Predicted match statistics
Goals
14%
18%
68%
homeawaytotalprediction0.912.253.16safe0.00–1.881.40–3.111.34–4.98safer0.00–2.131.17–3.340.86–5.46
Shots on target
81%
homeawaytotalprediction3.236.399.62safe1.37–5.094.65–8.136.01–13.22safer0.88–5.584.18–8.605.06–14.18
Total shots
84%
homeawaytotalprediction10.7116.4227.13safe6.78–14.6312.85–19.9819.64–34.61safer5.69–15.7311.89–20.9417.59–36.66
Shots in box
83%
homeawaytotalprediction6.5011.0417.55safe3.56–9.458.36–13.7211.92–23.17safer2.73–10.287.62–14.4610.36–24.74
Blocked shots
15%
74%
homeawaytotalprediction2.684.947.61safe0.79–4.563.28–6.594.08–11.15safer0.25–5.102.79–7.083.04–12.18
Corners
20%
69%
homeawaytotalprediction3.615.619.22safe1.40–5.823.61–7.615.01–13.44safer0.82–6.403.08–8.153.90–14.54
Possession %
16%
81%
homeawayprediction42.0957.67safe35.30–48.8850.88–64.45safer33.63–50.5549.21–66.12
Passes
15%
85%
homeawaytotalprediction359482841safe292–426415–548707–974safer273–444398–566671–1010
Pass accuracy %
15%
81%
homeawayprediction77.2684.66safe73.23–81.2980.34–88.98safer71.94–82.5879.03–90.29
Fouls
34%
59%
homeawaytotalprediction11.8113.4325.24safe8.97–14.6510.48–16.3719.45–31.02safer8.22–15.409.73–17.1217.95–32.52
Offsides
62%
18%
20%
homeawaytotalprediction2.481.363.84safe1.32–3.640.27–2.451.59–6.10safer1.02–3.950.00–2.741.00–6.69
Yellow cards
43%
20%
37%
homeawaytotalprediction2.262.104.36safe1.21–3.310.98–3.232.18–6.54safer0.94–3.570.68–3.521.63–7.10
Red cards
79%
homeawaytotalprediction0.150.100.25safe0.00–0.310.00–0.290.00–0.59safer0.00–0.460.00–0.420.00–0.88
GK saves
67%
13%
19%
homeawaytotalprediction4.102.446.53safe2.66–5.530.88–3.993.54–9.52safer2.27–5.920.45–4.422.73–10.34
| Stat | Homepred / safe / safer | Awaypred / safe / safer | Totalpred / safe / safer | Who wins |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Goals | 0.91 0.00–1.88 0.00–2.13 | 2.25 1.40–3.11 1.17–3.34 | 3.16 1.34–4.98 0.86–5.46 | 14% 18% 68% |
| Shots on target | 3.23 1.37–5.09 0.88–5.58 | 6.39 4.65–8.13 4.18–8.60 | 9.62 6.01–13.22 5.06–14.18 | 81% |
| Total shots | 10.71 6.78–14.63 5.69–15.73 | 16.42 12.85–19.98 11.89–20.94 | 27.13 19.64–34.61 17.59–36.66 | 84% |
| Shots in box | 6.50 3.56–9.45 2.73–10.28 | 11.04 8.36–13.72 7.62–14.46 | 17.55 11.92–23.17 10.36–24.74 | 83% |
| Blocked shots | 2.68 0.79–4.56 0.25–5.10 | 4.94 3.28–6.59 2.79–7.08 | 7.61 4.08–11.15 3.04–12.18 | 15% 74% |
| Corners | 3.61 1.40–5.82 0.82–6.40 | 5.61 3.61–7.61 3.08–8.15 | 9.22 5.01–13.44 3.90–14.54 | 20% 69% |
| Possession % | 42.09 35.30–48.88 33.63–50.55 | 57.67 50.88–64.45 49.21–66.12 | — | 16% 81% |
| Passes | 359 292–426 273–444 | 482 415–548 398–566 | 841 707–974 671–1010 | 15% 85% |
| Pass accuracy % | 77.26 73.23–81.29 71.94–82.58 | 84.66 80.34–88.98 79.03–90.29 | — | 15% 81% |
| Fouls | 11.81 8.97–14.65 8.22–15.40 | 13.43 10.48–16.37 9.73–17.12 | 25.24 19.45–31.02 17.95–32.52 | 34% 59% |
| Offsides | 2.48 1.32–3.64 1.02–3.95 | 1.36 0.27–2.45 0.00–2.74 | 3.84 1.59–6.10 1.00–6.69 | 62% 18% 20% |
| Yellow cards | 2.26 1.21–3.31 0.94–3.57 | 2.10 0.98–3.23 0.68–3.52 | 4.36 2.18–6.54 1.63–7.10 | 43% 20% 37% |
| Red cards | 0.15 0.00–0.31 0.00–0.46 | 0.10 0.00–0.29 0.00–0.42 | 0.25 0.00–0.59 0.00–0.88 | 79% |
| GK saves | 4.10 2.66–5.53 2.27–5.92 | 2.44 0.88–3.99 0.45–4.42 | 6.53 3.54–9.52 2.73–10.34 | 67% 13% 19% |
safe = prediction ± MAE · safer = ± RMSE of the serving model for that statistic. The bars show the model's own chance of each side recording more of that statistic — a Poisson approximation from the predicted rates, with the two teams treated as independent
Statistical estimates for information & entertainment only — not betting advice.

