Süper Lig·Regular Season - 11·
Süper Lig·Regular Season - 11·Predicted match statistics
Goals
37%
27%
35%
homeawaytotalprediction1.241.192.43safe0.27–2.210.34–2.050.61–4.25safer0.02–2.460.11–2.280.13–4.73
Shots on target
42%
14%
44%
homeawaytotalprediction4.014.078.08safe2.15–5.882.33–5.814.48–11.69safer1.66–6.371.86–6.283.52–12.64
Total shots
47%
45%
homeawaytotalprediction12.9812.8625.84safe9.05–16.909.30–16.4318.35–33.33safer7.96–17.998.34–17.3816.30–35.38
Shots in box
46%
43%
homeawaytotalprediction7.807.6615.46safe4.86–10.754.98–10.349.84–21.09safer4.03–11.584.24–11.088.27–22.65
Blocked shots
38%
16%
47%
homeawaytotalprediction3.193.496.68safe1.31–5.081.83–5.143.14–10.22safer0.77–5.621.34–5.632.11–11.25
Corners
45%
13%
42%
homeawaytotalprediction4.824.719.53safe2.60–7.032.71–6.715.31–13.74safer2.03–7.602.18–7.254.21–14.85
Possession %
50%
45%
homeawayprediction50.2049.19safe43.41–56.9942.41–55.98safer41.74–58.6640.73–57.65
Passes
54%
45%
homeawaytotalprediction411398809safe344–478331–464675–942safer326–496314–482639–978
Pass accuracy %
46%
48%
homeawayprediction80.8281.02safe76.79–84.8576.70–85.34safer75.50–86.1475.39–86.65
Fouls
28%
65%
homeawaytotalprediction12.4714.9727.44safe9.63–15.3012.02–17.9121.65–33.22safer8.87–16.0611.28–18.6620.15–34.72
Offsides
48%
23%
29%
homeawaytotalprediction1.821.373.19safe0.66–2.980.28–2.460.94–5.44safer0.36–3.280.00–2.750.35–6.03
Yellow cards
41%
18%
41%
homeawaytotalprediction2.542.565.09safe1.49–3.591.43–3.692.92–7.27safer1.22–3.851.14–3.982.36–7.83
Red cards
77%
homeawaytotalprediction0.130.140.28safe0.00–0.290.00–0.330.00–0.62safer0.00–0.440.00–0.460.00–0.91
GK saves
42%
17%
41%
homeawaytotalprediction2.922.885.80safe1.48–4.351.32–4.442.80–8.79safer1.09–4.740.90–4.861.99–9.60
| Stat | Homepred / safe / safer | Awaypred / safe / safer | Totalpred / safe / safer | Who wins |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Goals | 1.24 0.27–2.21 0.02–2.46 | 1.19 0.34–2.05 0.11–2.28 | 2.43 0.61–4.25 0.13–4.73 | 37% 27% 35% |
| Shots on target | 4.01 2.15–5.88 1.66–6.37 | 4.07 2.33–5.81 1.86–6.28 | 8.08 4.48–11.69 3.52–12.64 | 42% 14% 44% |
| Total shots | 12.98 9.05–16.90 7.96–17.99 | 12.86 9.30–16.43 8.34–17.38 | 25.84 18.35–33.33 16.30–35.38 | 47% 45% |
| Shots in box | 7.80 4.86–10.75 4.03–11.58 | 7.66 4.98–10.34 4.24–11.08 | 15.46 9.84–21.09 8.27–22.65 | 46% 43% |
| Blocked shots | 3.19 1.31–5.08 0.77–5.62 | 3.49 1.83–5.14 1.34–5.63 | 6.68 3.14–10.22 2.11–11.25 | 38% 16% 47% |
| Corners | 4.82 2.60–7.03 2.03–7.60 | 4.71 2.71–6.71 2.18–7.25 | 9.53 5.31–13.74 4.21–14.85 | 45% 13% 42% |
| Possession % | 50.20 43.41–56.99 41.74–58.66 | 49.19 42.41–55.98 40.73–57.65 | — | 50% 45% |
| Passes | 411 344–478 326–496 | 398 331–464 314–482 | 809 675–942 639–978 | 54% 45% |
| Pass accuracy % | 80.82 76.79–84.85 75.50–86.14 | 81.02 76.70–85.34 75.39–86.65 | — | 46% 48% |
| Fouls | 12.47 9.63–15.30 8.87–16.06 | 14.97 12.02–17.91 11.28–18.66 | 27.44 21.65–33.22 20.15–34.72 | 28% 65% |
| Offsides | 1.82 0.66–2.98 0.36–3.28 | 1.37 0.28–2.46 0.00–2.75 | 3.19 0.94–5.44 0.35–6.03 | 48% 23% 29% |
| Yellow cards | 2.54 1.49–3.59 1.22–3.85 | 2.56 1.43–3.69 1.14–3.98 | 5.09 2.92–7.27 2.36–7.83 | 41% 18% 41% |
| Red cards | 0.13 0.00–0.29 0.00–0.44 | 0.14 0.00–0.33 0.00–0.46 | 0.28 0.00–0.62 0.00–0.91 | 77% |
| GK saves | 2.92 1.48–4.35 1.09–4.74 | 2.88 1.32–4.44 0.90–4.86 | 5.80 2.80–8.79 1.99–9.60 | 42% 17% 41% |
safe = prediction ± MAE · safer = ± RMSE of the serving model for that statistic. The bars show the model's own chance of each side recording more of that statistic — a Poisson approximation from the predicted rates, with the two teams treated as independent
Statistical estimates for information & entertainment only — not betting advice.