.64 | 7.59 4.91–10.27 4.17–11.01 | 15.45 9.83–21.08 8.26–22.64 | 48% 42% |
| Blocked shots | 2.93 1.05–4.81 0.51–5.36 | 3.55 1.90–5.20 1.40–5.70 | 6.48 2.95–10.02 1.91–11.05 | 33% 16% 52% |
| Corners | 4.52 2.31–6.74 1.73–7.31 | 4.64 2.64–6.64 2.11–7.17 | 9.16 4.95–13.37 3.84–14.48 | 42% 13% 45% |
| Possession % | 40.83 34.04–47.62 32.37–49.29 | 58.85 52.07–65.64 50.39–67.31 | — | 13% 84% |
| Passes | 325 257–392 239–410 | 473 406–539 389–557 | 798 664–931 628–967 | 89% |
| Pass accuracy % | 76.67 72.64–80.70 71.35–81.99 | 83.14 78.81–87.46 77.50–88.77 | — | 18% 78% |
| Fouls | 13.04 10.20–15.88 9.45–16.63 | 12.87 9.93–15.81 9.18–16.56 | 25.91 20.13–31.69 18.62–33.20 | 47% 45% |
| Offsides | 2.03 0.87–3.19 0.57–3.49 | 1.67 0.58–2.76 0.29–3.05 | 3.70 1.45–5.95 0.86–6.54 | 46% 21% 32% |
| Yellow cards | 1.96 0.91–3.01 0.64–3.28 | 2.47 1.34–3.60 1.05–3.89 | 4.43 2.25–6.61 1.69–7.16 | 31% 19% 50% |
| Red cards | 0.12 0.00–0.28 0.00–0.43 | 0.14 0.00–0.32 0.00–0.46 | 0.25 0.00–0.60 0.00–0.88 | 79% |
| GK saves | 3.17 1.74–4.61 1.35–5.00 | 2.80 1.25–4.36 0.82–4.78 | 5.97 2.98–8.97 2.17–9.78 | 48% 17% 36% |
safe = prediction ± MAE · safer = ± RMSE of the serving model for that statistic. The bars show the model's own chance of each side recording more of that statistic — a Poisson approximation from the predicted rates, with the two teams treated as independent
Statistical estimates for information & entertainment only — not betting advice.