Süper Lig·Regular Season - 28·
Süper Lig·Regular Season - 28·Predicted match statistics
Goals
59%
21%
20%
homeawaytotalprediction1.981.053.03safe1.01–2.950.19–1.901.20–4.85safer0.76–3.200.00–2.130.72–5.33
Shots on target
65%
23%
homeawaytotalprediction5.533.829.35safe3.67–7.402.07–5.565.75–12.96safer3.18–7.891.61–6.034.79–13.91
Total shots
82%
13%
homeawaytotalprediction15.9210.6926.60safe11.99–19.847.12–14.2519.12–34.09safer10.90–20.936.17–15.2117.07–36.14
Shots in box
84%
homeawaytotalprediction10.966.3117.27safe8.02–13.913.63–8.9911.65–22.90safer7.19–14.742.89–9.7310.08–24.46
Blocked shots
60%
14%
25%
homeawaytotalprediction3.842.666.50safe1.96–5.721.01–4.312.97–10.04safer1.42–6.270.52–4.811.93–11.07
Corners
65%
24%
homeawaytotalprediction5.653.949.59safe3.44–7.871.94–5.945.38–13.80safer2.86–8.441.40–6.474.27–14.91
Possession %
58%
38%
homeawayprediction52.5048.30safe45.71–59.2941.52–55.08safer44.04–60.9639.84–56.76
Passes
61%
39%
homeawaytotalprediction470435905safe402–537369–502771–1039safer384–555351–519736–1074
Pass accuracy %
42%
52%
homeawayprediction80.8081.77safe76.77–84.8377.45–86.10safer75.48–86.1276.14–87.41
Fouls
26%
68%
homeawaytotalprediction11.5314.3625.89safe8.69–14.3611.42–17.3120.11–31.67safer7.93–15.1210.67–18.0518.60–33.18
Offsides
50%
21%
29%
homeawaytotalprediction2.041.533.57safe0.88–3.210.43–2.621.32–5.82safer0.58–3.510.14–2.910.73–6.41
Yellow cards
27%
20%
53%
homeawaytotalprediction1.662.354.01safe0.61–2.711.23–3.481.83–6.19safer0.34–2.970.93–3.771.28–6.75
Red cards
83%
homeawaytotalprediction0.060.140.20safe0.00–0.220.00–0.330.00–0.54safer0.00–0.370.00–0.460.00–0.83
GK saves
28%
16%
56%
homeawaytotalprediction2.613.506.11safe1.17–4.051.94–5.053.11–9.10safer0.79–4.431.51–5.482.30–9.91
| Stat | Homepred / safe / safer | Awaypred / safe / safer | Totalpred / safe / safer | Who wins |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Goals | 1.98 1.01–2.95 0.76–3.20 | 1.05 0.19–1.90 0.00–2.13 | 3.03 1.20–4.85 0.72–5.33 | 59% 21% 20% |
| Shots on target | 5.53 3.67–7.40 3.18–7.89 | 3.82 2.07–5.56 1.61–6.03 | 9.35 5.75–12.96 4.79–13.91 | 65% 23% |
| Total shots | 15.92 11.99–19.84 10.90–20.93 | 10.69 7.12–14.25 6.17–15.21 | 26.60 19.12–34.09 17.07–36.14 | 82% 13% |
| Shots in box | 10.96 8.02–13.91 7.19–14.74 | 6.31 3.63–8.99 2.89–9.73 | 17.27 11.65–22.90 10.08–24.46 | 84% |
| Blocked shots | 3.84 1.96–5.72 1.42–6.27 | 2.66 1.01–4.31 0.52–4.81 | 6.50 2.97–10.04 1.93–11.07 | 60% 14% 25% |
| Corners | 5.65 3.44–7.87 2.86–8.44 | 3.94 1.94–5.94 1.40–6.47 | 9.59 5.38–13.80 4.27–14.91 | 65% 24% |
| Possession % | 52.50 45.71–59.29 44.04–60.96 | 48.30 41.52–55.08 39.84–56.76 | — | 58% 38% |
| Passes | 470 402–537 384–555 | 435 369–502 351–519 | 905 771–1039 736–1074 | 61% 39% |
| Pass accuracy % | 80.80 76.77–84.83 75.48–86.12 | 81.77 77.45–86.10 76.14–87.41 | — | 42% 52% |
| Fouls | 11.53 8.69–14.36 7.93–15.12 | 14.36 11.42–17.31 10.67–18.05 | 25.89 20.11–31.67 18.60–33.18 | 26% 68% |
| Offsides | 2.04 0.88–3.21 0.58–3.51 | 1.53 0.43–2.62 0.14–2.91 | 3.57 1.32–5.82 0.73–6.41 | 50% 21% 29% |
| Yellow cards | 1.66 0.61–2.71 0.34–2.97 | 2.35 1.23–3.48 0.93–3.77 | 4.01 1.83–6.19 1.28–6.75 | 27% 20% 53% |
| Red cards | 0.06 0.00–0.22 0.00–0.37 | 0.14 0.00–0.33 0.00–0.46 | 0.20 0.00–0.54 0.00–0.83 | 83% |
| GK saves | 2.61 1.17–4.05 0.79–4.43 | 3.50 1.94–5.05 1.51–5.48 | 6.11 3.11–9.10 2.30–9.91 | 28% 16% 56% |
safe = prediction ± MAE · safer = ± RMSE of the serving model for that statistic. The bars show the model's own chance of each side recording more of that statistic — a Poisson approximation from the predicted rates, with the two teams treated as independent
Statistical estimates for information & entertainment only — not betting advice.