Predicted match statistics
Goals
34%
27%
39%
homeawaytotalprediction1.201.302.51safe0.23–2.170.45–2.160.68–4.33safer0.00–2.420.22–2.390.20–4.81
Shots on target
44%
14%
42%
homeawaytotalprediction4.264.198.46safe2.40–6.132.45–5.944.85–12.06safer1.91–6.621.98–6.403.90–13.02
Total shots
49%
44%
homeawaytotalprediction13.1812.8626.04safe9.25–17.109.30–16.4218.55–33.53safer8.16–18.198.34–17.3816.50–35.58
Shots in box
46%
44%
homeawaytotalprediction8.007.9415.94safe5.06–10.945.26–10.6210.31–21.56safer4.23–11.774.52–11.368.75–23.13
Blocked shots
48%
16%
36%
homeawaytotalprediction3.523.136.64safe1.63–5.401.47–4.783.11–10.18safer1.09–5.940.98–5.272.07–11.22
Corners
48%
13%
39%
homeawaytotalprediction4.814.479.28safe2.59–7.022.47–6.475.06–13.49safer2.02–7.591.94–7.003.96–14.60
Possession %
47%
48%
homeawayprediction49.5349.62safe42.74–56.3242.84–56.41safer41.07–57.9941.16–58.08
Passes
51%
48%
homeawaytotalprediction404400804safe337–471334–467671–938safer319–490316–484635–974
Pass accuracy %
49%
46%
homeawayprediction80.9480.69safe76.92–84.9776.36–85.01safer75.62–86.2775.05–86.32
Fouls
43%
49%
homeawaytotalprediction13.6514.0527.70safe10.81–16.4911.10–16.9921.92–33.48safer10.06–17.2410.36–17.7420.41–34.98
Offsides
35%
26%
39%
homeawaytotalprediction1.331.402.73safe0.16–2.490.31–2.500.48–4.98safer0.00–2.790.02–2.790.00–5.57
Yellow cards
42%
19%
39%
homeawaytotalprediction2.362.264.62safe1.31–3.401.13–3.392.44–6.79safer1.04–3.670.84–3.681.88–7.35
Red cards
80%
homeawaytotalprediction0.110.120.24safe0.00–0.270.00–0.310.00–0.58safer0.00–0.420.00–0.440.00–0.87
GK saves
38%
17%
45%
homeawaytotalprediction2.783.005.78safe1.34–4.211.45–4.562.79–8.77safer0.95–4.601.02–4.981.98–9.59
| Stat | Homepred / safe / safer | Awaypred / safe / safer | Totalpred / safe / safer | Who wins |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Goals | 1.20 0.23–2.17 0.00–2.42 | 1.30 0.45–2.16 0.22–2.39 | 2.51 0.68–4.33 0.20–4.81 | 34% 27% 39% |
| Shots on target | 4.26 2.40–6.13 1.91–6.62 | 4.19 2.45–5.94 1.98–6.40 | 8.46 4.85–12.06 3.90–13.02 | 44% 14% 42% |
| Total shots | 13.18 9.25–17.10 8.16–18.19 | 12.86 9.30–16.42 8.34–17.38 | 26.04 18.55–33.53 16.50–35.58 | 49% 44% |
| Shots in box | 8.00 5.06–10.94 4.23–11.77 | 7.94 5.26–10.62 4.52–11.36 | 15.94 10.31–21.56 8.75–23.13 | 46% 44% |
| Blocked shots | 3.52 1.63–5.40 1.09–5.94 | 3.13 1.47–4.78 0.98–5.27 | 6.64 3.11–10.18 2.07–11.22 | 48% 16% 36% |
| Corners | 4.81 2.59–7.02 2.02–7.59 | 4.47 2.47–6.47 1.94–7.00 | 9.28 5.06–13.49 3.96–14.60 | 48% 13% 39% |
| Possession % | 49.53 42.74–56.32 41.07–57.99 | 49.62 42.84–56.41 41.16–58.08 | — | 47% 48% |
| Passes | 404 337–471 319–490 | 400 334–467 316–484 | 804 671–938 635–974 | 51% 48% |
| Pass accuracy % | 80.94 76.92–84.97 75.62–86.27 | 80.69 76.36–85.01 75.05–86.32 | — | 49% 46% |
| Fouls | 13.65 10.81–16.49 10.06–17.24 | 14.05 11.10–16.99 10.36–17.74 | 27.70 21.92–33.48 20.41–34.98 | 43% 49% |
| Offsides | 1.33 0.16–2.49 0.00–2.79 | 1.40 0.31–2.50 0.02–2.79 | 2.73 0.48–4.98 0.00–5.57 | 35% 26% 39% |
| Yellow cards | 2.36 1.31–3.40 1.04–3.67 | 2.26 1.13–3.39 0.84–3.68 | 4.62 2.44–6.79 1.88–7.35 | 42% 19% 39% |
| Red cards | 0.11 0.00–0.27 0.00–0.42 | 0.12 0.00–0.31 0.00–0.44 | 0.24 0.00–0.58 0.00–0.87 | 80% |
| GK saves | 2.78 1.34–4.21 0.95–4.60 | 3.00 1.45–4.56 1.02–4.98 | 5.78 2.79–8.77 1.98–9.59 | 38% 17% 45% |
safe = prediction ± MAE · safer = ± RMSE of the serving model for that statistic. The bars show the model's own chance of each side recording more of that statistic — a Poisson approximation from the predicted rates, with the two teams treated as independent
Statistical estimates for information & entertainment only — not betting advice.18+

