Süper Lig·Regular Season - 28·
Süper Lig·Regular Season - 28·Predicted match statistics
Goals
29%
26%
45%
homeawaytotalprediction1.121.452.56safe0.15–2.090.59–2.300.74–4.39safer0.00–2.340.36–2.530.26–4.87
Shots on target
34%
14%
52%
homeawaytotalprediction3.744.418.16safe1.88–5.612.67–6.164.55–11.76safer1.39–6.102.20–6.623.60–12.72
Total shots
36%
57%
homeawaytotalprediction12.2613.5925.85safe8.33–16.1810.03–17.1618.36–33.34safer7.24–17.279.07–18.1216.31–35.39
Shots in box
45%
45%
homeawaytotalprediction7.827.7915.61safe4.88–10.765.11–10.479.98–21.23safer4.05–11.594.37–11.208.42–22.80
Blocked shots
34%
15%
50%
homeawaytotalprediction3.163.706.87safe1.28–5.042.05–5.363.33–10.40safer0.74–5.591.56–5.852.29–11.44
Corners
35%
13%
51%
homeawaytotalprediction4.214.829.03safe2.00–6.422.82–6.824.82–13.24safer1.42–7.002.29–7.353.71–14.35
Possession %
20%
77%
homeawayprediction43.0356.28safe36.23–49.8249.49–63.06safer34.57–51.4947.82–64.73
Passes
18%
82%
homeawaytotalprediction374484858safe306–441418–551724–992safer288–459400–568689–1027
Pass accuracy %
21%
75%
homeawayprediction80.2685.96safe76.23–84.2981.63–90.28safer74.94–85.5880.32–91.59
Fouls
43%
49%
homeawaytotalprediction12.4412.8025.25safe9.60–15.289.86–15.7519.46–31.03safer8.85–16.049.11–16.5017.96–32.53
Offsides
37%
24%
39%
homeawaytotalprediction1.501.543.04safe0.34–2.660.45–2.630.78–5.29safer0.03–2.960.16–2.920.19–5.88
Yellow cards
32%
21%
46%
homeawaytotalprediction1.642.003.64safe0.59–2.690.87–3.121.46–5.81safer0.32–2.960.58–3.420.90–6.37
Red cards
83%
homeawaytotalprediction0.100.100.19safe0.00–0.260.00–0.280.00–0.54safer0.00–0.410.00–0.420.00–0.82
GK saves
50%
17%
34%
homeawaytotalprediction3.072.595.66safe1.64–4.511.03–4.142.67–8.65safer1.25–4.900.61–4.571.86–9.47
| Stat | Homepred / safe / safer | Awaypred / safe / safer | Totalpred / safe / safer | Who wins |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Goals | 1.12 0.15–2.09 0.00–2.34 | 1.45 0.59–2.30 0.36–2.53 | 2.56 0.74–4.39 0.26–4.87 | 29% 26% 45% |
| Shots on target | 3.74 1.88–5.61 1.39–6.10 | 4.41 2.67–6.16 2.20–6.62 | 8.16 4.55–11.76 3.60–12.72 | 34% 14% 52% |
| Total shots | 12.26 8.33–16.18 7.24–17.27 | 13.59 10.03–17.16 9.07–18.12 | 25.85 18.36–33.34 16.31–35.39 | 36% 57% |
| Shots in box | 7.82 4.88–10.76 4.05–11.59 | 7.79 5.11–10.47 4.37–11.20 | 15.61 9.98–21.23 8.42–22.80 | 45% 45% |
| Blocked shots | 3.16 1.28–5.04 0.74–5.59 | 3.70 2.05–5.36 1.56–5.85 | 6.87 3.33–10.40 2.29–11.44 | 34% 15% 50% |
| Corners | 4.21 2.00–6.42 1.42–7.00 | 4.82 2.82–6.82 2.29–7.35 | 9.03 4.82–13.24 3.71–14.35 | 35% 13% 51% |
| Possession % | 43.03 36.23–49.82 34.57–51.49 | 56.28 49.49–63.06 47.82–64.73 | — | 20% 77% |
| Passes | 374 306–441 288–459 | 484 418–551 400–568 | 858 724–992 689–1027 | 18% 82% |
| Pass accuracy % | 80.26 76.23–84.29 74.94–85.58 | 85.96 81.63–90.28 80.32–91.59 | — | 21% 75% |
| Fouls | 12.44 9.60–15.28 8.85–16.04 | 12.80 9.86–15.75 9.11–16.50 | 25.25 19.46–31.03 17.96–32.53 | 43% 49% |
| Offsides | 1.50 0.34–2.66 0.03–2.96 | 1.54 0.45–2.63 0.16–2.92 | 3.04 0.78–5.29 0.19–5.88 | 37% 24% 39% |
| Yellow cards | 1.64 0.59–2.69 0.32–2.96 | 2.00 0.87–3.12 0.58–3.42 | 3.64 1.46–5.81 0.90–6.37 | 32% 21% 46% |
| Red cards | 0.10 0.00–0.26 0.00–0.41 | 0.10 0.00–0.28 0.00–0.42 | 0.19 0.00–0.54 0.00–0.82 | 83% |
| GK saves | 3.07 1.64–4.51 1.25–4.90 | 2.59 1.03–4.14 0.61–4.57 | 5.66 2.67–8.65 1.86–9.47 | 50% 17% 34% |
safe = prediction ± MAE · safer = ± RMSE of the serving model for that statistic. The bars show the model's own chance of each side recording more of that statistic — a Poisson approximation from the predicted rates, with the two teams treated as independent
Statistical estimates for information & entertainment only — not betting advice.18+