Predicted match statistics
Goals
60%
20%
19%
homeawaytotalprediction2.141.133.27safe1.17–3.110.28–1.981.45–5.09safer0.92–3.360.05–2.210.97–5.57
Shots on target
71%
19%
homeawaytotalprediction6.053.809.85safe4.18–7.912.06–5.556.25–13.46safer3.69–8.401.60–6.015.29–14.41
Total shots
85%
homeawaytotalprediction16.3710.5026.87safe12.45–20.306.94–14.0619.38–34.36safer11.36–21.395.98–15.0217.33–36.41
Shots in box
85%
homeawaytotalprediction11.226.4517.67safe8.28–14.163.77–9.1312.04–23.29safer7.45–14.993.03–9.8710.48–24.86
Blocked shots
69%
18%
homeawaytotalprediction4.312.486.80safe2.43–6.190.83–4.143.26–10.33safer1.89–6.740.34–4.632.22–11.37
Corners
77%
14%
homeawaytotalprediction6.403.589.98safe4.19–8.621.58–5.585.77–14.19safer3.61–9.191.04–6.114.66–15.30
Possession %
89%
homeawayprediction61.2139.17safe54.42–68.0032.38–45.95safer52.75–69.6730.71–47.62
Passes
94%
homeawaytotalprediction533348881safe466–600282–415747–1015safer447–618264–432712–1050
Pass accuracy %
83%
14%
homeawayprediction82.6374.72safe78.60–86.6670.40–79.04safer77.31–87.9669.09–80.35
Fouls
23%
71%
homeawaytotalprediction11.6514.9426.59safe8.82–14.4911.99–17.8820.81–32.37safer8.06–15.2511.24–18.6319.31–33.88
Offsides
36%
21%
42%
homeawaytotalprediction1.821.983.80safe0.66–2.980.88–3.071.54–6.05safer0.36–3.280.60–3.360.95–6.64
Yellow cards
29%
18%
54%
homeawaytotalprediction2.042.764.80safe0.99–3.091.63–3.892.62–6.98safer0.73–3.361.34–4.182.07–7.54
Red cards
78%
15%
homeawaytotalprediction0.090.180.27safe0.00–0.250.00–0.370.00–0.61safer0.00–0.400.00–0.500.00–0.90
GK saves
24%
14%
62%
homeawaytotalprediction2.553.806.35safe1.11–3.982.24–5.363.35–9.34safer0.72–4.371.82–5.782.54–10.15
| Stat | Homepred / safe / safer | Awaypred / safe / safer | Totalpred / safe / safer | Who wins |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Goals | 2.14 1.17–3.11 0.92–3.36 | 1.13 0.28–1.98 0.05–2.21 | 3.27 1.45–5.09 0.97–5.57 | 60% 20% 19% |
| Shots on target | 6.05 4.18–7.91 3.69–8.40 | 3.80 2.06–5.55 1.60–6.01 | 9.85 6.25–13.46 5.29–14.41 | 71% 19% |
| Total shots | 16.37 12.45–20.30 11.36–21.39 | 10.50 6.94–14.06 5.98–15.02 | 26.87 19.38–34.36 17.33–36.41 | 85% |
| Shots in box | 11.22 8.28–14.16 7.45–14.99 | 6.45 3.77–9.13 3.03–9.87 | 17.67 12.04–23.29 10.48–24.86 | 85% |
| Blocked shots | 4.31 2.43–6.19 1.89–6.74 | 2.48 0.83–4.14 0.34–4.63 | 6.80 3.26–10.33 2.22–11.37 | 69% 18% |
| Corners | 6.40 4.19–8.62 3.61–9.19 | 3.58 1.58–5.58 1.04–6.11 | 9.98 5.77–14.19 4.66–15.30 | 77% 14% |
| Possession % | 61.21 54.42–68.00 52.75–69.67 | 39.17 32.38–45.95 30.71–47.62 | — | 89% |
| Passes | 533 466–600 447–618 | 348 282–415 264–432 | 881 747–1015 712–1050 | 94% |
| Pass accuracy % | 82.63 78.60–86.66 77.31–87.96 | 74.72 70.40–79.04 69.09–80.35 | — | 83% 14% |
| Fouls | 11.65 8.82–14.49 8.06–15.25 | 14.94 11.99–17.88 11.24–18.63 | 26.59 20.81–32.37 19.31–33.88 | 23% 71% |
| Offsides | 1.82 0.66–2.98 0.36–3.28 | 1.98 0.88–3.07 0.60–3.36 | 3.80 1.54–6.05 0.95–6.64 | 36% 21% 42% |
| Yellow cards | 2.04 0.99–3.09 0.73–3.36 | 2.76 1.63–3.89 1.34–4.18 | 4.80 2.62–6.98 2.07–7.54 | 29% 18% 54% |
| Red cards | 0.09 0.00–0.25 0.00–0.40 | 0.18 0.00–0.37 0.00–0.50 | 0.27 0.00–0.61 0.00–0.90 | 78% 15% |
| GK saves | 2.55 1.11–3.98 0.72–4.37 | 3.80 2.24–5.36 1.82–5.78 | 6.35 3.35–9.34 2.54–10.15 | 24% 14% 62% |
safe = prediction ± MAE · safer = ± RMSE of the serving model for that statistic. The bars show the model's own chance of each side recording more of that statistic — a Poisson approximation from the predicted rates, with the two teams treated as independent
Statistical estimates for information & entertainment only — not betting advice.