Predicted match statistics
Goals
79%
13%
homeawaytotalprediction2.690.693.38safe1.72–3.660.00–1.551.56–5.20safer1.47–3.910.00–1.781.08–5.68
Shots on target
91%
homeawaytotalprediction7.182.569.74safe5.32–9.040.82–4.316.14–13.35safer4.83–9.530.36–4.775.18–14.31
Total shots
99%
homeawaytotalprediction20.057.5927.64safe16.13–23.984.03–11.1520.15–35.13safer15.03–25.073.07–12.1118.10–37.18
Shots in box
98%
homeawaytotalprediction13.294.5317.82safe10.35–16.231.85–7.2112.20–23.45safer9.52–17.061.11–7.9510.63–25.01
Blocked shots
82%
homeawaytotalprediction5.022.107.12safe3.13–6.900.45–3.763.58–10.65safer2.59–7.440.00–4.252.55–11.69
Corners
87%
homeawaytotalprediction7.032.969.99safe4.82–9.250.96–4.965.78–14.21safer4.25–9.820.43–5.494.67–15.31
Possession %
94%
homeawayprediction63.9237.03safe57.13–70.7130.24–43.81safer55.46–72.3828.57–45.48
Passes
98%
homeawaytotalprediction581339920safe513–648273–406786–1053safer495–666255–423750–1089
Pass accuracy %
88%
homeawayprediction84.7475.08safe80.71–88.7770.76–79.40safer79.42–90.0669.45–80.71
Fouls
51%
41%
homeawaytotalprediction13.5012.8126.31safe10.66–16.339.87–15.7620.53–32.09safer9.90–17.099.12–16.5119.02–33.59
Offsides
43%
23%
34%
homeawaytotalprediction1.681.483.16safe0.52–2.840.39–2.570.91–5.42safer0.22–3.140.10–2.860.32–6.00
Yellow cards
23%
20%
56%
homeawaytotalprediction1.372.213.59safe0.33–2.421.08–3.341.41–5.76safer0.06–2.690.79–3.630.85–6.32
Red cards
84%
homeawaytotalprediction0.060.130.19safe0.00–0.220.00–0.310.00–0.53safer0.00–0.370.00–0.450.00–0.82
GK saves
78%
homeawaytotalprediction2.024.426.44safe0.58–3.452.87–5.983.45–9.43safer0.20–3.842.44–6.402.64–10.25
| Stat | Homepred / safe / safer | Awaypred / safe / safer | Totalpred / safe / safer | Who wins |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Goals | 2.69 1.72–3.66 1.47–3.91 | 0.69 0.00–1.55 0.00–1.78 | 3.38 1.56–5.20 1.08–5.68 | 79% 13% |
| Shots on target | 7.18 5.32–9.04 4.83–9.53 | 2.56 0.82–4.31 0.36–4.77 | 9.74 6.14–13.35 5.18–14.31 | 91% |
| Total shots | 20.05 16.13–23.98 15.03–25.07 | 7.59 4.03–11.15 3.07–12.11 | 27.64 20.15–35.13 18.10–37.18 | 99% |
| Shots in box | 13.29 10.35–16.23 9.52–17.06 | 4.53 1.85–7.21 1.11–7.95 | 17.82 12.20–23.45 10.63–25.01 | 98% |
| Blocked shots | 5.02 3.13–6.90 2.59–7.44 | 2.10 0.45–3.76 0.00–4.25 | 7.12 3.58–10.65 2.55–11.69 | 82% |
| Corners | 7.03 4.82–9.25 4.25–9.82 | 2.96 0.96–4.96 0.43–5.49 | 9.99 5.78–14.21 4.67–15.31 | 87% |
| Possession % | 63.92 57.13–70.71 55.46–72.38 | 37.03 30.24–43.81 28.57–45.48 | — | 94% |
| Passes | 581 513–648 495–666 | 339 273–406 255–423 | 920 786–1053 750–1089 | 98% |
| Pass accuracy % | 84.74 80.71–88.77 79.42–90.06 | 75.08 70.76–79.40 69.45–80.71 | — | 88% |
| Fouls | 13.50 10.66–16.33 9.90–17.09 | 12.81 9.87–15.76 9.12–16.51 | 26.31 20.53–32.09 19.02–33.59 | 51% 41% |
| Offsides | 1.68 0.52–2.84 0.22–3.14 | 1.48 0.39–2.57 0.10–2.86 | 3.16 0.91–5.42 0.32–6.00 | 43% 23% 34% |
| Yellow cards | 1.37 0.33–2.42 0.06–2.69 | 2.21 1.08–3.34 0.79–3.63 | 3.59 1.41–5.76 0.85–6.32 | 23% 20% 56% |
| Red cards | 0.06 0.00–0.22 0.00–0.37 | 0.13 0.00–0.31 0.00–0.45 | 0.19 0.00–0.53 0.00–0.82 | 84% |
| GK saves | 2.02 0.58–3.45 0.20–3.84 | 4.42 2.87–5.98 2.44–6.40 | 6.44 3.45–9.43 2.64–10.25 | 78% |
safe = prediction ± MAE · safer = ± RMSE of the serving model for that statistic. The bars show the model's own chance of each side recording more of that statistic — a Poisson approximation from the predicted rates, with the two teams treated as independent
Statistical estimates for information & entertainment only — not betting advice.

