Süper Lig·Regular Season - 11·
Süper Lig·Regular Season - 11·Predicted match statistics
Goals
56%
25%
19%
homeawaytotalprediction1.600.822.42safe0.63–2.570.00–1.680.60–4.24safer0.38–2.820.00–1.910.12–4.72
Shots on target
71%
18%
homeawaytotalprediction5.073.038.11safe3.21–6.941.29–4.774.50–11.71safer2.72–7.430.82–5.243.55–12.67
Total shots
85%
homeawaytotalprediction15.719.9525.66safe11.78–19.636.39–13.5118.17–33.15safer10.69–20.725.43–14.4716.12–35.20
Shots in box
79%
14%
homeawaytotalprediction9.455.8315.28safe6.51–12.403.15–8.519.66–20.90safer5.68–13.232.41–9.248.09–22.47
Blocked shots
65%
13%
21%
homeawaytotalprediction4.212.676.88safe2.33–6.091.01–4.323.34–10.41safer1.78–6.640.52–4.812.30–11.45
Corners
69%
20%
homeawaytotalprediction5.793.759.54safe3.58–8.001.75–5.755.33–13.75safer3.00–8.581.22–6.284.22–14.86
Possession %
89%
homeawayprediction60.9539.03safe54.16–67.7432.25–45.82safer52.49–69.4130.57–47.49
Passes
93%
homeawaytotalprediction530349879safe463–598282–415745–1012safer445–616265–432709–1048
Pass accuracy %
87%
homeawayprediction87.4778.29safe83.44–91.5073.96–82.61safer82.15–92.7972.65–83.92
Fouls
39%
54%
homeawaytotalprediction12.0312.9724.99safe9.19–14.8610.02–15.9119.21–30.78safer8.43–15.629.28–16.6617.71–32.28
Offsides
47%
23%
30%
homeawaytotalprediction1.771.373.14safe0.61–2.930.28–2.460.89–5.40safer0.31–3.230.00–2.750.30–5.99
Yellow cards
35%
21%
44%
homeawaytotalprediction1.782.003.79safe0.73–2.830.88–3.131.61–5.97safer0.47–3.100.58–3.421.05–6.52
Red cards
84%
homeawaytotalprediction0.080.110.19safe0.00–0.240.00–0.290.00–0.53safer0.00–0.390.00–0.430.00–0.82
GK saves
25%
15%
60%
homeawaytotalprediction2.343.445.78safe0.90–3.771.89–5.002.79–8.78safer0.51–4.161.46–5.431.98–9.59
| Stat | Homepred / safe / safer | Awaypred / safe / safer | Totalpred / safe / safer | Who wins |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Goals | 1.60 0.63–2.57 0.38–2.82 | 0.82 0.00–1.68 0.00–1.91 | 2.42 0.60–4.24 0.12–4.72 | 56% 25% 19% |
| Shots on target | 5.07 3.21–6.94 2.72–7.43 | 3.03 1.29–4.77 0.82–5.24 | 8.11 4.50–11.71 3.55–12.67 | 71% 18% |
| Total shots | 15.71 11.78–19.63 10.69–20.72 | 9.95 6.39–13.51 5.43–14.47 | 25.66 18.17–33.15 16.12–35.20 | 85% |
| Shots in box | 9.45 6.51–12.40 5.68–13.23 | 5.83 3.15–8.51 2.41–9.24 | 15.28 9.66–20.90 8.09–22.47 | 79% 14% |
| Blocked shots | 4.21 2.33–6.09 1.78–6.64 | 2.67 1.01–4.32 0.52–4.81 | 6.88 3.34–10.41 2.30–11.45 | 65% 13% 21% |
| Corners | 5.79 3.58–8.00 3.00–8.58 | 3.75 1.75–5.75 1.22–6.28 | 9.54 5.33–13.75 4.22–14.86 | 69% 20% |
| Possession % | 60.95 54.16–67.74 52.49–69.41 | 39.03 32.25–45.82 30.57–47.49 | — | 89% |
| Passes | 530 463–598 445–616 | 349 282–415 265–432 | 879 745–1012 709–1048 | 93% |
| Pass accuracy % | 87.47 83.44–91.50 82.15–92.79 | 78.29 73.96–82.61 72.65–83.92 | — | 87% |
| Fouls | 12.03 9.19–14.86 8.43–15.62 | 12.97 10.02–15.91 9.28–16.66 | 24.99 19.21–30.78 17.71–32.28 | 39% 54% |
| Offsides | 1.77 0.61–2.93 0.31–3.23 | 1.37 0.28–2.46 0.00–2.75 | 3.14 0.89–5.40 0.30–5.99 | 47% 23% 30% |
| Yellow cards | 1.78 0.73–2.83 0.47–3.10 | 2.00 0.88–3.13 0.58–3.42 | 3.79 1.61–5.97 1.05–6.52 | 35% 21% 44% |
| Red cards | 0.08 0.00–0.24 0.00–0.39 | 0.11 0.00–0.29 0.00–0.43 | 0.19 0.00–0.53 0.00–0.82 | 84% |
| GK saves | 2.34 0.90–3.77 0.51–4.16 | 3.44 1.89–5.00 1.46–5.43 | 5.78 2.79–8.78 1.98–9.59 | 25% 15% 60% |
safe = prediction ± MAE · safer = ± RMSE of the serving model for that statistic. The bars show the model's own chance of each side recording more of that statistic — a Poisson approximation from the predicted rates, with the two teams treated as independent
Statistical estimates for information & entertainment only — not betting advice.