Predicted match statistics
Goals
16%
75%
homeawaytotalprediction0.752.443.19safe0.00–1.721.58–3.291.36–5.01safer0.00–1.971.35–3.520.88–5.49
Shots on target
87%
homeawaytotalprediction2.586.429.01safe0.72–4.454.68–8.175.40–12.61safer0.23–4.944.21–8.634.45–13.57
Total shots
96%
homeawaytotalprediction8.2617.5925.84safe4.33–12.1814.02–21.1518.36–33.33safer3.24–13.2713.06–22.1116.31–35.38
Shots in box
93%
homeawaytotalprediction5.1711.5416.72safe2.23–8.128.86–14.2211.09–22.34safer1.40–8.948.12–14.969.53–23.91
Blocked shots
78%
homeawaytotalprediction2.144.656.78safe0.25–4.022.99–6.303.25–10.32safer0.00–4.562.50–6.792.21–11.35
Corners
83%
homeawaytotalprediction2.996.339.32safe0.78–5.204.33–8.335.11–13.54safer0.20–5.783.80–8.874.00–14.64
Possession %
97%
homeawayprediction33.0466.87safe26.25–39.8360.09–73.66safer24.58–41.5058.42–75.33
Passes
99%
homeawaytotalprediction308612920safe241–375545–678786–1053safer223–393528–696750–1089
Pass accuracy %
95%
homeawayprediction73.1586.43safe69.12–77.1882.11–90.76safer67.83–78.4780.80–92.07
Fouls
62%
30%
homeawaytotalprediction13.2311.2124.44safe10.40–16.078.26–14.1518.66–30.22safer9.64–16.837.51–14.9017.15–31.73
Offsides
37%
21%
41%
homeawaytotalprediction1.851.953.80safe0.69–3.010.85–3.041.54–6.05safer0.39–3.310.56–3.330.95–6.64
Yellow cards
48%
20%
31%
homeawaytotalprediction2.191.753.95safe1.14–3.240.62–2.881.77–6.12safer0.88–3.510.33–3.171.21–6.68
Red cards
79%
homeawaytotalprediction0.150.110.26safe0.00–0.310.00–0.300.00–0.60safer0.00–0.460.00–0.430.00–0.89
GK saves
74%
14%
homeawaytotalprediction4.132.036.15safe2.69–5.560.47–3.583.16–9.15safer2.30–5.950.05–4.012.35–9.96
| Stat | Homepred / safe / safer | Awaypred / safe / safer | Totalpred / safe / safer | Who wins |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Goals | 0.75 0.00–1.72 0.00–1.97 | 2.44 1.58–3.29 1.35–3.52 | 3.19 1.36–5.01 0.88–5.49 | 16% 75% |
| Shots on target | 2.58 0.72–4.45 0.23–4.94 | 6.42 4.68–8.17 4.21–8.63 | 9.01 5.40–12.61 4.45–13.57 | 87% |
| Total shots | 8.26 4.33–12.18 3.24–13.27 | 17.59 14.02–21.15 13.06–22.11 | 25.84 18.36–33.33 16.31–35.38 | 96% |
| Shots in box | 5.17 2.23–8.12 1.40–8.94 | 11.54 8.86–14.22 8.12–14.96 | 16.72 11.09–22.34 9.53–23.91 | 93% |
| Blocked shots | 2.14 0.25–4.02 0.00–4.56 | 4.65 2.99–6.30 2.50–6.79 | 6.78 3.25–10.32 2.21–11.35 | 78% |
| Corners | 2.99 0.78–5.20 0.20–5.78 | 6.33 4.33–8.33 3.80–8.87 | 9.32 5.11–13.54 4.00–14.64 | 83% |
| Possession % | 33.04 26.25–39.83 24.58–41.50 | 66.87 60.09–73.66 58.42–75.33 | — | 97% |
| Passes | 308 241–375 223–393 | 612 545–678 528–696 | 920 786–1053 750–1089 | 99% |
| Pass accuracy % | 73.15 69.12–77.18 67.83–78.47 | 86.43 82.11–90.76 80.80–92.07 | — | 95% |
| Fouls | 13.23 10.40–16.07 9.64–16.83 | 11.21 8.26–14.15 7.51–14.90 | 24.44 18.66–30.22 17.15–31.73 | 62% 30% |
| Offsides | 1.85 0.69–3.01 0.39–3.31 | 1.95 0.85–3.04 0.56–3.33 | 3.80 1.54–6.05 0.95–6.64 | 37% 21% 41% |
| Yellow cards | 2.19 1.14–3.24 0.88–3.51 | 1.75 0.62–2.88 0.33–3.17 | 3.95 1.77–6.12 1.21–6.68 | 48% 20% 31% |
| Red cards | 0.15 0.00–0.31 0.00–0.46 | 0.11 0.00–0.30 0.00–0.43 | 0.26 0.00–0.60 0.00–0.89 | 79% |
| GK saves | 4.13 2.69–5.56 2.30–5.95 | 2.03 0.47–3.58 0.05–4.01 | 6.15 3.16–9.15 2.35–9.96 | 74% 14% |
safe = prediction ± MAE · safer = ± RMSE of the serving model for that statistic. The bars show the model's own chance of each side recording more of that statistic — a Poisson approximation from the predicted rates, with the two teams treated as independent
Statistical estimates for information & entertainment only — not betting advice.18+

