Predicted match statistics
Goals
42%
27%
31%
homeawaytotalprediction1.331.092.42safe0.36–2.290.24–1.950.59–4.24safer0.11–2.550.01–2.170.12–4.72
Shots on target
49%
14%
37%
homeawaytotalprediction4.393.978.35safe2.52–6.252.23–5.714.75–11.96safer2.03–6.741.76–6.183.79–12.91
Total shots
54%
38%
homeawaytotalprediction13.1812.1225.31safe9.26–17.118.56–15.6917.82–32.80safer8.17–18.207.60–16.6515.77–34.85
Shots in box
61%
29%
homeawaytotalprediction8.636.9915.61safe5.68–11.574.31–9.679.99–21.24safer4.85–12.403.57–10.418.42–22.80
Blocked shots
49%
16%
35%
homeawaytotalprediction3.523.066.58safe1.64–5.411.41–4.713.05–10.12safer1.10–5.950.92–5.212.01–11.16
Corners
52%
35%
homeawaytotalprediction5.124.469.58safe2.91–7.342.46–6.465.37–13.79safer2.34–7.911.92–6.994.26–14.90
Possession %
60%
36%
homeawayprediction52.6747.43safe45.88–59.4640.65–54.22safer44.21–61.1338.97–55.89
Passes
65%
35%
homeawaytotalprediction432386818safe365–499319–452684–951safer346–517302–470648–987
Pass accuracy %
54%
41%
homeawayprediction82.4281.09safe78.39–86.4576.77–85.42safer77.09–87.7475.46–86.73
Fouls
43%
49%
homeawaytotalprediction12.6613.0025.67safe9.83–15.5010.06–15.9519.88–31.45safer9.07–16.269.31–16.7018.38–32.95
Offsides
41%
23%
35%
homeawaytotalprediction1.691.563.25safe0.53–2.850.46–2.651.00–5.50safer0.23–3.160.17–2.940.41–6.09
Yellow cards
42%
18%
40%
homeawaytotalprediction2.632.595.22safe1.59–3.681.46–3.723.05–7.40safer1.32–3.951.17–4.012.49–7.96
Red cards
76%
homeawaytotalprediction0.140.150.29safe0.00–0.300.00–0.340.00–0.64safer0.00–0.450.00–0.470.00–0.92
GK saves
35%
17%
48%
homeawaytotalprediction2.683.095.78safe1.25–4.121.53–4.652.78–8.77safer0.86–4.511.11–5.071.97–9.58
| Stat | Homepred / safe / safer | Awaypred / safe / safer | Totalpred / safe / safer | Who wins |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Goals | 1.33 0.36–2.29 0.11–2.55 | 1.09 0.24–1.95 0.01–2.17 | 2.42 0.59–4.24 0.12–4.72 | 42% 27% 31% |
| Shots on target | 4.39 2.52–6.25 2.03–6.74 | 3.97 2.23–5.71 1.76–6.18 | 8.35 4.75–11.96 3.79–12.91 | 49% 14% 37% |
| Total shots | 13.18 9.26–17.11 8.17–18.20 | 12.12 8.56–15.69 7.60–16.65 | 25.31 17.82–32.80 15.77–34.85 | 54% 38% |
| Shots in box | 8.63 5.68–11.57 4.85–12.40 | 6.99 4.31–9.67 3.57–10.41 | 15.61 9.99–21.24 8.42–22.80 | 61% 29% |
| Blocked shots | 3.52 1.64–5.41 1.10–5.95 | 3.06 1.41–4.71 0.92–5.21 | 6.58 3.05–10.12 2.01–11.16 | 49% 16% 35% |
| Corners | 5.12 2.91–7.34 2.34–7.91 | 4.46 2.46–6.46 1.92–6.99 | 9.58 5.37–13.79 4.26–14.90 | 52% 35% |
| Possession % | 52.67 45.88–59.46 44.21–61.13 | 47.43 40.65–54.22 38.97–55.89 | — | 60% 36% |
| Passes | 432 365–499 346–517 | 386 319–452 302–470 | 818 684–951 648–987 | 65% 35% |
| Pass accuracy % | 82.42 78.39–86.45 77.09–87.74 | 81.09 76.77–85.42 75.46–86.73 | — | 54% 41% |
| Fouls | 12.66 9.83–15.50 9.07–16.26 | 13.00 10.06–15.95 9.31–16.70 | 25.67 19.88–31.45 18.38–32.95 | 43% 49% |
| Offsides | 1.69 0.53–2.85 0.23–3.16 | 1.56 0.46–2.65 0.17–2.94 | 3.25 1.00–5.50 0.41–6.09 | 41% 23% 35% |
| Yellow cards | 2.63 1.59–3.68 1.32–3.95 | 2.59 1.46–3.72 1.17–4.01 | 5.22 3.05–7.40 2.49–7.96 | 42% 18% 40% |
| Red cards | 0.14 0.00–0.30 0.00–0.45 | 0.15 0.00–0.34 0.00–0.47 | 0.29 0.00–0.64 0.00–0.92 | 76% |
| GK saves | 2.68 1.25–4.12 0.86–4.51 | 3.09 1.53–4.65 1.11–5.07 | 5.78 2.78–8.77 1.97–9.58 | 35% 17% 48% |
safe = prediction ± MAE · safer = ± RMSE of the serving model for that statistic. The bars show the model's own chance of each side recording more of that statistic — a Poisson approximation from the predicted rates, with the two teams treated as independent
Statistical estimates for information & entertainment only — not betting advice.