Süper Lig·Regular Season - 28·
Süper Lig·Regular Season - 28·Predicted match statistics
Goals
51%
25%
24%
homeawaytotalprediction1.611.042.65safe0.65–2.580.18–1.890.83–4.48safer0.40–2.830.00–2.120.35–4.96
Shots on target
64%
24%
homeawaytotalprediction5.223.658.87safe3.36–7.091.91–5.395.27–12.48safer2.87–7.571.44–5.864.31–13.43
Total shots
79%
16%
homeawaytotalprediction14.4810.0324.51safe10.55–18.406.47–13.6017.02–32.00safer9.46–19.495.51–14.5614.97–34.05
Shots in box
72%
20%
homeawaytotalprediction9.376.5715.94safe6.43–12.323.89–9.2510.32–21.57safer5.60–13.143.15–9.998.75–23.13
Blocked shots
70%
18%
homeawaytotalprediction4.042.256.30safe2.16–5.930.60–3.902.76–9.83safer1.62–6.470.11–4.401.72–10.87
Corners
63%
25%
homeawaytotalprediction5.503.989.48safe3.29–7.711.98–5.985.27–13.69safer2.71–8.291.45–6.514.16–14.80
Possession %
87%
homeawayprediction60.1940.42safe53.40–66.9833.64–47.21safer51.73–68.6531.97–48.88
Passes
90%
homeawaytotalprediction489337826safe422–556270–403692–960safer404–575253–421656–995
Pass accuracy %
76%
21%
homeawayprediction82.9877.13safe78.95–87.0172.80–81.45safer77.66–88.3071.50–82.76
Fouls
40%
52%
homeawaytotalprediction12.7113.4926.20safe9.87–15.5510.54–16.4320.42–31.98safer9.12–16.309.80–17.1818.91–33.49
Offsides
34%
21%
44%
homeawaytotalprediction1.752.013.75safe0.59–2.910.91–3.101.50–6.01safer0.29–3.210.63–3.390.91–6.60
Yellow cards
37%
19%
44%
homeawaytotalprediction2.132.324.45safe1.08–3.171.19–3.452.27–6.62safer0.81–3.440.90–3.741.71–7.18
Red cards
79%
homeawaytotalprediction0.110.140.25safe0.00–0.270.00–0.330.00–0.60safer0.00–0.420.00–0.460.00–0.88
GK saves
25%
15%
60%
homeawaytotalprediction2.453.566.01safe1.01–3.882.00–5.123.01–9.00safer0.62–4.271.58–5.542.20–9.81
| Stat | Homepred / safe / safer | Awaypred / safe / safer | Totalpred / safe / safer | Who wins |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Goals | 1.61 0.65–2.58 0.40–2.83 | 1.04 0.18–1.89 0.00–2.12 | 2.65 0.83–4.48 0.35–4.96 | 51% 25% 24% |
| Shots on target | 5.22 3.36–7.09 2.87–7.57 | 3.65 1.91–5.39 1.44–5.86 | 8.87 5.27–12.48 4.31–13.43 | 64% 24% |
| Total shots | 14.48 10.55–18.40 9.46–19.49 | 10.03 6.47–13.60 5.51–14.56 | 24.51 17.02–32.00 14.97–34.05 | 79% 16% |
| Shots in box | 9.37 6.43–12.32 5.60–13.14 | 6.57 3.89–9.25 3.15–9.99 | 15.94 10.32–21.57 8.75–23.13 | 72% 20% |
| Blocked shots | 4.04 2.16–5.93 1.62–6.47 | 2.25 0.60–3.90 0.11–4.40 | 6.30 2.76–9.83 1.72–10.87 | 70% 18% |
| Corners | 5.50 3.29–7.71 2.71–8.29 | 3.98 1.98–5.98 1.45–6.51 | 9.48 5.27–13.69 4.16–14.80 | 63% 25% |
| Possession % | 60.19 53.40–66.98 51.73–68.65 | 40.42 33.64–47.21 31.97–48.88 | — | 87% |
| Passes | 489 422–556 404–575 | 337 270–403 253–421 | 826 692–960 656–995 | 90% |
| Pass accuracy % | 82.98 78.95–87.01 77.66–88.30 | 77.13 72.80–81.45 71.50–82.76 | — | 76% 21% |
| Fouls | 12.71 9.87–15.55 9.12–16.30 | 13.49 10.54–16.43 9.80–17.18 | 26.20 20.42–31.98 18.91–33.49 | 40% 52% |
| Offsides | 1.75 0.59–2.91 0.29–3.21 | 2.01 0.91–3.10 0.63–3.39 | 3.75 1.50–6.01 0.91–6.60 | 34% 21% 44% |
| Yellow cards | 2.13 1.08–3.17 0.81–3.44 | 2.32 1.19–3.45 0.90–3.74 | 4.45 2.27–6.62 1.71–7.18 | 37% 19% 44% |
| Red cards | 0.11 0.00–0.27 0.00–0.42 | 0.14 0.00–0.33 0.00–0.46 | 0.25 0.00–0.60 0.00–0.88 | 79% |
| GK saves | 2.45 1.01–3.88 0.62–4.27 | 3.56 2.00–5.12 1.58–5.54 | 6.01 3.01–9.00 2.20–9.81 | 25% 15% 60% |
safe = prediction ± MAE · safer = ± RMSE of the serving model for that statistic. The bars show the model's own chance of each side recording more of that statistic — a Poisson approximation from the predicted rates, with the two teams treated as independent
Statistical estimates for information & entertainment only — not betting advice.