Süper Lig·Regular Season - 28·
Süper Lig·Regular Season - 28·Predicted match statistics
Goals
21%
22%
57%
homeawaytotalprediction1.101.953.04safe0.13–2.071.09–2.801.22–4.87safer0.00–2.320.87–3.030.74–5.35
Shots on target
26%
62%
homeawaytotalprediction3.865.289.15safe2.00–5.723.54–7.035.54–12.75safer1.51–6.213.08–7.494.59–13.71
Total shots
33%
59%
homeawaytotalprediction12.4914.2226.71safe8.56–16.4110.66–17.7819.22–34.20safer7.47–17.519.70–18.7417.17–36.25
Shots in box
26%
65%
homeawaytotalprediction7.489.5717.04safe4.54–10.426.88–12.2511.42–22.67safer3.71–11.256.15–12.989.85–24.23
Blocked shots
33%
15%
52%
homeawaytotalprediction3.193.847.03safe1.31–5.082.18–5.493.49–10.56safer0.77–5.621.69–5.982.46–11.60
Corners
35%
53%
homeawaytotalprediction4.385.099.47safe2.17–6.603.09–7.095.26–13.68safer1.60–7.172.55–7.624.15–14.79
Possession %
23%
73%
homeawayprediction44.0255.56safe37.23–50.8148.78–62.35safer35.56–52.4847.11–64.02
Passes
23%
76%
homeawaytotalprediction363449812safe295–430383–516678–946safer277–448365–533643–981
Pass accuracy %
24%
72%
homeawayprediction77.4982.50safe73.46–81.5278.18–86.83safer72.17–82.8176.87–88.13
Fouls
49%
43%
homeawaytotalprediction12.6012.2624.86safe9.76–15.439.32–15.2119.08–30.64safer9.00–16.198.57–15.9617.57–32.14
Offsides
62%
17%
21%
homeawaytotalprediction2.891.714.60safe1.73–4.050.61–2.802.34–6.85safer1.43–4.350.33–3.091.75–7.44
Yellow cards
37%
20%
44%
homeawaytotalprediction2.132.314.44safe1.08–3.181.18–3.442.26–6.62safer0.81–3.440.89–3.731.70–7.17
Red cards
15%
77%
homeawaytotalprediction0.180.100.28safe0.02–0.340.00–0.280.00–0.62safer0.00–0.490.00–0.420.00–0.91
GK saves
53%
16%
32%
homeawaytotalprediction3.482.816.29safe2.05–4.921.25–4.373.30–9.29safer1.66–5.310.83–4.792.49–10.10
| Stat | Homepred / safe / safer | Awaypred / safe / safer | Totalpred / safe / safer | Who wins |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Goals | 1.10 0.13–2.07 0.00–2.32 | 1.95 1.09–2.80 0.87–3.03 | 3.04 1.22–4.87 0.74–5.35 | 21% 22% 57% |
| Shots on target | 3.86 2.00–5.72 1.51–6.21 | 5.28 3.54–7.03 3.08–7.49 | 9.15 5.54–12.75 4.59–13.71 | 26% 62% |
| Total shots | 12.49 8.56–16.41 7.47–17.51 | 14.22 10.66–17.78 9.70–18.74 | 26.71 19.22–34.20 17.17–36.25 | 33% 59% |
| Shots in box | 7.48 4.54–10.42 3.71–11.25 | 9.57 6.88–12.25 6.15–12.98 | 17.04 11.42–22.67 9.85–24.23 | 26% 65% |
| Blocked shots | 3.19 1.31–5.08 0.77–5.62 | 3.84 2.18–5.49 1.69–5.98 | 7.03 3.49–10.56 2.46–11.60 | 33% 15% 52% |
| Corners | 4.38 2.17–6.60 1.60–7.17 | 5.09 3.09–7.09 2.55–7.62 | 9.47 5.26–13.68 4.15–14.79 | 35% 53% |
| Possession % | 44.02 37.23–50.81 35.56–52.48 | 55.56 48.78–62.35 47.11–64.02 | — | 23% 73% |
| Passes | 363 295–430 277–448 | 449 383–516 365–533 | 812 678–946 643–981 | 23% 76% |
| Pass accuracy % | 77.49 73.46–81.52 72.17–82.81 | 82.50 78.18–86.83 76.87–88.13 | — | 24% 72% |
| Fouls | 12.60 9.76–15.43 9.00–16.19 | 12.26 9.32–15.21 8.57–15.96 | 24.86 19.08–30.64 17.57–32.14 | 49% 43% |
| Offsides | 2.89 1.73–4.05 1.43–4.35 | 1.71 0.61–2.80 0.33–3.09 | 4.60 2.34–6.85 1.75–7.44 | 62% 17% 21% |
| Yellow cards | 2.13 1.08–3.18 0.81–3.44 | 2.31 1.18–3.44 0.89–3.73 | 4.44 2.26–6.62 1.70–7.17 | 37% 20% 44% |
| Red cards | 0.18 0.02–0.34 0.00–0.49 | 0.10 0.00–0.28 0.00–0.42 | 0.28 0.00–0.62 0.00–0.91 | 15% 77% |
| GK saves | 3.48 2.05–4.92 1.66–5.31 | 2.81 1.25–4.37 0.83–4.79 | 6.29 3.30–9.29 2.49–10.10 | 53% 16% 32% |
safe = prediction ± MAE · safer = ± RMSE of the serving model for that statistic. The bars show the model's own chance of each side recording more of that statistic — a Poisson approximation from the predicted rates, with the two teams treated as independent
Statistical estimates for information & entertainment only — not betting advice.