Süper Lig·Regular Season - 28·
Süper Lig·Regular Season - 28·Predicted match statistics
Goals
44%
26%
29%
homeawaytotalprediction1.421.112.53safe0.45–2.390.25–1.960.71–4.35safer0.20–2.640.02–2.190.23–4.83
Shots on target
57%
13%
29%
homeawaytotalprediction4.553.528.07safe2.69–6.411.78–5.264.46–11.67safer2.20–6.901.31–5.733.51–12.63
Total shots
77%
18%
homeawaytotalprediction15.2611.0526.31safe11.34–19.197.49–14.6118.83–33.80safer10.25–20.286.53–15.5716.77–35.85
Shots in box
70%
22%
homeawaytotalprediction9.016.4815.49safe6.06–11.953.80–9.169.87–21.11safer5.23–12.783.06–9.908.30–22.68
Blocked shots
60%
14%
25%
homeawaytotalprediction3.912.726.63safe2.03–5.801.07–4.373.10–10.17safer1.49–6.340.57–4.862.06–11.20
Corners
57%
30%
homeawaytotalprediction5.344.269.60safe3.13–7.562.26–6.265.39–13.81safer2.56–8.131.72–6.794.28–14.92
Possession %
59%
36%
homeawayprediction52.4847.64safe45.69–59.2740.85–54.42safer44.02–60.9439.18–56.09
Passes
61%
39%
homeawaytotalprediction431397828safe364–498330–463694–961safer346–516313–481658–997
Pass accuracy %
56%
39%
homeawayprediction82.8781.24safe78.84–86.9076.91–85.56safer77.55–88.1975.60–86.87
Fouls
66%
27%
homeawaytotalprediction15.3212.6627.97safe12.48–18.159.71–15.6022.19–33.76safer11.72–18.918.96–16.3520.69–35.26
Offsides
33%
23%
44%
homeawaytotalprediction1.461.713.17safe0.30–2.620.62–2.800.92–5.42safer0.00–2.920.33–3.090.33–6.01
Yellow cards
37%
19%
44%
homeawaytotalprediction2.202.404.60safe1.15–3.251.27–3.532.42–6.78safer0.88–3.520.98–3.821.86–7.33
Red cards
81%
homeawaytotalprediction0.110.110.23safe0.00–0.270.00–0.300.00–0.58safer0.00–0.420.00–0.430.00–0.86
GK saves
27%
16%
57%
homeawaytotalprediction2.313.265.57safe0.88–3.751.70–4.812.58–8.56safer0.49–4.141.28–5.241.76–9.37
| Stat | Homepred / safe / safer | Awaypred / safe / safer | Totalpred / safe / safer | Who wins |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Goals | 1.42 0.45–2.39 0.20–2.64 | 1.11 0.25–1.96 0.02–2.19 | 2.53 0.71–4.35 0.23–4.83 | 44% 26% 29% |
| Shots on target | 4.55 2.69–6.41 2.20–6.90 | 3.52 1.78–5.26 1.31–5.73 | 8.07 4.46–11.67 3.51–12.63 | 57% 13% 29% |
| Total shots | 15.26 11.34–19.19 10.25–20.28 | 11.05 7.49–14.61 6.53–15.57 | 26.31 18.83–33.80 16.77–35.85 | 77% 18% |
| Shots in box | 9.01 6.06–11.95 5.23–12.78 | 6.48 3.80–9.16 3.06–9.90 | 15.49 9.87–21.11 8.30–22.68 | 70% 22% |
| Blocked shots | 3.91 2.03–5.80 1.49–6.34 | 2.72 1.07–4.37 0.57–4.86 | 6.63 3.10–10.17 2.06–11.20 | 60% 14% 25% |
| Corners | 5.34 3.13–7.56 2.56–8.13 | 4.26 2.26–6.26 1.72–6.79 | 9.60 5.39–13.81 4.28–14.92 | 57% 30% |
| Possession % | 52.48 45.69–59.27 44.02–60.94 | 47.64 40.85–54.42 39.18–56.09 | — | 59% 36% |
| Passes | 431 364–498 346–516 | 397 330–463 313–481 | 828 694–961 658–997 | 61% 39% |
| Pass accuracy % | 82.87 78.84–86.90 77.55–88.19 | 81.24 76.91–85.56 75.60–86.87 | — | 56% 39% |
| Fouls | 15.32 12.48–18.15 11.72–18.91 | 12.66 9.71–15.60 8.96–16.35 | 27.97 22.19–33.76 20.69–35.26 | 66% 27% |
| Offsides | 1.46 0.30–2.62 0.00–2.92 | 1.71 0.62–2.80 0.33–3.09 | 3.17 0.92–5.42 0.33–6.01 | 33% 23% 44% |
| Yellow cards | 2.20 1.15–3.25 0.88–3.52 | 2.40 1.27–3.53 0.98–3.82 | 4.60 2.42–6.78 1.86–7.33 | 37% 19% 44% |
| Red cards | 0.11 0.00–0.27 0.00–0.42 | 0.11 0.00–0.30 0.00–0.43 | 0.23 0.00–0.58 0.00–0.86 | 81% |
| GK saves | 2.31 0.88–3.75 0.49–4.14 | 3.26 1.70–4.81 1.28–5.24 | 5.57 2.58–8.56 1.76–9.37 | 27% 16% 57% |
safe = prediction ± MAE · safer = ± RMSE of the serving model for that statistic. The bars show the model's own chance of each side recording more of that statistic — a Poisson approximation from the predicted rates, with the two teams treated as independent
Statistical estimates for information & entertainment only — not betting advice.