Süper Lig·Regular Season - 22·
Süper Lig·Regular Season - 22·Predicted match statistics
Goals
39%
25%
36%
homeawaytotalprediction1.481.412.89safe0.51–2.450.56–2.271.07–4.72safer0.26–2.700.33–2.500.59–5.20
Shots on target
49%
14%
37%
homeawaytotalprediction4.594.138.71safe2.73–6.452.38–5.875.11–12.32safer2.24–6.941.92–6.334.15–13.27
Total shots
53%
39%
homeawaytotalprediction13.0112.0725.07safe9.08–16.938.50–15.6317.58–32.56safer7.99–18.027.54–16.5915.53–34.61
Shots in box
45%
45%
homeawaytotalprediction8.168.1516.31safe5.22–11.105.47–10.8310.69–21.94safer4.39–11.934.73–11.579.12–23.50
Blocked shots
47%
16%
37%
homeawaytotalprediction3.443.106.54safe1.56–5.321.44–4.753.00–10.07safer1.01–5.870.95–5.241.97–11.11
Corners
56%
32%
homeawaytotalprediction5.064.129.17safe2.85–7.272.12–6.124.96–13.39safer2.27–7.851.58–6.653.85–14.49
Possession %
72%
24%
homeawayprediction55.9344.84safe49.13–62.7238.06–51.63safer47.47–64.3936.38–53.30
Passes
78%
22%
homeawaytotalprediction478385863safe411–545319–452729–997safer393–563301–469694–1032
Pass accuracy %
62%
33%
homeawayprediction83.1580.35safe79.12–87.1876.02–84.67safer77.83–88.4774.71–85.98
Fouls
26%
68%
homeawaytotalprediction11.0713.8424.91safe8.23–13.9110.89–16.7819.13–30.69safer7.48–14.6610.15–17.5317.62–32.19
Offsides
15%
14%
71%
homeawaytotalprediction1.453.144.59safe0.29–2.612.05–4.242.34–6.85safer0.00–2.911.76–4.521.75–7.44
Yellow cards
33%
19%
48%
homeawaytotalprediction2.132.534.66safe1.08–3.181.40–3.662.48–6.84safer0.82–3.451.11–3.951.93–7.40
Red cards
78%
homeawaytotalprediction0.120.150.27safe0.00–0.280.00–0.340.00–0.62safer0.00–0.430.00–0.470.00–0.90
GK saves
41%
17%
42%
homeawaytotalprediction2.942.955.88safe1.50–4.371.39–4.502.89–8.88safer1.11–4.760.97–4.932.08–9.69
| Stat | Homepred / safe / safer | Awaypred / safe / safer | Totalpred / safe / safer | Who wins |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Goals | 1.48 0.51–2.45 0.26–2.70 | 1.41 0.56–2.27 0.33–2.50 | 2.89 1.07–4.72 0.59–5.20 | 39% 25% 36% |
| Shots on target | 4.59 2.73–6.45 2.24–6.94 | 4.13 2.38–5.87 1.92–6.33 | 8.71 5.11–12.32 4.15–13.27 | 49% 14% 37% |
| Total shots | 13.01 9.08–16.93 7.99–18.02 | 12.07 8.50–15.63 7.54–16.59 | 25.07 17.58–32.56 15.53–34.61 | 53% 39% |
| Shots in box | 8.16 5.22–11.10 4.39–11.93 | 8.15 5.47–10.83 4.73–11.57 | 16.31 10.69–21.94 9.12–23.50 | 45% 45% |
| Blocked shots | 3.44 1.56–5.32 1.01–5.87 | 3.10 1.44–4.75 0.95–5.24 | 6.54 3.00–10.07 1.97–11.11 | 47% 16% 37% |
| Corners | 5.06 2.85–7.27 2.27–7.85 | 4.12 2.12–6.12 1.58–6.65 | 9.17 4.96–13.39 3.85–14.49 | 56% 32% |
| Possession % | 55.93 49.13–62.72 47.47–64.39 | 44.84 38.06–51.63 36.38–53.30 | — | 72% 24% |
| Passes | 478 411–545 393–563 | 385 319–452 301–469 | 863 729–997 694–1032 | 78% 22% |
| Pass accuracy % | 83.15 79.12–87.18 77.83–88.47 | 80.35 76.02–84.67 74.71–85.98 | — | 62% 33% |
| Fouls | 11.07 8.23–13.91 7.48–14.66 | 13.84 10.89–16.78 10.15–17.53 | 24.91 19.13–30.69 17.62–32.19 | 26% 68% |
| Offsides | 1.45 0.29–2.61 0.00–2.91 | 3.14 2.05–4.24 1.76–4.52 | 4.59 2.34–6.85 1.75–7.44 | 15% 14% 71% |
| Yellow cards | 2.13 1.08–3.18 0.82–3.45 | 2.53 1.40–3.66 1.11–3.95 | 4.66 2.48–6.84 1.93–7.40 | 33% 19% 48% |
| Red cards | 0.12 0.00–0.28 0.00–0.43 | 0.15 0.00–0.34 0.00–0.47 | 0.27 0.00–0.62 0.00–0.90 | 78% |
| GK saves | 2.94 1.50–4.37 1.11–4.76 | 2.95 1.39–4.50 0.97–4.93 | 5.88 2.89–8.88 2.08–9.69 | 41% 17% 42% |
safe = prediction ± MAE · safer = ± RMSE of the serving model for that statistic. The bars show the model's own chance of each side recording more of that statistic — a Poisson approximation from the predicted rates, with the two teams treated as independent
Statistical estimates for information & entertainment only — not betting advice.