Süper Lig·Regular Season - 28·
Süper Lig·Regular Season - 28·Predicted match statistics
Goals
55%
22%
23%
homeawaytotalprediction1.881.143.02safe0.91–2.850.28–1.991.20–4.84safer0.66–3.100.05–2.220.72–5.32
Shots on target
67%
22%
homeawaytotalprediction5.723.869.58safe3.85–7.582.12–5.605.97–13.18safer3.36–8.071.65–6.075.02–14.14
Total shots
76%
18%
homeawaytotalprediction15.3311.2126.53safe11.40–19.257.65–14.7719.05–34.02safer10.31–20.346.69–15.7317.00–36.07
Shots in box
69%
23%
homeawaytotalprediction10.407.7918.19safe7.46–13.345.11–10.4712.56–23.81safer6.63–14.174.37–11.2111.00–25.38
Blocked shots
61%
14%
25%
homeawaytotalprediction4.232.977.20safe2.35–6.111.32–4.623.66–10.73safer1.80–6.660.82–5.112.63–11.77
Corners
63%
26%
homeawaytotalprediction5.854.2910.15safe3.64–8.072.29–6.295.93–14.36safer3.07–8.641.76–6.834.83–15.47
Possession %
96%
homeawayprediction65.4234.98safe58.63–72.2128.20–41.77safer56.96–73.8826.53–43.44
Passes
98%
homeawaytotalprediction524267792safe457–591201–334658–925safer439–610183–351622–961
Pass accuracy %
94%
homeawayprediction83.5670.81safe79.53–87.5966.49–75.13safer78.24–88.8865.18–76.44
Fouls
16%
78%
homeawaytotalprediction10.3314.6925.01safe7.49–13.1611.74–17.6319.23–30.80safer6.73–13.9211.00–18.3817.73–32.30
Offsides
17%
16%
67%
homeawaytotalprediction1.462.894.35safe0.30–2.621.79–3.982.09–6.60safer0.00–2.921.50–4.271.50–7.19
Yellow cards
32%
21%
48%
homeawaytotalprediction1.732.143.87safe0.68–2.781.01–3.271.69–6.05safer0.42–3.050.72–3.561.13–6.61
Red cards
82%
homeawaytotalprediction0.090.110.21safe0.00–0.260.00–0.300.00–0.55safer0.00–0.410.00–0.430.00–0.84
GK saves
24%
14%
62%
homeawaytotalprediction2.583.876.44safe1.14–4.012.31–5.423.45–9.44safer0.75–4.401.89–5.852.64–10.25
| Stat | Homepred / safe / safer | Awaypred / safe / safer | Totalpred / safe / safer | Who wins |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Goals | 1.88 0.91–2.85 0.66–3.10 | 1.14 0.28–1.99 0.05–2.22 | 3.02 1.20–4.84 0.72–5.32 | 55% 22% 23% |
| Shots on target | 5.72 3.85–7.58 3.36–8.07 | 3.86 2.12–5.60 1.65–6.07 | 9.58 5.97–13.18 5.02–14.14 | 67% 22% |
| Total shots | 15.33 11.40–19.25 10.31–20.34 | 11.21 7.65–14.77 6.69–15.73 | 26.53 19.05–34.02 17.00–36.07 | 76% 18% |
| Shots in box | 10.40 7.46–13.34 6.63–14.17 | 7.79 5.11–10.47 4.37–11.21 | 18.19 12.56–23.81 11.00–25.38 | 69% 23% |
| Blocked shots | 4.23 2.35–6.11 1.80–6.66 | 2.97 1.32–4.62 0.82–5.11 | 7.20 3.66–10.73 2.63–11.77 | 61% 14% 25% |
| Corners | 5.85 3.64–8.07 3.07–8.64 | 4.29 2.29–6.29 1.76–6.83 | 10.15 5.93–14.36 4.83–15.47 | 63% 26% |
| Possession % | 65.42 58.63–72.21 56.96–73.88 | 34.98 28.20–41.77 26.53–43.44 | — | 96% |
| Passes | 524 457–591 439–610 | 267 201–334 183–351 | 792 658–925 622–961 | 98% |
| Pass accuracy % | 83.56 79.53–87.59 78.24–88.88 | 70.81 66.49–75.13 65.18–76.44 | — | 94% |
| Fouls | 10.33 7.49–13.16 6.73–13.92 | 14.69 11.74–17.63 11.00–18.38 | 25.01 19.23–30.80 17.73–32.30 | 16% 78% |
| Offsides | 1.46 0.30–2.62 0.00–2.92 | 2.89 1.79–3.98 1.50–4.27 | 4.35 2.09–6.60 1.50–7.19 | 17% 16% 67% |
| Yellow cards | 1.73 0.68–2.78 0.42–3.05 | 2.14 1.01–3.27 0.72–3.56 | 3.87 1.69–6.05 1.13–6.61 | 32% 21% 48% |
| Red cards | 0.09 0.00–0.26 0.00–0.41 | 0.11 0.00–0.30 0.00–0.43 | 0.21 0.00–0.55 0.00–0.84 | 82% |
| GK saves | 2.58 1.14–4.01 0.75–4.40 | 3.87 2.31–5.42 1.89–5.85 | 6.44 3.45–9.44 2.64–10.25 | 24% 14% 62% |
safe = prediction ± MAE · safer = ± RMSE of the serving model for that statistic. The bars show the model's own chance of each side recording more of that statistic — a Poisson approximation from the predicted rates, with the two teams treated as independent
Statistical estimates for information & entertainment only — not betting advice.18+