Predicted match statistics
Goals
37%
28%
35%
homeawaytotalprediction1.221.172.39safe0.25–2.190.31–2.020.57–4.21safer0.00–2.440.08–2.250.09–4.69
Shots on target
48%
14%
38%
homeawaytotalprediction4.263.908.16safe2.40–6.122.15–5.644.55–11.76safer1.91–6.611.69–6.103.60–12.72
Total shots
50%
42%
homeawaytotalprediction12.6912.1824.87safe8.76–16.618.62–15.7517.38–32.36safer7.67–17.707.66–16.7115.33–34.41
Shots in box
53%
38%
homeawaytotalprediction9.018.2317.24safe6.07–11.965.55–10.9111.62–22.86safer5.24–12.794.81–11.6410.05–24.43
Blocked shots
41%
15%
44%
homeawaytotalprediction3.453.577.02safe1.57–5.331.92–5.223.49–10.56safer1.03–5.881.42–5.712.45–11.59
Corners
44%
43%
homeawaytotalprediction4.864.849.70safe2.64–7.072.84–6.845.48–13.91safer2.07–7.642.31–7.374.38–15.02
Possession %
31%
65%
homeawayprediction46.2853.72safe39.49–53.0746.94–60.51safer37.82–54.7445.27–62.18
Passes
32%
68%
homeawaytotalprediction325382706safe257–392315–448573–840safer239–410298–466537–876
Pass accuracy %
30%
65%
homeawayprediction72.7176.29safe68.68–76.7471.97–80.62safer67.39–78.0370.66–81.93
Fouls
67%
26%
homeawaytotalprediction14.9212.0827.00safe12.08–17.769.14–15.0321.22–32.79safer11.33–18.518.39–15.7819.72–34.29
Offsides
45%
22%
32%
homeawaytotalprediction1.861.553.41safe0.70–3.020.46–2.641.16–5.67safer0.40–3.320.17–2.930.57–6.26
Yellow cards
45%
19%
36%
homeawaytotalprediction2.352.114.46safe1.30–3.390.99–3.242.28–6.64safer1.03–3.660.69–3.531.72–7.20
Red cards
84%
homeawaytotalprediction0.080.100.18safe0.00–0.240.00–0.290.00–0.53safer0.00–0.390.00–0.420.00–0.81
GK saves
33%
17%
50%
homeawaytotalprediction2.493.015.50safe1.06–3.931.45–4.572.51–8.49safer0.67–4.321.03–4.991.70–9.31
| Stat | Homepred / safe / safer | Awaypred / safe / safer | Totalpred / safe / safer | Who wins |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Goals | 1.22 0.25–2.19 0.00–2.44 | 1.17 0.31–2.02 0.08–2.25 | 2.39 0.57–4.21 0.09–4.69 | 37% 28% 35% |
| Shots on target | 4.26 2.40–6.12 1.91–6.61 | 3.90 2.15–5.64 1.69–6.10 | 8.16 4.55–11.76 3.60–12.72 | 48% 14% 38% |
| Total shots | 12.69 8.76–16.61 7.67–17.70 | 12.18 8.62–15.75 7.66–16.71 | 24.87 17.38–32.36 15.33–34.41 | 50% 42% |
| Shots in box | 9.01 6.07–11.96 5.24–12.79 | 8.23 5.55–10.91 4.81–11.64 | 17.24 11.62–22.86 10.05–24.43 | 53% 38% |
| Blocked shots | 3.45 1.57–5.33 1.03–5.88 | 3.57 1.92–5.22 1.42–5.71 | 7.02 3.49–10.56 2.45–11.59 | 41% 15% 44% |
| Corners | 4.86 2.64–7.07 2.07–7.64 | 4.84 2.84–6.84 2.31–7.37 | 9.70 5.48–13.91 4.38–15.02 | 44% 43% |
| Possession % | 46.28 39.49–53.07 37.82–54.74 | 53.72 46.94–60.51 45.27–62.18 | — | 31% 65% |
| Passes | 325 257–392 239–410 | 382 315–448 298–466 | 706 573–840 537–876 | 32% 68% |
| Pass accuracy % | 72.71 68.68–76.74 67.39–78.03 | 76.29 71.97–80.62 70.66–81.93 | — | 30% 65% |
| Fouls | 14.92 12.08–17.76 11.33–18.51 | 12.08 9.14–15.03 8.39–15.78 | 27.00 21.22–32.79 19.72–34.29 | 67% 26% |
| Offsides | 1.86 0.70–3.02 0.40–3.32 | 1.55 0.46–2.64 0.17–2.93 | 3.41 1.16–5.67 0.57–6.26 | 45% 22% 32% |
| Yellow cards | 2.35 1.30–3.39 1.03–3.66 | 2.11 0.99–3.24 0.69–3.53 | 4.46 2.28–6.64 1.72–7.20 | 45% 19% 36% |
| Red cards | 0.08 0.00–0.24 0.00–0.39 | 0.10 0.00–0.29 0.00–0.42 | 0.18 0.00–0.53 0.00–0.81 | 84% |
| GK saves | 2.49 1.06–3.93 0.67–4.32 | 3.01 1.45–4.57 1.03–4.99 | 5.50 2.51–8.49 1.70–9.31 | 33% 17% 50% |
safe = prediction ± MAE · safer = ± RMSE of the serving model for that statistic. The bars show the model's own chance of each side recording more of that statistic — a Poisson approximation from the predicted rates, with the two teams treated as independent
Statistical estimates for information & entertainment only — not betting advice.18+

