Süper Lig·Regular Season - 11·
Süper Lig·Regular Season - 11·Predicted match statistics
Goals
65%
19%
15%
homeawaytotalprediction2.190.963.15safe1.22–3.160.11–1.821.33–4.98safer0.97–3.410.00–2.040.85–5.46
Shots on target
77%
15%
homeawaytotalprediction6.373.599.96safe4.51–8.231.85–5.336.35–13.56safer4.02–8.721.38–5.805.40–14.52
Total shots
89%
homeawaytotalprediction16.9110.0126.92safe12.99–20.846.44–13.5719.43–34.40safer11.90–21.935.48–14.5317.38–36.46
Shots in box
89%
homeawaytotalprediction11.806.1817.98safe8.86–14.743.50–8.8612.36–23.60safer8.03–15.572.76–9.6010.79–25.17
Blocked shots
72%
16%
homeawaytotalprediction4.432.406.83safe2.55–6.320.75–4.053.30–10.37safer2.01–6.860.26–4.552.26–11.41
Corners
84%
homeawaytotalprediction6.663.069.72safe4.45–8.881.06–5.065.51–13.93safer3.88–9.450.52–5.594.40–15.04
Possession %
88%
homeawayprediction60.7039.87safe53.91–67.4933.08–46.65safer52.24–69.1631.41–48.32
Passes
93%
homeawaytotalprediction506329835safe439–574262–395702–969safer421–592245–413666–1005
Pass accuracy %
85%
homeawayprediction84.2075.56safe80.17–88.2371.23–79.88safer78.88–89.5269.93–81.19
Fouls
34%
58%
homeawaytotalprediction11.6513.1524.80safe8.81–14.4910.20–16.0919.02–30.58safer8.06–15.259.46–16.8417.51–32.09
Offsides
24%
19%
57%
homeawaytotalprediction1.612.474.08safe0.45–2.771.38–3.561.82–6.33safer0.15–3.071.09–3.851.23–6.92
Yellow cards
26%
18%
56%
homeawaytotalprediction1.802.654.45safe0.75–2.851.52–3.782.28–6.63safer0.49–3.121.23–4.071.72–7.19
Red cards
81%
13%
homeawaytotalprediction0.060.150.21safe0.00–0.230.00–0.340.00–0.56safer0.00–0.380.00–0.470.00–0.84
GK saves
22%
14%
64%
homeawaytotalprediction2.423.826.24safe0.98–3.852.27–5.383.25–9.23safer0.59–4.241.84–5.802.43–10.04
| Stat | Homepred / safe / safer | Awaypred / safe / safer | Totalpred / safe / safer | Who wins |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Goals | 2.19 1.22–3.16 0.97–3.41 | 0.96 0.11–1.82 0.00–2.04 | 3.15 1.33–4.98 0.85–5.46 | 65% 19% 15% |
| Shots on target | 6.37 4.51–8.23 4.02–8.72 | 3.59 1.85–5.33 1.38–5.80 | 9.96 6.35–13.56 5.40–14.52 | 77% 15% |
| Total shots | 16.91 12.99–20.84 11.90–21.93 | 10.01 6.44–13.57 5.48–14.53 | 26.92 19.43–34.40 17.38–36.46 | 89% |
| Shots in box | 11.80 8.86–14.74 8.03–15.57 | 6.18 3.50–8.86 2.76–9.60 | 17.98 12.36–23.60 10.79–25.17 | 89% |
| Blocked shots | 4.43 2.55–6.32 2.01–6.86 | 2.40 0.75–4.05 0.26–4.55 | 6.83 3.30–10.37 2.26–11.41 | 72% 16% |
| Corners | 6.66 4.45–8.88 3.88–9.45 | 3.06 1.06–5.06 0.52–5.59 | 9.72 5.51–13.93 4.40–15.04 | 84% |
| Possession % | 60.70 53.91–67.49 52.24–69.16 | 39.87 33.08–46.65 31.41–48.32 | — | 88% |
| Passes | 506 439–574 421–592 | 329 262–395 245–413 | 835 702–969 666–1005 | 93% |
| Pass accuracy % | 84.20 80.17–88.23 78.88–89.52 | 75.56 71.23–79.88 69.93–81.19 | — | 85% |
| Fouls | 11.65 8.81–14.49 8.06–15.25 | 13.15 10.20–16.09 9.46–16.84 | 24.80 19.02–30.58 17.51–32.09 | 34% 58% |
| Offsides | 1.61 0.45–2.77 0.15–3.07 | 2.47 1.38–3.56 1.09–3.85 | 4.08 1.82–6.33 1.23–6.92 | 24% 19% 57% |
| Yellow cards | 1.80 0.75–2.85 0.49–3.12 | 2.65 1.52–3.78 1.23–4.07 | 4.45 2.28–6.63 1.72–7.19 | 26% 18% 56% |
| Red cards | 0.06 0.00–0.23 0.00–0.38 | 0.15 0.00–0.34 0.00–0.47 | 0.21 0.00–0.56 0.00–0.84 | 81% 13% |
| GK saves | 2.42 0.98–3.85 0.59–4.24 | 3.82 2.27–5.38 1.84–5.80 | 6.24 3.25–9.23 2.43–10.04 | 22% 14% 64% |
safe = prediction ± MAE · safer = ± RMSE of the serving model for that statistic. The bars show the model's own chance of each side recording more of that statistic — a Poisson approximation from the predicted rates, with the two teams treated as independent
Statistical estimates for information & entertainment only — not betting advice.