Süper Lig·Regular Season - 11·
Süper Lig·Regular Season - 11·Predicted match statistics
Goals
81%
homeawaytotalprediction2.830.733.55safe1.86–3.800.00–1.581.73–5.38safer1.61–4.050.00–1.811.25–5.86
Shots on target
92%
homeawaytotalprediction7.372.589.95safe5.50–9.230.84–4.326.34–13.55safer5.01–9.720.37–4.795.39–14.51
Total shots
99%
homeawaytotalprediction20.197.5127.70safe16.27–24.123.94–11.0720.21–35.18safer15.17–25.212.98–12.0318.16–37.23
Shots in box
99%
homeawaytotalprediction13.763.9317.69safe10.81–16.701.25–6.6112.07–23.31safer9.98–17.530.52–7.3510.50–24.88
Blocked shots
88%
homeawaytotalprediction5.541.967.50safe3.66–7.420.31–3.613.97–11.04safer3.12–7.970.00–4.112.93–12.07
Corners
94%
homeawaytotalprediction7.892.6210.51safe5.68–10.100.62–4.626.29–14.72safer5.10–10.680.08–5.155.18–15.83
Possession %
97%
homeawayprediction66.2934.43safe59.50–73.0827.65–41.22safer57.83–74.7525.98–42.89
Passes
99%
homeawaytotalprediction588313901safe520–655247–379767–1034safer502–673229–397731–1070
Pass accuracy %
96%
homeawayprediction86.5672.87safe82.53–90.5968.54–77.19safer81.24–91.8867.23–78.50
Fouls
34%
59%
homeawaytotalprediction12.2413.8426.08safe9.40–15.0810.89–16.7820.30–31.86safer8.65–15.8310.15–17.5318.79–33.36
Offsides
37%
22%
41%
homeawaytotalprediction1.701.793.49safe0.54–2.860.70–2.881.23–5.74safer0.24–3.160.41–3.170.64–6.33
Yellow cards
21%
18%
62%
homeawaytotalprediction1.562.694.25safe0.51–2.611.56–3.822.07–6.42safer0.24–2.871.27–4.111.51–6.98
Red cards
82%
13%
homeawaytotalprediction0.060.150.21safe0.00–0.220.00–0.340.00–0.56safer0.00–0.370.00–0.470.00–0.84
GK saves
85%
homeawaytotalprediction1.915.107.01safe0.48–3.353.55–6.664.02–10.01safer0.09–3.733.12–7.083.21–10.82
| Stat | Homepred / safe / safer | Awaypred / safe / safer | Totalpred / safe / safer | Who wins |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Goals | 2.83 1.86–3.80 1.61–4.05 | 0.73 0.00–1.58 0.00–1.81 | 3.55 1.73–5.38 1.25–5.86 | 81% |
| Shots on target | 7.37 5.50–9.23 5.01–9.72 | 2.58 0.84–4.32 0.37–4.79 | 9.95 6.34–13.55 5.39–14.51 | 92% |
| Total shots | 20.19 16.27–24.12 15.17–25.21 | 7.51 3.94–11.07 2.98–12.03 | 27.70 20.21–35.18 18.16–37.23 | 99% |
| Shots in box | 13.76 10.81–16.70 9.98–17.53 | 3.93 1.25–6.61 0.52–7.35 | 17.69 12.07–23.31 10.50–24.88 | 99% |
| Blocked shots | 5.54 3.66–7.42 3.12–7.97 | 1.96 0.31–3.61 0.00–4.11 | 7.50 3.97–11.04 2.93–12.07 | 88% |
| Corners | 7.89 5.68–10.10 5.10–10.68 | 2.62 0.62–4.62 0.08–5.15 | 10.51 6.29–14.72 5.18–15.83 | 94% |
| Possession % | 66.29 59.50–73.08 57.83–74.75 | 34.43 27.65–41.22 25.98–42.89 | — | 97% |
| Passes | 588 520–655 502–673 | 313 247–379 229–397 | 901 767–1034 731–1070 | 99% |
| Pass accuracy % | 86.56 82.53–90.59 81.24–91.88 | 72.87 68.54–77.19 67.23–78.50 | — | 96% |
| Fouls | 12.24 9.40–15.08 8.65–15.83 | 13.84 10.89–16.78 10.15–17.53 | 26.08 20.30–31.86 18.79–33.36 | 34% 59% |
| Offsides | 1.70 0.54–2.86 0.24–3.16 | 1.79 0.70–2.88 0.41–3.17 | 3.49 1.23–5.74 0.64–6.33 | 37% 22% 41% |
| Yellow cards | 1.56 0.51–2.61 0.24–2.87 | 2.69 1.56–3.82 1.27–4.11 | 4.25 2.07–6.42 1.51–6.98 | 21% 18% 62% |
| Red cards | 0.06 0.00–0.22 0.00–0.37 | 0.15 0.00–0.34 0.00–0.47 | 0.21 0.00–0.56 0.00–0.84 | 82% 13% |
| GK saves | 1.91 0.48–3.35 0.09–3.73 | 5.10 3.55–6.66 3.12–7.08 | 7.01 4.02–10.01 3.21–10.82 | 85% |
safe = prediction ± MAE · safer = ± RMSE of the serving model for that statistic. The bars show the model's own chance of each side recording more of that statistic — a Poisson approximation from the predicted rates, with the two teams treated as independent
Statistical estimates for information & entertainment only — not betting advice.