Süper Lig·Regular Season - 28·
Süper Lig·Regular Season - 28·Predicted match statistics
Goals
50%
25%
24%
homeawaytotalprediction1.561.012.57safe0.59–2.530.15–1.860.74–4.39safer0.34–2.780.00–2.090.26–4.87
Shots on target
59%
28%
homeawaytotalprediction4.833.648.47safe2.97–6.691.90–5.384.86–12.07safer2.48–7.181.43–5.853.91–13.03
Total shots
66%
27%
homeawaytotalprediction14.1111.4625.57safe10.19–18.047.90–15.0218.09–33.06safer9.10–19.136.94–15.9816.03–35.11
Shots in box
77%
16%
homeawaytotalprediction9.596.1815.77safe6.65–12.533.50–8.8610.15–21.40safer5.82–13.362.77–9.608.58–22.96
Blocked shots
53%
15%
31%
homeawaytotalprediction3.582.866.43safe1.69–5.461.20–4.512.90–9.97safer1.15–6.000.71–5.001.86–11.00
Corners
61%
27%
homeawaytotalprediction5.243.889.13safe3.03–7.461.88–5.884.91–13.34safer2.46–8.031.35–6.423.81–14.45
Possession %
73%
23%
homeawayprediction55.7944.38safe49.00–62.5837.59–51.16safer47.33–64.2535.92–52.84
Passes
79%
20%
homeawaytotalprediction474375849safe407–541309–442716–983safer389–559291–459680–1019
Pass accuracy %
67%
28%
homeawayprediction85.4081.43safe81.37–89.4377.11–85.76safer80.07–90.7275.80–87.06
Fouls
57%
36%
homeawaytotalprediction14.8513.4328.28safe12.01–17.6910.48–16.3722.49–34.06safer11.26–18.449.73–17.1220.99–35.56
Offsides
68%
18%
15%
homeawaytotalprediction2.461.093.55safe1.30–3.620.00–2.181.30–5.80safer1.00–3.920.00–2.470.71–6.39
Yellow cards
32%
21%
47%
homeawaytotalprediction1.682.083.77safe0.64–2.730.95–3.211.59–5.95safer0.37–3.000.66–3.501.03–6.50
Red cards
81%
homeawaytotalprediction0.100.120.22safe0.00–0.260.00–0.300.00–0.57safer0.00–0.410.00–0.440.00–0.85
GK saves
33%
17%
51%
homeawaytotalprediction2.623.175.78safe1.18–4.051.61–4.722.79–8.78safer0.79–4.441.19–5.151.98–9.59
| Stat | Homepred / safe / safer | Awaypred / safe / safer | Totalpred / safe / safer | Who wins |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Goals | 1.56 0.59–2.53 0.34–2.78 | 1.01 0.15–1.86 0.00–2.09 | 2.57 0.74–4.39 0.26–4.87 | 50% 25% 24% |
| Shots on target | 4.83 2.97–6.69 2.48–7.18 | 3.64 1.90–5.38 1.43–5.85 | 8.47 4.86–12.07 3.91–13.03 | 59% 28% |
| Total shots | 14.11 10.19–18.04 9.10–19.13 | 11.46 7.90–15.02 6.94–15.98 | 25.57 18.09–33.06 16.03–35.11 | 66% 27% |
| Shots in box | 9.59 6.65–12.53 5.82–13.36 | 6.18 3.50–8.86 2.77–9.60 | 15.77 10.15–21.40 8.58–22.96 | 77% 16% |
| Blocked shots | 3.58 1.69–5.46 1.15–6.00 | 2.86 1.20–4.51 0.71–5.00 | 6.43 2.90–9.97 1.86–11.00 | 53% 15% 31% |
| Corners | 5.24 3.03–7.46 2.46–8.03 | 3.88 1.88–5.88 1.35–6.42 | 9.13 4.91–13.34 3.81–14.45 | 61% 27% |
| Possession % | 55.79 49.00–62.58 47.33–64.25 | 44.38 37.59–51.16 35.92–52.84 | — | 73% 23% |
| Passes | 474 407–541 389–559 | 375 309–442 291–459 | 849 716–983 680–1019 | 79% 20% |
| Pass accuracy % | 85.40 81.37–89.43 80.07–90.72 | 81.43 77.11–85.76 75.80–87.06 | — | 67% 28% |
| Fouls | 14.85 12.01–17.69 11.26–18.44 | 13.43 10.48–16.37 9.73–17.12 | 28.28 22.49–34.06 20.99–35.56 | 57% 36% |
| Offsides | 2.46 1.30–3.62 1.00–3.92 | 1.09 0.00–2.18 0.00–2.47 | 3.55 1.30–5.80 0.71–6.39 | 68% 18% 15% |
| Yellow cards | 1.68 0.64–2.73 0.37–3.00 | 2.08 0.95–3.21 0.66–3.50 | 3.77 1.59–5.95 1.03–6.50 | 32% 21% 47% |
| Red cards | 0.10 0.00–0.26 0.00–0.41 | 0.12 0.00–0.30 0.00–0.44 | 0.22 0.00–0.57 0.00–0.85 | 81% |
| GK saves | 2.62 1.18–4.05 0.79–4.44 | 3.17 1.61–4.72 1.19–5.15 | 5.78 2.79–8.78 1.98–9.59 | 33% 17% 51% |
safe = prediction ± MAE · safer = ± RMSE of the serving model for that statistic. The bars show the model's own chance of each side recording more of that statistic — a Poisson approximation from the predicted rates, with the two teams treated as independent
Statistical estimates for information & entertainment only — not betting advice.