Süper Lig·Regular Season - 11·
Süper Lig·Regular Season - 11·Predicted match statistics
Goals
33%
24%
43%
homeawaytotalprediction1.381.602.97safe0.41–2.340.74–2.451.15–4.80safer0.16–2.600.51–2.680.67–5.28
Shots on target
38%
13%
49%
homeawaytotalprediction4.354.759.10safe2.48–6.213.01–6.495.49–12.70safer1.99–6.702.54–6.964.53–13.66
Total shots
34%
58%
homeawaytotalprediction12.3713.9526.32safe8.45–16.3010.38–17.5118.83–33.80safer7.35–17.399.42–18.4716.78–35.85
Shots in box
51%
40%
homeawaytotalprediction8.978.3717.34safe6.03–11.915.69–11.0511.71–22.96safer5.20–12.744.95–11.7910.15–24.53
Blocked shots
34%
15%
51%
homeawaytotalprediction3.333.907.23safe1.44–5.212.25–5.553.69–10.76safer0.90–5.751.75–6.042.65–11.80
Corners
42%
13%
45%
homeawaytotalprediction4.694.819.50safe2.47–6.902.81–6.815.29–13.72safer1.90–7.482.28–7.354.18–14.82
Possession %
91%
homeawayprediction37.9261.35safe31.13–44.7154.56–68.13safer29.46–46.3852.89–69.80
Passes
92%
homeawaytotalprediction297467764safe230–364401–534631–898safer212–382383–551595–934
Pass accuracy %
88%
homeawayprediction71.8781.34safe67.84–75.9077.01–85.66safer66.55–77.1975.70–86.97
Fouls
66%
27%
homeawaytotalprediction13.8711.2625.13safe11.04–16.718.31–14.2019.35–30.91safer10.28–17.477.56–14.9517.84–32.42
Offsides
66%
16%
18%
homeawaytotalprediction2.931.534.46safe1.77–4.090.43–2.622.20–6.71safer1.47–4.390.15–2.911.61–7.30
Yellow cards
44%
20%
36%
homeawaytotalprediction2.201.984.18safe1.15–3.240.85–3.112.00–6.35safer0.88–3.510.56–3.401.44–6.91
Red cards
81%
homeawaytotalprediction0.120.100.23safe0.00–0.280.00–0.290.00–0.57safer0.00–0.430.00–0.420.00–0.86
GK saves
38%
17%
45%
homeawaytotalprediction2.813.015.82safe1.37–4.251.46–4.572.83–8.82safer0.99–4.631.03–4.992.02–9.63
| Stat | Homepred / safe / safer | Awaypred / safe / safer | Totalpred / safe / safer | Who wins |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Goals | 1.38 0.41–2.34 0.16–2.60 | 1.60 0.74–2.45 0.51–2.68 | 2.97 1.15–4.80 0.67–5.28 | 33% 24% 43% |
| Shots on target | 4.35 2.48–6.21 1.99–6.70 | 4.75 3.01–6.49 2.54–6.96 | 9.10 5.49–12.70 4.53–13.66 | 38% 13% 49% |
| Total shots | 12.37 8.45–16.30 7.35–17.39 | 13.95 10.38–17.51 9.42–18.47 | 26.32 18.83–33.80 16.78–35.85 | 34% 58% |
| Shots in box | 8.97 6.03–11.91 5.20–12.74 | 8.37 5.69–11.05 4.95–11.79 | 17.34 11.71–22.96 10.15–24.53 | 51% 40% |
| Blocked shots | 3.33 1.44–5.21 0.90–5.75 | 3.90 2.25–5.55 1.75–6.04 | 7.23 3.69–10.76 2.65–11.80 | 34% 15% 51% |
| Corners | 4.69 2.47–6.90 1.90–7.48 | 4.81 2.81–6.81 2.28–7.35 | 9.50 5.29–13.72 4.18–14.82 | 42% 13% 45% |
| Possession % | 37.92 31.13–44.71 29.46–46.38 | 61.35 54.56–68.13 52.89–69.80 | — | 91% |
| Passes | 297 230–364 212–382 | 467 401–534 383–551 | 764 631–898 595–934 | 92% |
| Pass accuracy % | 71.87 67.84–75.90 66.55–77.19 | 81.34 77.01–85.66 75.70–86.97 | — | 88% |
| Fouls | 13.87 11.04–16.71 10.28–17.47 | 11.26 8.31–14.20 7.56–14.95 | 25.13 19.35–30.91 17.84–32.42 | 66% 27% |
| Offsides | 2.93 1.77–4.09 1.47–4.39 | 1.53 0.43–2.62 0.15–2.91 | 4.46 2.20–6.71 1.61–7.30 | 66% 16% 18% |
| Yellow cards | 2.20 1.15–3.24 0.88–3.51 | 1.98 0.85–3.11 0.56–3.40 | 4.18 2.00–6.35 1.44–6.91 | 44% 20% 36% |
| Red cards | 0.12 0.00–0.28 0.00–0.43 | 0.10 0.00–0.29 0.00–0.42 | 0.23 0.00–0.57 0.00–0.86 | 81% |
| GK saves | 2.81 1.37–4.25 0.99–4.63 | 3.01 1.46–4.57 1.03–4.99 | 5.82 2.83–8.82 2.02–9.63 | 38% 17% 45% |
safe = prediction ± MAE · safer = ± RMSE of the serving model for that statistic. The bars show the model's own chance of each side recording more of that statistic — a Poisson approximation from the predicted rates, with the two teams treated as independent
Statistical estimates for information & entertainment only — not betting advice.18+