Süper Lig·Regular Season - 23·
Süper Lig·Regular Season - 23·Predicted match statistics
Goals
19%
21%
60%
homeawaytotalprediction1.001.982.99safe0.04–1.971.13–2.841.16–4.81safer0.00–2.220.90–3.060.68–5.29
Shots on target
22%
67%
homeawaytotalprediction3.745.559.29safe1.88–5.603.80–7.295.68–12.89safer1.39–6.093.34–7.764.73–13.85
Total shots
17%
78%
homeawaytotalprediction11.1415.5826.73safe7.22–15.0712.02–19.1419.24–34.21safer6.13–16.1611.06–20.1017.19–36.26
Shots in box
19%
73%
homeawaytotalprediction7.2410.3317.58safe4.30–10.197.65–13.0111.95–23.20safer3.47–11.016.91–13.7510.39–24.77
Blocked shots
28%
14%
58%
homeawaytotalprediction3.144.197.33safe1.26–5.032.53–5.843.80–10.87safer0.72–5.572.04–6.332.76–11.90
Corners
29%
58%
homeawaytotalprediction4.055.199.24safe1.83–6.263.19–7.195.03–13.45safer1.26–6.832.66–7.733.92–14.56
Possession %
88%
homeawayprediction39.0559.97safe32.26–45.8453.19–66.76safer30.59–47.5151.52–68.43
Passes
91%
homeawaytotalprediction340501841safe273–407434–567707–974safer254–425417–585671–1010
Pass accuracy %
85%
homeawayprediction77.7186.09safe73.68–81.7481.76–90.41safer72.39–83.0380.45–91.72
Fouls
54%
38%
homeawaytotalprediction12.9011.9524.85safe10.06–15.749.00–14.8919.07–30.63safer9.31–16.508.25–15.6417.56–32.13
Offsides
64%
17%
19%
homeawaytotalprediction2.741.504.23safe1.58–3.900.40–2.591.98–6.49safer1.28–4.200.11–2.881.39–7.08
Yellow cards
46%
21%
33%
homeawaytotalprediction2.121.783.90safe1.07–3.170.65–2.911.72–6.07safer0.80–3.440.36–3.201.16–6.63
Red cards
15%
76%
homeawaytotalprediction0.190.100.29safe0.03–0.350.00–0.290.00–0.64safer0.00–0.500.00–0.420.00–0.92
GK saves
55%
16%
30%
homeawaytotalprediction3.442.646.08safe2.00–4.881.08–4.203.09–9.07safer1.62–5.260.66–4.622.28–9.88
| Stat | Homepred / safe / safer | Awaypred / safe / safer | Totalpred / safe / safer | Who wins |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Goals | 1.00 0.04–1.97 0.00–2.22 | 1.98 1.13–2.84 0.90–3.06 | 2.99 1.16–4.81 0.68–5.29 | 19% 21% 60% |
| Shots on target | 3.74 1.88–5.60 1.39–6.09 | 5.55 3.80–7.29 3.34–7.76 | 9.29 5.68–12.89 4.73–13.85 | 22% 67% |
| Total shots | 11.14 7.22–15.07 6.13–16.16 | 15.58 12.02–19.14 11.06–20.10 | 26.73 19.24–34.21 17.19–36.26 | 17% 78% |
| Shots in box | 7.24 4.30–10.19 3.47–11.01 | 10.33 7.65–13.01 6.91–13.75 | 17.58 11.95–23.20 10.39–24.77 | 19% 73% |
| Blocked shots | 3.14 1.26–5.03 0.72–5.57 | 4.19 2.53–5.84 2.04–6.33 | 7.33 3.80–10.87 2.76–11.90 | 28% 14% 58% |
| Corners | 4.05 1.83–6.26 1.26–6.83 | 5.19 3.19–7.19 2.66–7.73 | 9.24 5.03–13.45 3.92–14.56 | 29% 58% |
| Possession % | 39.05 32.26–45.84 30.59–47.51 | 59.97 53.19–66.76 51.52–68.43 | — | 88% |
| Passes | 340 273–407 254–425 | 501 434–567 417–585 | 841 707–974 671–1010 | 91% |
| Pass accuracy % | 77.71 73.68–81.74 72.39–83.03 | 86.09 81.76–90.41 80.45–91.72 | — | 85% |
| Fouls | 12.90 10.06–15.74 9.31–16.50 | 11.95 9.00–14.89 8.25–15.64 | 24.85 19.07–30.63 17.56–32.13 | 54% 38% |
| Offsides | 2.74 1.58–3.90 1.28–4.20 | 1.50 0.40–2.59 0.11–2.88 | 4.23 1.98–6.49 1.39–7.08 | 64% 17% 19% |
| Yellow cards | 2.12 1.07–3.17 0.80–3.44 | 1.78 0.65–2.91 0.36–3.20 | 3.90 1.72–6.07 1.16–6.63 | 46% 21% 33% |
| Red cards | 0.19 0.03–0.35 0.00–0.50 | 0.10 0.00–0.29 0.00–0.42 | 0.29 0.00–0.64 0.00–0.92 | 15% 76% |
| GK saves | 3.44 2.00–4.88 1.62–5.26 | 2.64 1.08–4.20 0.66–4.62 | 6.08 3.09–9.07 2.28–9.88 | 55% 16% 30% |
safe = prediction ± MAE · safer = ± RMSE of the serving model for that statistic. The bars show the model's own chance of each side recording more of that statistic — a Poisson approximation from the predicted rates, with the two teams treated as independent
Statistical estimates for information & entertainment only — not betting advice.