Süper Lig·Regular Season - 22·
Süper Lig·Regular Season - 22·Predicted match statistics
Goals
53%
24%
23%
homeawaytotalprediction1.741.082.82safe0.78–2.710.22–1.931.00–4.65safer0.52–2.960.00–2.160.52–5.12
Shots on target
69%
20%
homeawaytotalprediction5.763.739.50safe3.90–7.631.99–5.485.89–13.10safer3.41–8.121.53–5.944.94–14.06
Total shots
83%
homeawaytotalprediction16.1110.6026.71safe12.18–20.037.04–14.1719.23–34.20safer11.09–21.136.08–15.1317.17–36.25
Shots in box
77%
16%
homeawaytotalprediction10.186.6616.83safe7.24–13.123.98–9.3411.21–22.46safer6.41–13.953.24–10.079.64–24.02
Blocked shots
70%
18%
homeawaytotalprediction4.202.366.56safe2.32–6.080.70–4.013.02–10.09safer1.78–6.630.21–4.501.99–11.13
Corners
71%
18%
homeawaytotalprediction5.903.659.54safe3.68–8.111.65–5.655.33–13.76safer3.11–8.681.11–6.184.22–14.86
Possession %
74%
22%
homeawayprediction56.2444.28safe49.45–63.0337.50–51.06safer47.78–64.7035.82–52.74
Passes
79%
21%
homeawaytotalprediction463366829safe396–531299–432696–963safer378–549282–450660–999
Pass accuracy %
66%
29%
homeawayprediction82.7878.99safe78.75–86.8174.66–83.31safer77.46–88.1073.35–84.62
Fouls
27%
66%
homeawaytotalprediction11.6314.2825.91safe8.79–14.4711.34–17.2320.13–31.69safer8.04–15.2210.59–17.9718.62–33.20
Offsides
37%
22%
41%
homeawaytotalprediction1.691.783.48safe0.53–2.850.69–2.881.22–5.73safer0.23–3.150.40–3.170.63–6.32
Yellow cards
32%
18%
49%
homeawaytotalprediction2.142.634.77safe1.09–3.191.50–3.752.59–6.95safer0.83–3.461.21–4.052.03–7.50
Red cards
77%
14%
homeawaytotalprediction0.110.170.28safe0.00–0.270.00–0.360.00–0.63safer0.00–0.420.00–0.490.00–0.91
GK saves
26%
15%
59%
homeawaytotalprediction2.593.686.27safe1.15–4.022.13–5.243.28–9.26safer0.76–4.411.70–5.662.46–10.07
| Stat | Homepred / safe / safer | Awaypred / safe / safer | Totalpred / safe / safer | Who wins |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Goals | 1.74 0.78–2.71 0.52–2.96 | 1.08 0.22–1.93 0.00–2.16 | 2.82 1.00–4.65 0.52–5.12 | 53% 24% 23% |
| Shots on target | 5.76 3.90–7.63 3.41–8.12 | 3.73 1.99–5.48 1.53–5.94 | 9.50 5.89–13.10 4.94–14.06 | 69% 20% |
| Total shots | 16.11 12.18–20.03 11.09–21.13 | 10.60 7.04–14.17 6.08–15.13 | 26.71 19.23–34.20 17.17–36.25 | 83% |
| Shots in box | 10.18 7.24–13.12 6.41–13.95 | 6.66 3.98–9.34 3.24–10.07 | 16.83 11.21–22.46 9.64–24.02 | 77% 16% |
| Blocked shots | 4.20 2.32–6.08 1.78–6.63 | 2.36 0.70–4.01 0.21–4.50 | 6.56 3.02–10.09 1.99–11.13 | 70% 18% |
| Corners | 5.90 3.68–8.11 3.11–8.68 | 3.65 1.65–5.65 1.11–6.18 | 9.54 5.33–13.76 4.22–14.86 | 71% 18% |
| Possession % | 56.24 49.45–63.03 47.78–64.70 | 44.28 37.50–51.06 35.82–52.74 | — | 74% 22% |
| Passes | 463 396–531 378–549 | 366 299–432 282–450 | 829 696–963 660–999 | 79% 21% |
| Pass accuracy % | 82.78 78.75–86.81 77.46–88.10 | 78.99 74.66–83.31 73.35–84.62 | — | 66% 29% |
| Fouls | 11.63 8.79–14.47 8.04–15.22 | 14.28 11.34–17.23 10.59–17.97 | 25.91 20.13–31.69 18.62–33.20 | 27% 66% |
| Offsides | 1.69 0.53–2.85 0.23–3.15 | 1.78 0.69–2.88 0.40–3.17 | 3.48 1.22–5.73 0.63–6.32 | 37% 22% 41% |
| Yellow cards | 2.14 1.09–3.19 0.83–3.46 | 2.63 1.50–3.75 1.21–4.05 | 4.77 2.59–6.95 2.03–7.50 | 32% 18% 49% |
| Red cards | 0.11 0.00–0.27 0.00–0.42 | 0.17 0.00–0.36 0.00–0.49 | 0.28 0.00–0.63 0.00–0.91 | 77% 14% |
| GK saves | 2.59 1.15–4.02 0.76–4.41 | 3.68 2.13–5.24 1.70–5.66 | 6.27 3.28–9.26 2.46–10.07 | 26% 15% 59% |
safe = prediction ± MAE · safer = ± RMSE of the serving model for that statistic. The bars show the model's own chance of each side recording more of that statistic — a Poisson approximation from the predicted rates, with the two teams treated as independent
Statistical estimates for information & entertainment only — not betting advice.