Predicted match statistics
Goals
15%
75%
homeawaytotalprediction0.812.583.39safe0.00–1.781.73–3.431.57–5.22safer0.00–2.031.50–3.661.09–5.70
Shots on target
89%
homeawaytotalprediction3.087.6010.68safe1.22–4.945.85–9.347.07–14.28safer0.73–5.435.39–9.816.12–15.24
Total shots
95%
homeawaytotalprediction9.4918.8328.32safe5.57–13.4115.27–22.3920.83–35.81safer4.47–14.5114.31–23.3518.78–37.86
Shots in box
94%
homeawaytotalprediction5.6412.5118.15safe2.69–8.589.83–15.1912.53–23.77safer1.87–9.419.09–15.9310.96–25.34
Blocked shots
79%
homeawaytotalprediction2.395.087.47safe0.50–4.273.43–6.733.93–11.00safer0.00–4.812.94–7.232.90–12.04
Corners
81%
homeawaytotalprediction3.466.7810.25safe1.25–5.674.78–8.786.03–14.46safer0.67–6.254.25–9.324.93–15.57
Possession %
96%
homeawayprediction34.7664.62safe27.97–41.5557.83–71.40safer26.30–43.2256.16–73.07
Passes
98%
homeawaytotalprediction306564870safe238–373497–630736–1003safer220–391480–648700–1039
Pass accuracy %
94%
homeawayprediction72.2985.04safe68.26–76.3280.72–89.36safer66.97–77.6279.41–90.67
Fouls
65%
28%
homeawaytotalprediction14.1911.7925.97safe11.35–17.028.84–14.7320.19–31.76safer10.59–17.788.09–15.4818.69–33.26
Offsides
43%
22%
36%
homeawaytotalprediction1.891.723.61safe0.73–3.050.62–2.811.36–5.86safer0.43–3.350.33–3.100.77–6.45
Yellow cards
56%
19%
25%
homeawaytotalprediction2.471.664.12safe1.42–3.520.53–2.791.95–6.30safer1.15–3.780.24–3.081.39–6.86
Red cards
18%
73%
homeawaytotalprediction0.220.110.34safe0.06–0.390.00–0.300.00–0.68safer0.00–0.540.00–0.430.00–0.97
GK saves
81%
homeawaytotalprediction4.922.117.03safe3.48–6.360.56–3.674.04–10.03safer3.10–6.740.13–4.093.23–10.84
| Stat | Homepred / safe / safer | Awaypred / safe / safer | Totalpred / safe / safer | Who wins |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Goals | 0.81 0.00–1.78 0.00–2.03 | 2.58 1.73–3.43 1.50–3.66 | 3.39 1.57–5.22 1.09–5.70 | 15% 75% |
| Shots on target | 3.08 1.22–4.94 0.73–5.43 | 7.60 5.85–9.34 5.39–9.81 | 10.68 7.07–14.28 6.12–15.24 | 89% |
| Total shots | 9.49 5.57–13.41 4.47–14.51 | 18.83 15.27–22.39 14.31–23.35 | 28.32 20.83–35.81 18.78–37.86 | 95% |
| Shots in box | 5.64 2.69–8.58 1.87–9.41 | 12.51 9.83–15.19 9.09–15.93 | 18.15 12.53–23.77 10.96–25.34 | 94% |
| Blocked shots | 2.39 0.50–4.27 0.00–4.81 | 5.08 3.43–6.73 2.94–7.23 | 7.47 3.93–11.00 2.90–12.04 | 79% |
| Corners | 3.46 1.25–5.67 0.67–6.25 | 6.78 4.78–8.78 4.25–9.32 | 10.25 6.03–14.46 4.93–15.57 | 81% |
| Possession % | 34.76 27.97–41.55 26.30–43.22 | 64.62 57.83–71.40 56.16–73.07 | — | 96% |
| Passes | 306 238–373 220–391 | 564 497–630 480–648 | 870 736–1003 700–1039 | 98% |
| Pass accuracy % | 72.29 68.26–76.32 66.97–77.62 | 85.04 80.72–89.36 79.41–90.67 | — | 94% |
| Fouls | 14.19 11.35–17.02 10.59–17.78 | 11.79 8.84–14.73 8.09–15.48 | 25.97 20.19–31.76 18.69–33.26 | 65% 28% |
| Offsides | 1.89 0.73–3.05 0.43–3.35 | 1.72 0.62–2.81 0.33–3.10 | 3.61 1.36–5.86 0.77–6.45 | 43% 22% 36% |
| Yellow cards | 2.47 1.42–3.52 1.15–3.78 | 1.66 0.53–2.79 0.24–3.08 | 4.12 1.95–6.30 1.39–6.86 | 56% 19% 25% |
| Red cards | 0.22 0.06–0.39 0.00–0.54 | 0.11 0.00–0.30 0.00–0.43 | 0.34 0.00–0.68 0.00–0.97 | 18% 73% |
| GK saves | 4.92 3.48–6.36 3.10–6.74 | 2.11 0.56–3.67 0.13–4.09 | 7.03 4.04–10.03 3.23–10.84 | 81% |
safe = prediction ± MAE · safer = ± RMSE of the serving model for that statistic. The bars show the model's own chance of each side recording more of that statistic — a Poisson approximation from the predicted rates, with the two teams treated as independent
Statistical estimates for information & entertainment only — not betting advice.

