Süper Lig·Regular Season - 22·
Süper Lig·Regular Season - 22·Predicted match statistics
Goals
59%
22%
19%
homeawaytotalprediction1.961.012.97safe0.99–2.920.16–1.871.15–4.79safer0.74–3.180.00–2.100.67–5.27
Shots on target
68%
21%
homeawaytotalprediction5.643.749.38safe3.78–7.512.00–5.485.78–12.99safer3.29–7.991.53–5.954.82–13.94
Total shots
82%
13%
homeawaytotalprediction15.8510.6126.45safe11.92–19.777.05–14.1718.97–33.94safer10.83–20.866.09–15.1316.92–35.99
Shots in box
74%
18%
homeawaytotalprediction9.996.8116.81safe7.05–12.934.13–9.5011.18–22.43safer6.22–13.763.40–10.239.62–24.00
Blocked shots
64%
14%
23%
homeawaytotalprediction3.912.536.44safe2.03–5.800.87–4.182.90–9.97safer1.49–6.340.38–4.671.87–11.01
Corners
65%
24%
homeawaytotalprediction5.824.109.91safe3.60–8.032.10–6.105.70–14.13safer3.03–8.601.56–6.634.59–15.23
Possession %
67%
29%
homeawayprediction54.5145.95safe47.72–61.3039.17–52.74safer46.05–62.9737.50–54.41
Passes
78%
22%
homeawaytotalprediction516425941safe449–584358–491807–1075safer431–602341–509772–1110
Pass accuracy %
65%
31%
homeawayprediction85.5582.15safe81.52–89.5877.82–86.47safer80.23–90.8776.51–87.78
Fouls
60%
33%
homeawaytotalprediction14.0012.2026.19safe11.16–16.839.25–15.1420.41–31.98safer10.40–17.598.50–15.8918.91–33.48
Offsides
32%
23%
45%
homeawaytotalprediction1.441.763.20safe0.28–2.600.67–2.860.95–5.46safer0.00–2.900.38–3.140.36–6.05
Yellow cards
42%
21%
37%
homeawaytotalprediction1.941.813.74safe0.89–2.990.68–2.941.57–5.92safer0.62–3.250.39–3.231.01–6.48
Red cards
86%
homeawaytotalprediction0.080.080.16safe0.00–0.240.00–0.270.00–0.51safer0.00–0.390.00–0.400.00–0.79
GK saves
27%
15%
58%
homeawaytotalprediction2.563.566.12safe1.13–4.002.00–5.113.13–9.11safer0.74–4.391.57–5.542.32–9.92
| Stat | Homepred / safe / safer | Awaypred / safe / safer | Totalpred / safe / safer | Who wins |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Goals | 1.96 0.99–2.92 0.74–3.18 | 1.01 0.16–1.87 0.00–2.10 | 2.97 1.15–4.79 0.67–5.27 | 59% 22% 19% |
| Shots on target | 5.64 3.78–7.51 3.29–7.99 | 3.74 2.00–5.48 1.53–5.95 | 9.38 5.78–12.99 4.82–13.94 | 68% 21% |
| Total shots | 15.85 11.92–19.77 10.83–20.86 | 10.61 7.05–14.17 6.09–15.13 | 26.45 18.97–33.94 16.92–35.99 | 82% 13% |
| Shots in box | 9.99 7.05–12.93 6.22–13.76 | 6.81 4.13–9.50 3.40–10.23 | 16.81 11.18–22.43 9.62–24.00 | 74% 18% |
| Blocked shots | 3.91 2.03–5.80 1.49–6.34 | 2.53 0.87–4.18 0.38–4.67 | 6.44 2.90–9.97 1.87–11.01 | 64% 14% 23% |
| Corners | 5.82 3.60–8.03 3.03–8.60 | 4.10 2.10–6.10 1.56–6.63 | 9.91 5.70–14.13 4.59–15.23 | 65% 24% |
| Possession % | 54.51 47.72–61.30 46.05–62.97 | 45.95 39.17–52.74 37.50–54.41 | — | 67% 29% |
| Passes | 516 449–584 431–602 | 425 358–491 341–509 | 941 807–1075 772–1110 | 78% 22% |
| Pass accuracy % | 85.55 81.52–89.58 80.23–90.87 | 82.15 77.82–86.47 76.51–87.78 | — | 65% 31% |
| Fouls | 14.00 11.16–16.83 10.40–17.59 | 12.20 9.25–15.14 8.50–15.89 | 26.19 20.41–31.98 18.91–33.48 | 60% 33% |
| Offsides | 1.44 0.28–2.60 0.00–2.90 | 1.76 0.67–2.86 0.38–3.14 | 3.20 0.95–5.46 0.36–6.05 | 32% 23% 45% |
| Yellow cards | 1.94 0.89–2.99 0.62–3.25 | 1.81 0.68–2.94 0.39–3.23 | 3.74 1.57–5.92 1.01–6.48 | 42% 21% 37% |
| Red cards | 0.08 0.00–0.24 0.00–0.39 | 0.08 0.00–0.27 0.00–0.40 | 0.16 0.00–0.51 0.00–0.79 | 86% |
| GK saves | 2.56 1.13–4.00 0.74–4.39 | 3.56 2.00–5.11 1.57–5.54 | 6.12 3.13–9.11 2.32–9.92 | 27% 15% 58% |
safe = prediction ± MAE · safer = ± RMSE of the serving model for that statistic. The bars show the model's own chance of each side recording more of that statistic — a Poisson approximation from the predicted rates, with the two teams treated as independent
Statistical estimates for information & entertainment only — not betting advice.