Süper Lig·Regular Season - 28·
Süper Lig·Regular Season - 28·Predicted match statistics
Goals
35%
27%
38%
homeawaytotalprediction1.241.322.56safe0.28–2.210.46–2.170.74–4.38safer0.02–2.460.23–2.400.26–4.86
Shots on target
42%
14%
44%
homeawaytotalprediction4.144.218.34safe2.28–6.002.46–5.954.74–11.95safer1.79–6.492.00–6.413.78–12.90
Total shots
47%
45%
homeawaytotalprediction12.5312.4624.99safe8.61–16.468.89–16.0217.50–32.48safer7.52–17.557.93–16.9815.45–34.53
Shots in box
43%
47%
homeawaytotalprediction7.697.8615.55safe4.75–10.635.18–10.549.93–21.17safer3.92–11.464.44–11.288.36–22.74
Blocked shots
48%
16%
36%
homeawaytotalprediction3.352.986.33safe1.47–5.231.33–4.642.80–9.87safer0.92–5.770.84–5.131.76–10.90
Corners
45%
42%
homeawaytotalprediction4.894.789.68safe2.68–7.112.78–6.785.46–13.89safer2.11–7.682.25–7.314.35–15.00
Possession %
29%
66%
homeawayprediction46.0854.24safe39.29–52.8747.45–61.02safer37.62–54.5445.78–62.69
Passes
26%
74%
homeawaytotalprediction403480883safe336–470413–546749–1016safer317–488396–564713–1052
Pass accuracy %
30%
66%
homeawayprediction81.2084.80safe77.17–85.2380.47–89.12safer75.87–86.5279.17–90.43
Fouls
56%
37%
homeawaytotalprediction13.3912.1825.57safe10.55–16.229.24–15.1319.79–31.35safer9.79–16.988.49–15.8818.28–32.86
Offsides
31%
24%
45%
homeawaytotalprediction1.301.602.90safe0.14–2.460.51–2.700.65–5.15safer0.00–2.760.22–2.990.06–5.74
Yellow cards
42%
20%
39%
homeawaytotalprediction2.222.144.36safe1.17–3.271.02–3.272.18–6.54safer0.90–3.530.72–3.561.63–7.10
Red cards
81%
homeawaytotalprediction0.120.100.22safe0.00–0.280.00–0.290.00–0.57safer0.00–0.430.00–0.420.00–0.85
GK saves
44%
17%
39%
homeawaytotalprediction2.942.795.72safe1.50–4.371.23–4.342.73–8.71safer1.11–4.760.81–4.771.92–9.53
| Stat | Homepred / safe / safer | Awaypred / safe / safer | Totalpred / safe / safer | Who wins |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Goals | 1.24 0.28–2.21 0.02–2.46 | 1.32 0.46–2.17 0.23–2.40 | 2.56 0.74–4.38 0.26–4.86 | 35% 27% 38% |
| Shots on target | 4.14 2.28–6.00 1.79–6.49 | 4.21 2.46–5.95 2.00–6.41 | 8.34 4.74–11.95 3.78–12.90 | 42% 14% 44% |
| Total shots | 12.53 8.61–16.46 7.52–17.55 | 12.46 8.89–16.02 7.93–16.98 | 24.99 17.50–32.48 15.45–34.53 | 47% 45% |
| Shots in box | 7.69 4.75–10.63 3.92–11.46 | 7.86 5.18–10.54 4.44–11.28 | 15.55 9.93–21.17 8.36–22.74 | 43% 47% |
| Blocked shots | 3.35 1.47–5.23 0.92–5.77 | 2.98 1.33–4.64 0.84–5.13 | 6.33 2.80–9.87 1.76–10.90 | 48% 16% 36% |
| Corners | 4.89 2.68–7.11 2.11–7.68 | 4.78 2.78–6.78 2.25–7.31 | 9.68 5.46–13.89 4.35–15.00 | 45% 42% |
| Possession % | 46.08 39.29–52.87 37.62–54.54 | 54.24 47.45–61.02 45.78–62.69 | — | 29% 66% |
| Passes | 403 336–470 317–488 | 480 413–546 396–564 | 883 749–1016 713–1052 | 26% 74% |
| Pass accuracy % | 81.20 77.17–85.23 75.87–86.52 | 84.80 80.47–89.12 79.17–90.43 | — | 30% 66% |
| Fouls | 13.39 10.55–16.22 9.79–16.98 | 12.18 9.24–15.13 8.49–15.88 | 25.57 19.79–31.35 18.28–32.86 | 56% 37% |
| Offsides | 1.30 0.14–2.46 0.00–2.76 | 1.60 0.51–2.70 0.22–2.99 | 2.90 0.65–5.15 0.06–5.74 | 31% 24% 45% |
| Yellow cards | 2.22 1.17–3.27 0.90–3.53 | 2.14 1.02–3.27 0.72–3.56 | 4.36 2.18–6.54 1.63–7.10 | 42% 20% 39% |
| Red cards | 0.12 0.00–0.28 0.00–0.43 | 0.10 0.00–0.29 0.00–0.42 | 0.22 0.00–0.57 0.00–0.85 | 81% |
| GK saves | 2.94 1.50–4.37 1.11–4.76 | 2.79 1.23–4.34 0.81–4.77 | 5.72 2.73–8.71 1.92–9.53 | 44% 17% 39% |
safe = prediction ± MAE · safer = ± RMSE of the serving model for that statistic. The bars show the model's own chance of each side recording more of that statistic — a Poisson approximation from the predicted rates, with the two teams treated as independent
Statistical estimates for information & entertainment only — not betting advice.