Süper Lig·Regular Season - 11·
Süper Lig·Regular Season - 11·Predicted match statistics
Goals
27%
25%
48%
homeawaytotalprediction1.121.572.68safe0.15–2.080.71–2.420.86–4.50safer0.00–2.330.48–2.650.38–4.98
Shots on target
45%
14%
42%
homeawaytotalprediction4.454.328.77safe2.59–6.312.58–6.075.17–12.38safer2.10–6.802.12–6.534.21–13.33
Total shots
52%
41%
homeawaytotalprediction13.2712.5825.85safe9.35–17.209.01–16.1418.36–33.34safer8.26–18.298.05–17.1016.31–35.39
Shots in box
39%
50%
homeawaytotalprediction7.307.8315.13safe4.36–10.245.15–10.519.51–20.76safer3.53–11.074.42–11.257.94–22.32
Blocked shots
53%
15%
32%
homeawaytotalprediction3.823.136.94safe1.93–5.701.48–4.783.41–10.48safer1.39–6.240.98–5.272.37–11.51
Corners
45%
13%
42%
homeawaytotalprediction4.694.559.24safe2.47–6.902.55–6.555.02–13.45safer1.90–7.482.01–7.083.92–14.56
Possession %
36%
59%
homeawayprediction47.0651.93safe40.27–53.8545.14–58.71safer38.60–55.5243.47–60.38
Passes
33%
67%
homeawaytotalprediction362414776safe295–429348–480642–910safer277–448330–498607–945
Pass accuracy %
39%
56%
homeawayprediction80.4382.03safe76.40–84.4677.70–86.35safer75.11–85.7676.39–87.66
Fouls
37%
56%
homeawaytotalprediction13.7915.0628.86safe10.95–16.6312.12–18.0123.07–34.64safer10.20–17.3811.37–18.7621.57–36.14
Offsides
18%
19%
63%
homeawaytotalprediction1.092.233.32safe0.00–2.251.13–3.321.07–5.57safer0.00–2.560.85–3.610.48–6.16
Yellow cards
40%
20%
40%
homeawaytotalprediction2.202.204.40safe1.15–3.251.07–3.332.22–6.58safer0.89–3.520.78–3.621.66–7.13
Red cards
80%
homeawaytotalprediction0.120.120.23safe0.00–0.280.00–0.300.00–0.58safer0.00–0.430.00–0.430.00–0.86
GK saves
36%
16%
48%
homeawaytotalprediction2.823.226.04safe1.38–4.261.66–4.773.04–9.03safer1.00–4.641.23–5.202.23–9.84
| Stat | Homepred / safe / safer | Awaypred / safe / safer | Totalpred / safe / safer | Who wins |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Goals | 1.12 0.15–2.08 0.00–2.33 | 1.57 0.71–2.42 0.48–2.65 | 2.68 0.86–4.50 0.38–4.98 | 27% 25% 48% |
| Shots on target | 4.45 2.59–6.31 2.10–6.80 | 4.32 2.58–6.07 2.12–6.53 | 8.77 5.17–12.38 4.21–13.33 | 45% 14% 42% |
| Total shots | 13.27 9.35–17.20 8.26–18.29 | 12.58 9.01–16.14 8.05–17.10 | 25.85 18.36–33.34 16.31–35.39 | 52% 41% |
| Shots in box | 7.30 4.36–10.24 3.53–11.07 | 7.83 5.15–10.51 4.42–11.25 | 15.13 9.51–20.76 7.94–22.32 | 39% 50% |
| Blocked shots | 3.82 1.93–5.70 1.39–6.24 | 3.13 1.48–4.78 0.98–5.27 | 6.94 3.41–10.48 2.37–11.51 | 53% 15% 32% |
| Corners | 4.69 2.47–6.90 1.90–7.48 | 4.55 2.55–6.55 2.01–7.08 | 9.24 5.02–13.45 3.92–14.56 | 45% 13% 42% |
| Possession % | 47.06 40.27–53.85 38.60–55.52 | 51.93 45.14–58.71 43.47–60.38 | — | 36% 59% |
| Passes | 362 295–429 277–448 | 414 348–480 330–498 | 776 642–910 607–945 | 33% 67% |
| Pass accuracy % | 80.43 76.40–84.46 75.11–85.76 | 82.03 77.70–86.35 76.39–87.66 | — | 39% 56% |
| Fouls | 13.79 10.95–16.63 10.20–17.38 | 15.06 12.12–18.01 11.37–18.76 | 28.86 23.07–34.64 21.57–36.14 | 37% 56% |
| Offsides | 1.09 0.00–2.25 0.00–2.56 | 2.23 1.13–3.32 0.85–3.61 | 3.32 1.07–5.57 0.48–6.16 | 18% 19% 63% |
| Yellow cards | 2.20 1.15–3.25 0.89–3.52 | 2.20 1.07–3.33 0.78–3.62 | 4.40 2.22–6.58 1.66–7.13 | 40% 20% 40% |
| Red cards | 0.12 0.00–0.28 0.00–0.43 | 0.12 0.00–0.30 0.00–0.43 | 0.23 0.00–0.58 0.00–0.86 | 80% |
| GK saves | 2.82 1.38–4.26 1.00–4.64 | 3.22 1.66–4.77 1.23–5.20 | 6.04 3.04–9.03 2.23–9.84 | 36% 16% 48% |
safe = prediction ± MAE · safer = ± RMSE of the serving model for that statistic. The bars show the model's own chance of each side recording more of that statistic — a Poisson approximation from the predicted rates, with the two teams treated as independent
Statistical estimates for information & entertainment only — not betting advice.