Predicted match statistics
Goals
79%
homeawaytotalprediction0.912.963.88safe0.00–1.882.11–3.822.05–5.70safer0.00–2.131.88–4.041.57–6.18
Shots on target
83%
homeawaytotalprediction3.426.9810.40safe1.56–5.295.23–8.726.79–14.00safer1.07–5.784.77–9.185.84–14.96
Total shots
88%
homeawaytotalprediction10.5517.1727.71safe6.62–14.4713.60–20.7320.23–35.20safer5.53–15.5612.64–21.6918.17–37.25
Shots in box
94%
homeawaytotalprediction5.3812.3617.73safe2.44–8.329.68–15.0412.11–23.36safer1.61–9.158.94–15.7710.54–24.92
Blocked shots
21%
66%
homeawaytotalprediction2.894.547.43safe1.01–4.772.89–6.203.90–10.97safer0.47–5.322.40–6.692.86–12.01
Corners
14%
77%
homeawaytotalprediction3.436.189.61safe1.22–5.654.18–8.185.40–13.83safer0.65–6.223.65–8.714.29–14.93
Possession %
94%
homeawayprediction36.2663.08safe29.47–43.0556.29–69.86safer27.80–44.7254.62–71.53
Passes
96%
homeawaytotalprediction319527847safe252–387461–594713–980safer234–405443–611677–1016
Pass accuracy %
16%
81%
homeawayprediction76.3083.57safe72.27–80.3379.25–87.90safer70.98–81.6277.94–89.21
Fouls
43%
49%
homeawaytotalprediction13.3713.8027.17safe10.53–16.2110.86–16.7521.39–32.95safer9.78–16.9610.11–17.4919.88–34.46
Offsides
16%
17%
67%
homeawaytotalprediction1.302.693.99safe0.14–2.461.60–3.791.74–6.25safer0.00–2.761.31–4.081.15–6.84
Yellow cards
41%
21%
38%
homeawaytotalprediction1.971.903.87safe0.92–3.020.77–3.031.69–6.05safer0.66–3.290.48–3.321.14–6.61
Red cards
78%
homeawaytotalprediction0.150.120.27safe0.00–0.310.00–0.310.00–0.62safer0.00–0.460.00–0.440.00–0.90
GK saves
67%
20%
homeawaytotalprediction4.182.516.69safe2.75–5.620.95–4.073.70–9.68safer2.36–6.010.53–4.492.89–10.50
| Stat | Homepred / safe / safer | Awaypred / safe / safer | Totalpred / safe / safer | Who wins |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Goals | 0.91 0.00–1.88 0.00–2.13 | 2.96 2.11–3.82 1.88–4.04 | 3.88 2.05–5.70 1.57–6.18 | 79% |
| Shots on target | 3.42 1.56–5.29 1.07–5.78 | 6.98 5.23–8.72 4.77–9.18 | 10.40 6.79–14.00 5.84–14.96 | 83% |
| Total shots | 10.55 6.62–14.47 5.53–15.56 | 17.17 13.60–20.73 12.64–21.69 | 27.71 20.23–35.20 18.17–37.25 | 88% |
| Shots in box | 5.38 2.44–8.32 1.61–9.15 | 12.36 9.68–15.04 8.94–15.77 | 17.73 12.11–23.36 10.54–24.92 | 94% |
| Blocked shots | 2.89 1.01–4.77 0.47–5.32 | 4.54 2.89–6.20 2.40–6.69 | 7.43 3.90–10.97 2.86–12.01 | 21% 66% |
| Corners | 3.43 1.22–5.65 0.65–6.22 | 6.18 4.18–8.18 3.65–8.71 | 9.61 5.40–13.83 4.29–14.93 | 14% 77% |
| Possession % | 36.26 29.47–43.05 27.80–44.72 | 63.08 56.29–69.86 54.62–71.53 | — | 94% |
| Passes | 319 252–387 234–405 | 527 461–594 443–611 | 847 713–980 677–1016 | 96% |
| Pass accuracy % | 76.30 72.27–80.33 70.98–81.62 | 83.57 79.25–87.90 77.94–89.21 | — | 16% 81% |
| Fouls | 13.37 10.53–16.21 9.78–16.96 | 13.80 10.86–16.75 10.11–17.49 | 27.17 21.39–32.95 19.88–34.46 | 43% 49% |
| Offsides | 1.30 0.14–2.46 0.00–2.76 | 2.69 1.60–3.79 1.31–4.08 | 3.99 1.74–6.25 1.15–6.84 | 16% 17% 67% |
| Yellow cards | 1.97 0.92–3.02 0.66–3.29 | 1.90 0.77–3.03 0.48–3.32 | 3.87 1.69–6.05 1.14–6.61 | 41% 21% 38% |
| Red cards | 0.15 0.00–0.31 0.00–0.46 | 0.12 0.00–0.31 0.00–0.44 | 0.27 0.00–0.62 0.00–0.90 | 78% |
| GK saves | 4.18 2.75–5.62 2.36–6.01 | 2.51 0.95–4.07 0.53–4.49 | 6.69 3.70–9.68 2.89–10.50 | 67% 20% |
safe = prediction ± MAE · safer = ± RMSE of the serving model for that statistic. The bars show the model's own chance of each side recording more of that statistic — a Poisson approximation from the predicted rates, with the two teams treated as independent
Statistical estimates for information & entertainment only — not betting advice.

