Süper Lig·Regular Season - 11·
Süper Lig·Regular Season - 11·Predicted match statistics
Goals
43%
26%
30%
homeawaytotalprediction1.411.132.54safe0.44–2.380.28–1.990.72–4.37safer0.19–2.630.05–2.220.24–4.85
Shots on target
59%
13%
28%
homeawaytotalprediction4.693.548.24safe2.83–6.561.80–5.294.63–11.84safer2.34–7.051.34–5.753.68–12.80
Total shots
78%
17%
homeawaytotalprediction14.9010.5425.44safe10.97–18.826.98–14.1117.95–32.93safer9.88–19.916.02–15.0615.90–34.98
Shots in box
71%
22%
homeawaytotalprediction9.827.0916.91safe6.88–12.764.41–9.7711.29–22.54safer6.05–13.593.67–10.519.72–24.10
Blocked shots
59%
14%
26%
homeawaytotalprediction3.892.786.67safe2.00–5.771.13–4.443.13–10.20safer1.46–6.310.64–4.932.10–11.24
Corners
65%
23%
homeawaytotalprediction5.463.779.24safe3.25–7.681.77–5.775.02–13.45safer2.68–8.251.24–6.313.92–14.56
Possession %
75%
22%
homeawayprediction56.2944.13safe49.50–63.0837.34–50.91safer47.83–64.7535.67–52.58
Passes
84%
16%
homeawaytotalprediction505385891safe438–573319–452757–1025safer420–591301–469721–1060
Pass accuracy %
71%
25%
homeawayprediction84.9980.22safe80.96–89.0275.89–84.54safer79.67–90.3174.58–85.85
Fouls
37%
55%
homeawaytotalprediction13.0214.2427.26safe10.19–15.8611.30–17.1921.48–33.05safer9.43–16.6210.55–17.9419.98–34.55
Offsides
52%
24%
24%
homeawaytotalprediction1.721.082.80safe0.56–2.880.00–2.170.55–5.06safer0.26–3.190.00–2.460.00–5.65
Yellow cards
35%
19%
46%
homeawaytotalprediction2.152.474.62safe1.10–3.201.35–3.602.44–6.80safer0.83–3.461.05–3.901.89–7.36
Red cards
79%
homeawaytotalprediction0.130.120.26safe0.00–0.300.00–0.310.00–0.61safer0.00–0.450.00–0.440.00–0.89
GK saves
29%
16%
55%
homeawaytotalprediction2.473.315.78safe1.03–3.911.75–4.862.78–8.77safer0.65–4.291.33–5.291.97–9.58
| Stat | Homepred / safe / safer | Awaypred / safe / safer | Totalpred / safe / safer | Who wins |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Goals | 1.41 0.44–2.38 0.19–2.63 | 1.13 0.28–1.99 0.05–2.22 | 2.54 0.72–4.37 0.24–4.85 | 43% 26% 30% |
| Shots on target | 4.69 2.83–6.56 2.34–7.05 | 3.54 1.80–5.29 1.34–5.75 | 8.24 4.63–11.84 3.68–12.80 | 59% 13% 28% |
| Total shots | 14.90 10.97–18.82 9.88–19.91 | 10.54 6.98–14.11 6.02–15.06 | 25.44 17.95–32.93 15.90–34.98 | 78% 17% |
| Shots in box | 9.82 6.88–12.76 6.05–13.59 | 7.09 4.41–9.77 3.67–10.51 | 16.91 11.29–22.54 9.72–24.10 | 71% 22% |
| Blocked shots | 3.89 2.00–5.77 1.46–6.31 | 2.78 1.13–4.44 0.64–4.93 | 6.67 3.13–10.20 2.10–11.24 | 59% 14% 26% |
| Corners | 5.46 3.25–7.68 2.68–8.25 | 3.77 1.77–5.77 1.24–6.31 | 9.24 5.02–13.45 3.92–14.56 | 65% 23% |
| Possession % | 56.29 49.50–63.08 47.83–64.75 | 44.13 37.34–50.91 35.67–52.58 | — | 75% 22% |
| Passes | 505 438–573 420–591 | 385 319–452 301–469 | 891 757–1025 721–1060 | 84% 16% |
| Pass accuracy % | 84.99 80.96–89.02 79.67–90.31 | 80.22 75.89–84.54 74.58–85.85 | — | 71% 25% |
| Fouls | 13.02 10.19–15.86 9.43–16.62 | 14.24 11.30–17.19 10.55–17.94 | 27.26 21.48–33.05 19.98–34.55 | 37% 55% |
| Offsides | 1.72 0.56–2.88 0.26–3.19 | 1.08 0.00–2.17 0.00–2.46 | 2.80 0.55–5.06 0.00–5.65 | 52% 24% 24% |
| Yellow cards | 2.15 1.10–3.20 0.83–3.46 | 2.47 1.35–3.60 1.05–3.90 | 4.62 2.44–6.80 1.89–7.36 | 35% 19% 46% |
| Red cards | 0.13 0.00–0.30 0.00–0.45 | 0.12 0.00–0.31 0.00–0.44 | 0.26 0.00–0.61 0.00–0.89 | 79% |
| GK saves | 2.47 1.03–3.91 0.65–4.29 | 3.31 1.75–4.86 1.33–5.29 | 5.78 2.78–8.77 1.97–9.58 | 29% 16% 55% |
safe = prediction ± MAE · safer = ± RMSE of the serving model for that statistic. The bars show the model's own chance of each side recording more of that statistic — a Poisson approximation from the predicted rates, with the two teams treated as independent
Statistical estimates for information & entertainment only — not betting advice.18+