Süper Lig·Regular Season - 22·
Süper Lig·Regular Season - 22·Predicted match statistics
Goals
52%
25%
23%
homeawaytotalprediction1.610.972.57safe0.64–2.570.11–1.820.75–4.39safer0.39–2.820.00–2.050.27–4.87
Shots on target
69%
20%
homeawaytotalprediction5.173.228.40safe3.31–7.041.48–4.964.79–12.00safer2.82–7.531.01–5.433.84–12.96
Total shots
83%
homeawaytotalprediction15.4110.1325.54safe11.49–19.346.56–13.6918.05–33.03safer10.40–20.435.60–14.6516.00–35.08
Shots in box
81%
homeawaytotalprediction9.715.8015.51safe6.77–12.653.12–8.489.89–21.13safer5.94–13.482.38–9.228.32–22.70
Blocked shots
61%
14%
25%
homeawaytotalprediction3.882.686.55safe1.99–5.761.02–4.333.02–10.09safer1.45–6.300.53–4.821.98–11.12
Corners
61%
27%
homeawaytotalprediction5.434.049.47safe3.22–7.652.04–6.045.26–13.68safer2.65–8.221.50–6.574.15–14.79
Possession %
69%
27%
homeawayprediction54.9745.65safe48.18–61.7638.87–52.43safer46.51–63.4337.19–54.11
Passes
73%
27%
homeawaytotalprediction445373818safe378–512306–439684–951safer360–530289–457648–987
Pass accuracy %
68%
28%
homeawayprediction83.1779.10safe79.14–87.2074.78–83.43safer77.85–88.5073.47–84.74
Fouls
46%
47%
homeawaytotalprediction13.9614.0227.99safe11.13–16.8011.08–16.9722.21–33.77safer10.37–17.5610.33–17.7220.70–35.28
Offsides
34%
23%
42%
homeawaytotalprediction1.501.683.17safe0.34–2.660.58–2.770.92–5.43safer0.04–2.960.29–3.060.33–6.02
Yellow cards
36%
19%
45%
homeawaytotalprediction2.172.454.62safe1.13–3.221.32–3.582.44–6.80safer0.86–3.491.03–3.871.89–7.36
Red cards
83%
homeawaytotalprediction0.090.110.20safe0.00–0.250.00–0.290.00–0.55safer0.00–0.400.00–0.430.00–0.83
GK saves
21%
15%
64%
homeawaytotalprediction2.193.565.75safe0.75–3.622.00–5.122.75–8.74safer0.36–4.011.58–5.541.94–9.55
| Stat | Homepred / safe / safer | Awaypred / safe / safer | Totalpred / safe / safer | Who wins |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Goals | 1.61 0.64–2.57 0.39–2.82 | 0.97 0.11–1.82 0.00–2.05 | 2.57 0.75–4.39 0.27–4.87 | 52% 25% 23% |
| Shots on target | 5.17 3.31–7.04 2.82–7.53 | 3.22 1.48–4.96 1.01–5.43 | 8.40 4.79–12.00 3.84–12.96 | 69% 20% |
| Total shots | 15.41 11.49–19.34 10.40–20.43 | 10.13 6.56–13.69 5.60–14.65 | 25.54 18.05–33.03 16.00–35.08 | 83% |
| Shots in box | 9.71 6.77–12.65 5.94–13.48 | 5.80 3.12–8.48 2.38–9.22 | 15.51 9.89–21.13 8.32–22.70 | 81% |
| Blocked shots | 3.88 1.99–5.76 1.45–6.30 | 2.68 1.02–4.33 0.53–4.82 | 6.55 3.02–10.09 1.98–11.12 | 61% 14% 25% |
| Corners | 5.43 3.22–7.65 2.65–8.22 | 4.04 2.04–6.04 1.50–6.57 | 9.47 5.26–13.68 4.15–14.79 | 61% 27% |
| Possession % | 54.97 48.18–61.76 46.51–63.43 | 45.65 38.87–52.43 37.19–54.11 | — | 69% 27% |
| Passes | 445 378–512 360–530 | 373 306–439 289–457 | 818 684–951 648–987 | 73% 27% |
| Pass accuracy % | 83.17 79.14–87.20 77.85–88.50 | 79.10 74.78–83.43 73.47–84.74 | — | 68% 28% |
| Fouls | 13.96 11.13–16.80 10.37–17.56 | 14.02 11.08–16.97 10.33–17.72 | 27.99 22.21–33.77 20.70–35.28 | 46% 47% |
| Offsides | 1.50 0.34–2.66 0.04–2.96 | 1.68 0.58–2.77 0.29–3.06 | 3.17 0.92–5.43 0.33–6.02 | 34% 23% 42% |
| Yellow cards | 2.17 1.13–3.22 0.86–3.49 | 2.45 1.32–3.58 1.03–3.87 | 4.62 2.44–6.80 1.89–7.36 | 36% 19% 45% |
| Red cards | 0.09 0.00–0.25 0.00–0.40 | 0.11 0.00–0.29 0.00–0.43 | 0.20 0.00–0.55 0.00–0.83 | 83% |
| GK saves | 2.19 0.75–3.62 0.36–4.01 | 3.56 2.00–5.12 1.58–5.54 | 5.75 2.75–8.74 1.94–9.55 | 21% 15% 64% |
safe = prediction ± MAE · safer = ± RMSE of the serving model for that statistic. The bars show the model's own chance of each side recording more of that statistic — a Poisson approximation from the predicted rates, with the two teams treated as independent
Statistical estimates for information & entertainment only — not betting advice.