Predicted match statistics
Goals
62%
21%
17%
homeawaytotalprediction1.960.912.87safe0.99–2.930.05–1.761.04–4.69safer0.74–3.180.00–1.990.56–5.17
Shots on target
69%
20%
homeawaytotalprediction5.713.669.38safe3.85–7.581.92–5.405.77–12.98safer3.36–8.071.45–5.874.81–13.94
Total shots
84%
homeawaytotalprediction16.5610.7927.35safe12.63–20.487.23–14.3519.86–34.84safer11.54–21.586.27–15.3117.81–36.89
Shots in box
82%
homeawaytotalprediction10.626.3316.95safe7.68–13.563.65–9.0111.33–22.58safer6.85–14.392.91–9.759.76–24.14
Blocked shots
66%
21%
homeawaytotalprediction4.402.797.19safe2.52–6.281.14–4.453.66–10.73safer1.97–6.820.65–4.942.62–11.76
Corners
72%
18%
homeawaytotalprediction6.113.779.89safe3.90–8.331.77–5.775.68–14.10safer3.33–8.901.24–6.314.57–15.21
Possession %
85%
homeawayprediction59.6241.00safe52.83–66.4134.22–47.79safer51.16–68.0832.55–49.46
Passes
89%
homeawaytotalprediction495347843safe428–562281–414709–976safer410–581263–431673–1012
Pass accuracy %
79%
18%
homeawayprediction87.0480.42safe83.01–91.0776.09–84.74safer81.72–92.3674.78–86.05
Fouls
54%
38%
homeawaytotalprediction14.3913.2927.68safe11.55–17.2210.35–16.2421.90–33.46safer10.79–17.989.60–16.9920.39–34.97
Offsides
64%
18%
18%
homeawaytotalprediction2.461.253.72safe1.30–3.630.16–2.351.47–5.97safer1.00–3.930.00–2.640.88–6.56
Yellow cards
30%
22%
49%
homeawaytotalprediction1.511.983.49safe0.46–2.560.85–3.111.31–5.67safer0.20–2.830.56–3.400.76–6.23
Red cards
82%
homeawaytotalprediction0.090.120.21safe0.00–0.250.00–0.300.00–0.55safer0.00–0.400.00–0.440.00–0.84
GK saves
27%
15%
58%
homeawaytotalprediction2.593.636.22safe1.16–4.032.07–5.183.23–9.21safer0.77–4.421.65–5.612.42–10.02
| Stat | Homepred / safe / safer | Awaypred / safe / safer | Totalpred / safe / safer | Who wins |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Goals | 1.96 0.99–2.93 0.74–3.18 | 0.91 0.05–1.76 0.00–1.99 | 2.87 1.04–4.69 0.56–5.17 | 62% 21% 17% |
| Shots on target | 5.71 3.85–7.58 3.36–8.07 | 3.66 1.92–5.40 1.45–5.87 | 9.38 5.77–12.98 4.81–13.94 | 69% 20% |
| Total shots | 16.56 12.63–20.48 11.54–21.58 | 10.79 7.23–14.35 6.27–15.31 | 27.35 19.86–34.84 17.81–36.89 | 84% |
| Shots in box | 10.62 7.68–13.56 6.85–14.39 | 6.33 3.65–9.01 2.91–9.75 | 16.95 11.33–22.58 9.76–24.14 | 82% |
| Blocked shots | 4.40 2.52–6.28 1.97–6.82 | 2.79 1.14–4.45 0.65–4.94 | 7.19 3.66–10.73 2.62–11.76 | 66% 21% |
| Corners | 6.11 3.90–8.33 3.33–8.90 | 3.77 1.77–5.77 1.24–6.31 | 9.89 5.68–14.10 4.57–15.21 | 72% 18% |
| Possession % | 59.62 52.83–66.41 51.16–68.08 | 41.00 34.22–47.79 32.55–49.46 | — | 85% |
| Passes | 495 428–562 410–581 | 347 281–414 263–431 | 843 709–976 673–1012 | 89% |
| Pass accuracy % | 87.04 83.01–91.07 81.72–92.36 | 80.42 76.09–84.74 74.78–86.05 | — | 79% 18% |
| Fouls | 14.39 11.55–17.22 10.79–17.98 | 13.29 10.35–16.24 9.60–16.99 | 27.68 21.90–33.46 20.39–34.97 | 54% 38% |
| Offsides | 2.46 1.30–3.63 1.00–3.93 | 1.25 0.16–2.35 0.00–2.64 | 3.72 1.47–5.97 0.88–6.56 | 64% 18% 18% |
| Yellow cards | 1.51 0.46–2.56 0.20–2.83 | 1.98 0.85–3.11 0.56–3.40 | 3.49 1.31–5.67 0.76–6.23 | 30% 22% 49% |
| Red cards | 0.09 0.00–0.25 0.00–0.40 | 0.12 0.00–0.30 0.00–0.44 | 0.21 0.00–0.55 0.00–0.84 | 82% |
| GK saves | 2.59 1.16–4.03 0.77–4.42 | 3.63 2.07–5.18 1.65–5.61 | 6.22 3.23–9.21 2.42–10.02 | 27% 15% 58% |
safe = prediction ± MAE · safer = ± RMSE of the serving model for that statistic. The bars show the model's own chance of each side recording more of that statistic — a Poisson approximation from the predicted rates, with the two teams treated as independent
Statistical estimates for information & entertainment only — not betting advice.