Süper Lig·Regular Season - 23·
Süper Lig·Regular Season - 23·Predicted match statistics
Goals
33%
26%
41%
homeawaytotalprediction1.281.452.72safe0.31–2.240.59–2.300.90–4.54safer0.06–2.500.36–2.530.42–5.02
Shots on target
35%
14%
51%
homeawaytotalprediction3.864.428.28safe2.00–5.722.68–6.174.68–11.89safer1.51–6.212.21–6.633.72–12.84
Total shots
40%
52%
homeawaytotalprediction11.7712.5424.32safe7.85–15.708.98–16.1116.83–31.80safer6.76–16.798.02–17.0614.78–33.85
Shots in box
52%
37%
homeawaytotalprediction7.897.1615.05safe4.95–10.834.48–9.849.43–20.67safer4.12–11.663.74–10.587.86–22.24
Blocked shots
37%
16%
47%
homeawaytotalprediction3.003.326.32safe1.11–4.881.67–4.982.78–9.85safer0.57–5.421.18–5.471.75–10.89
Corners
42%
13%
44%
homeawaytotalprediction4.534.619.14safe2.32–6.752.61–6.614.93–13.35safer1.75–7.322.07–7.143.82–14.46
Possession %
15%
83%
homeawayprediction41.3158.20safe34.52–48.1051.42–64.99safer32.85–49.7749.75–66.66
Passes
87%
homeawaytotalprediction359495854safe292–426429–562720–988safer274–444411–579685–1023
Pass accuracy %
15%
82%
homeawayprediction78.5485.99safe74.51–82.5781.67–90.31safer73.22–83.8680.36–91.62
Fouls
27%
66%
homeawaytotalprediction11.1613.7424.90safe8.33–14.0010.79–16.6819.12–30.68safer7.57–14.7610.04–17.4317.61–32.19
Offsides
44%
23%
33%
homeawaytotalprediction1.811.533.34safe0.65–2.970.44–2.631.09–5.59safer0.35–3.270.15–2.910.50–6.18
Yellow cards
30%
19%
51%
homeawaytotalprediction1.902.454.35safe0.85–2.951.33–3.582.18–6.53safer0.58–3.221.03–3.871.62–7.09
Red cards
82%
homeawaytotalprediction0.070.130.20safe0.00–0.230.00–0.320.00–0.55safer0.00–0.380.00–0.450.00–0.83
GK saves
50%
17%
33%
homeawaytotalprediction3.112.605.71safe1.67–4.541.05–4.162.72–8.70safer1.28–4.930.62–4.581.91–9.51
| Stat | Homepred / safe / safer | Awaypred / safe / safer | Totalpred / safe / safer | Who wins |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Goals | 1.28 0.31–2.24 0.06–2.50 | 1.45 0.59–2.30 0.36–2.53 | 2.72 0.90–4.54 0.42–5.02 | 33% 26% 41% |
| Shots on target | 3.86 2.00–5.72 1.51–6.21 | 4.42 2.68–6.17 2.21–6.63 | 8.28 4.68–11.89 3.72–12.84 | 35% 14% 51% |
| Total shots | 11.77 7.85–15.70 6.76–16.79 | 12.54 8.98–16.11 8.02–17.06 | 24.32 16.83–31.80 14.78–33.85 | 40% 52% |
| Shots in box | 7.89 4.95–10.83 4.12–11.66 | 7.16 4.48–9.84 3.74–10.58 | 15.05 9.43–20.67 7.86–22.24 | 52% 37% |
| Blocked shots | 3.00 1.11–4.88 0.57–5.42 | 3.32 1.67–4.98 1.18–5.47 | 6.32 2.78–9.85 1.75–10.89 | 37% 16% 47% |
| Corners | 4.53 2.32–6.75 1.75–7.32 | 4.61 2.61–6.61 2.07–7.14 | 9.14 4.93–13.35 3.82–14.46 | 42% 13% 44% |
| Possession % | 41.31 34.52–48.10 32.85–49.77 | 58.20 51.42–64.99 49.75–66.66 | — | 15% 83% |
| Passes | 359 292–426 274–444 | 495 429–562 411–579 | 854 720–988 685–1023 | 87% |
| Pass accuracy % | 78.54 74.51–82.57 73.22–83.86 | 85.99 81.67–90.31 80.36–91.62 | — | 15% 82% |
| Fouls | 11.16 8.33–14.00 7.57–14.76 | 13.74 10.79–16.68 10.04–17.43 | 24.90 19.12–30.68 17.61–32.19 | 27% 66% |
| Offsides | 1.81 0.65–2.97 0.35–3.27 | 1.53 0.44–2.63 0.15–2.91 | 3.34 1.09–5.59 0.50–6.18 | 44% 23% 33% |
| Yellow cards | 1.90 0.85–2.95 0.58–3.22 | 2.45 1.33–3.58 1.03–3.87 | 4.35 2.18–6.53 1.62–7.09 | 30% 19% 51% |
| Red cards | 0.07 0.00–0.23 0.00–0.38 | 0.13 0.00–0.32 0.00–0.45 | 0.20 0.00–0.55 0.00–0.83 | 82% |
| GK saves | 3.11 1.67–4.54 1.28–4.93 | 2.60 1.05–4.16 0.62–4.58 | 5.71 2.72–8.70 1.91–9.51 | 50% 17% 33% |
safe = prediction ± MAE · safer = ± RMSE of the serving model for that statistic. The bars show the model's own chance of each side recording more of that statistic — a Poisson approximation from the predicted rates, with the two teams treated as independent
Statistical estimates for information & entertainment only — not betting advice.18+