Süper Lig·Regular Season - 11·
Süper Lig·Regular Season - 11·Predicted match statistics
Goals
30%
24%
45%
homeawaytotalprediction1.281.622.90safe0.31–2.250.77–2.481.08–4.72safer0.06–2.500.54–2.710.60–5.20
Shots on target
37%
13%
50%
homeawaytotalprediction4.474.979.44safe2.61–6.333.23–6.715.84–13.05safer2.12–6.822.76–7.184.88–14.00
Total shots
47%
45%
homeawaytotalprediction13.2113.0526.26safe9.29–17.139.49–16.6118.77–33.75safer8.19–18.238.53–17.5716.72–35.80
Shots in box
32%
59%
homeawaytotalprediction7.619.0116.62safe4.67–10.556.33–11.6911.00–22.25safer3.84–11.385.60–12.439.43–23.81
Blocked shots
42%
15%
43%
homeawaytotalprediction3.443.466.90safe1.55–5.321.81–5.113.36–10.43safer1.01–5.861.32–5.612.33–11.47
Corners
44%
43%
homeawaytotalprediction4.894.849.74safe2.68–7.112.84–6.845.52–13.95safer2.11–7.682.31–7.384.42–15.06
Possession %
48%
48%
homeawayprediction50.3450.33safe43.55–57.1343.54–57.11safer41.88–58.8041.87–58.78
Passes
52%
48%
homeawaytotalprediction441436877safe374–508369–502743–1010safer356–527352–520707–1046
Pass accuracy %
54%
40%
homeawayprediction81.5980.23safe77.56–85.6275.90–84.55safer76.27–86.9174.60–85.86
Fouls
60%
33%
homeawaytotalprediction13.9412.1826.12safe11.10–16.779.24–15.1320.34–31.90safer10.34–17.538.49–15.8818.83–33.41
Offsides
34%
22%
44%
homeawaytotalprediction1.611.863.47safe0.45–2.770.77–2.961.22–5.73safer0.15–3.070.48–3.240.63–6.31
Yellow cards
45%
20%
36%
homeawaytotalprediction2.302.064.36safe1.25–3.350.93–3.192.18–6.53safer0.98–3.620.64–3.481.62–7.09
Red cards
84%
homeawaytotalprediction0.100.080.18safe0.00–0.260.00–0.270.00–0.53safer0.00–0.410.00–0.400.00–0.81
GK saves
43%
16%
40%
homeawaytotalprediction3.213.126.33safe1.78–4.651.56–4.683.34–9.32safer1.39–5.041.14–5.102.53–10.14
| Stat | Homepred / safe / safer | Awaypred / safe / safer | Totalpred / safe / safer | Who wins |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Goals | 1.28 0.31–2.25 0.06–2.50 | 1.62 0.77–2.48 0.54–2.71 | 2.90 1.08–4.72 0.60–5.20 | 30% 24% 45% |
| Shots on target | 4.47 2.61–6.33 2.12–6.82 | 4.97 3.23–6.71 2.76–7.18 | 9.44 5.84–13.05 4.88–14.00 | 37% 13% 50% |
| Total shots | 13.21 9.29–17.13 8.19–18.23 | 13.05 9.49–16.61 8.53–17.57 | 26.26 18.77–33.75 16.72–35.80 | 47% 45% |
| Shots in box | 7.61 4.67–10.55 3.84–11.38 | 9.01 6.33–11.69 5.60–12.43 | 16.62 11.00–22.25 9.43–23.81 | 32% 59% |
| Blocked shots | 3.44 1.55–5.32 1.01–5.86 | 3.46 1.81–5.11 1.32–5.61 | 6.90 3.36–10.43 2.33–11.47 | 42% 15% 43% |
| Corners | 4.89 2.68–7.11 2.11–7.68 | 4.84 2.84–6.84 2.31–7.38 | 9.74 5.52–13.95 4.42–15.06 | 44% 43% |
| Possession % | 50.34 43.55–57.13 41.88–58.80 | 50.33 43.54–57.11 41.87–58.78 | — | 48% 48% |
| Passes | 441 374–508 356–527 | 436 369–502 352–520 | 877 743–1010 707–1046 | 52% 48% |
| Pass accuracy % | 81.59 77.56–85.62 76.27–86.91 | 80.23 75.90–84.55 74.60–85.86 | — | 54% 40% |
| Fouls | 13.94 11.10–16.77 10.34–17.53 | 12.18 9.24–15.13 8.49–15.88 | 26.12 20.34–31.90 18.83–33.41 | 60% 33% |
| Offsides | 1.61 0.45–2.77 0.15–3.07 | 1.86 0.77–2.96 0.48–3.24 | 3.47 1.22–5.73 0.63–6.31 | 34% 22% 44% |
| Yellow cards | 2.30 1.25–3.35 0.98–3.62 | 2.06 0.93–3.19 0.64–3.48 | 4.36 2.18–6.53 1.62–7.09 | 45% 20% 36% |
| Red cards | 0.10 0.00–0.26 0.00–0.41 | 0.08 0.00–0.27 0.00–0.40 | 0.18 0.00–0.53 0.00–0.81 | 84% |
| GK saves | 3.21 1.78–4.65 1.39–5.04 | 3.12 1.56–4.68 1.14–5.10 | 6.33 3.34–9.32 2.53–10.14 | 43% 16% 40% |
safe = prediction ± MAE · safer = ± RMSE of the serving model for that statistic. The bars show the model's own chance of each side recording more of that statistic — a Poisson approximation from the predicted rates, with the two teams treated as independent
Statistical estimates for information & entertainment only — not betting advice.