Predicted match statistics
Goals
58%
21%
20%
homeawaytotalprediction2.041.133.17safe1.07–3.010.27–1.981.35–4.99safer0.82–3.260.05–2.210.87–5.47
Shots on target
70%
20%
homeawaytotalprediction5.943.799.73safe4.08–7.802.05–5.536.13–13.34safer3.59–8.291.58–6.005.17–14.29
Total shots
88%
homeawaytotalprediction16.569.9326.49safe12.63–20.486.37–13.5019.00–33.98safer11.54–21.575.41–14.4616.95–36.03
Shots in box
86%
homeawaytotalprediction11.516.4317.94safe8.56–14.453.75–9.1212.32–23.57safer7.74–15.283.02–9.8510.75–25.13
Blocked shots
67%
20%
homeawaytotalprediction4.242.616.84safe2.35–6.120.95–4.263.31–10.38safer1.81–6.660.46–4.752.27–11.41
Corners
75%
16%
homeawaytotalprediction6.053.509.54safe3.83–8.261.50–5.505.33–13.76safer3.26–8.840.96–6.034.22–14.86
Possession %
66%
29%
homeawayprediction54.6346.47safe47.84–61.4239.68–53.25safer46.17–63.0938.01–54.92
Passes
67%
32%
homeawaytotalprediction421366787safe354–488300–433653–921safer335–506282–450618–957
Pass accuracy %
73%
23%
homeawayprediction82.7477.53safe78.71–86.7773.20–81.85safer77.42–88.0671.89–83.16
Fouls
50%
42%
homeawaytotalprediction12.9612.4125.37safe10.12–15.809.46–15.3519.59–31.15safer9.37–16.558.71–16.1018.08–32.66
Offsides
32%
19%
49%
homeawaytotalprediction2.002.474.47safe0.84–3.161.38–3.562.22–6.73safer0.54–3.461.09–3.851.63–7.32
Yellow cards
30%
19%
52%
homeawaytotalprediction1.922.534.45safe0.87–2.971.40–3.652.27–6.62safer0.61–3.241.11–3.951.71–7.18
Red cards
78%
13%
homeawaytotalprediction0.100.160.26safe0.00–0.260.00–0.350.00–0.61safer0.00–0.410.00–0.480.00–0.89
GK saves
22%
14%
64%
homeawaytotalprediction2.503.896.39safe1.07–3.942.33–5.443.40–9.38safer0.68–4.331.91–5.872.58–10.19
| Stat | Homepred / safe / safer | Awaypred / safe / safer | Totalpred / safe / safer | Who wins |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Goals | 2.04 1.07–3.01 0.82–3.26 | 1.13 0.27–1.98 0.05–2.21 | 3.17 1.35–4.99 0.87–5.47 | 58% 21% 20% |
| Shots on target | 5.94 4.08–7.80 3.59–8.29 | 3.79 2.05–5.53 1.58–6.00 | 9.73 6.13–13.34 5.17–14.29 | 70% 20% |
| Total shots | 16.56 12.63–20.48 11.54–21.57 | 9.93 6.37–13.50 5.41–14.46 | 26.49 19.00–33.98 16.95–36.03 | 88% |
| Shots in box | 11.51 8.56–14.45 7.74–15.28 | 6.43 3.75–9.12 3.02–9.85 | 17.94 12.32–23.57 10.75–25.13 | 86% |
| Blocked shots | 4.24 2.35–6.12 1.81–6.66 | 2.61 0.95–4.26 0.46–4.75 | 6.84 3.31–10.38 2.27–11.41 | 67% 20% |
| Corners | 6.05 3.83–8.26 3.26–8.84 | 3.50 1.50–5.50 0.96–6.03 | 9.54 5.33–13.76 4.22–14.86 | 75% 16% |
| Possession % | 54.63 47.84–61.42 46.17–63.09 | 46.47 39.68–53.25 38.01–54.92 | — | 66% 29% |
| Passes | 421 354–488 335–506 | 366 300–433 282–450 | 787 653–921 618–957 | 67% 32% |
| Pass accuracy % | 82.74 78.71–86.77 77.42–88.06 | 77.53 73.20–81.85 71.89–83.16 | — | 73% 23% |
| Fouls | 12.96 10.12–15.80 9.37–16.55 | 12.41 9.46–15.35 8.71–16.10 | 25.37 19.59–31.15 18.08–32.66 | 50% 42% |
| Offsides | 2.00 0.84–3.16 0.54–3.46 | 2.47 1.38–3.56 1.09–3.85 | 4.47 2.22–6.73 1.63–7.32 | 32% 19% 49% |
| Yellow cards | 1.92 0.87–2.97 0.61–3.24 | 2.53 1.40–3.65 1.11–3.95 | 4.45 2.27–6.62 1.71–7.18 | 30% 19% 52% |
| Red cards | 0.10 0.00–0.26 0.00–0.41 | 0.16 0.00–0.35 0.00–0.48 | 0.26 0.00–0.61 0.00–0.89 | 78% 13% |
| GK saves | 2.50 1.07–3.94 0.68–4.33 | 3.89 2.33–5.44 1.91–5.87 | 6.39 3.40–9.38 2.58–10.19 | 22% 14% 64% |
safe = prediction ± MAE · safer = ± RMSE of the serving model for that statistic. The bars show the model's own chance of each side recording more of that statistic — a Poisson approximation from the predicted rates, with the two teams treated as independent
Statistical estimates for information & entertainment only — not betting advice.18+

