Predicted match statistics
Goals
47%
25%
28%
homeawaytotalprediction1.611.202.81safe0.65–2.580.35–2.060.99–4.64safer0.39–2.830.12–2.280.51–5.12
Shots on target
54%
33%
homeawaytotalprediction5.204.379.56safe3.33–7.062.62–6.115.96–13.17safer2.85–7.552.16–6.575.00–14.12
Total shots
72%
22%
homeawaytotalprediction16.5212.8629.37safe12.59–20.449.29–16.4221.89–36.86safer11.50–21.538.34–17.3819.84–38.91
Shots in box
48%
43%
homeawaytotalprediction9.248.9418.18safe6.29–12.186.26–11.6212.55–23.80safer5.47–13.015.52–12.3610.99–25.37
Blocked shots
57%
13%
30%
homeawaytotalprediction4.623.618.22safe2.73–6.501.95–5.264.69–11.76safer2.19–7.041.46–5.753.65–12.79
Corners
55%
33%
homeawaytotalprediction5.704.8210.52safe3.49–7.922.82–6.826.31–14.73safer2.92–8.492.29–7.355.20–15.84
Possession %
92%
homeawayprediction62.8237.99safe56.02–69.6131.21–44.78safer54.36–71.2829.53–46.45
Passes
95%
homeawaytotalprediction475274749safe407–542208–341615–882safer389–560190–358579–918
Pass accuracy %
91%
homeawayprediction81.9170.91safe77.88–85.9466.59–75.24safer76.58–87.2365.28–76.55
Fouls
15%
80%
homeawaytotalprediction10.3215.0825.40safe7.48–13.1612.14–18.0319.62–31.19safer6.73–13.9111.39–18.7818.12–32.69
Offsides
37%
23%
40%
homeawaytotalprediction1.661.743.40safe0.50–2.820.64–2.831.14–5.65safer0.20–3.120.36–3.120.56–6.24
Yellow cards
29%
21%
50%
homeawaytotalprediction1.612.163.77safe0.56–2.661.03–3.291.59–5.94safer0.29–2.920.74–3.581.03–6.50
Red cards
83%
homeawaytotalprediction0.090.110.19safe0.00–0.250.00–0.290.00–0.54safer0.00–0.400.00–0.430.00–0.82
GK saves
30%
16%
54%
homeawaytotalprediction2.733.506.22safe1.29–4.161.94–5.063.23–9.22safer0.90–4.551.52–5.482.42–10.03
| Stat | Homepred / safe / safer | Awaypred / safe / safer | Totalpred / safe / safer | Who wins |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Goals | 1.61 0.65–2.58 0.39–2.83 | 1.20 0.35–2.06 0.12–2.28 | 2.81 0.99–4.64 0.51–5.12 | 47% 25% 28% |
| Shots on target | 5.20 3.33–7.06 2.85–7.55 | 4.37 2.62–6.11 2.16–6.57 | 9.56 5.96–13.17 5.00–14.12 | 54% 33% |
| Total shots | 16.52 12.59–20.44 11.50–21.53 | 12.86 9.29–16.42 8.34–17.38 | 29.37 21.89–36.86 19.84–38.91 | 72% 22% |
| Shots in box | 9.24 6.29–12.18 5.47–13.01 | 8.94 6.26–11.62 5.52–12.36 | 18.18 12.55–23.80 10.99–25.37 | 48% 43% |
| Blocked shots | 4.62 2.73–6.50 2.19–7.04 | 3.61 1.95–5.26 1.46–5.75 | 8.22 4.69–11.76 3.65–12.79 | 57% 13% 30% |
| Corners | 5.70 3.49–7.92 2.92–8.49 | 4.82 2.82–6.82 2.29–7.35 | 10.52 6.31–14.73 5.20–15.84 | 55% 33% |
| Possession % | 62.82 56.02–69.61 54.36–71.28 | 37.99 31.21–44.78 29.53–46.45 | — | 92% |
| Passes | 475 407–542 389–560 | 274 208–341 190–358 | 749 615–882 579–918 | 95% |
| Pass accuracy % | 81.91 77.88–85.94 76.58–87.23 | 70.91 66.59–75.24 65.28–76.55 | — | 91% |
| Fouls | 10.32 7.48–13.16 6.73–13.91 | 15.08 12.14–18.03 11.39–18.78 | 25.40 19.62–31.19 18.12–32.69 | 15% 80% |
| Offsides | 1.66 0.50–2.82 0.20–3.12 | 1.74 0.64–2.83 0.36–3.12 | 3.40 1.14–5.65 0.56–6.24 | 37% 23% 40% |
| Yellow cards | 1.61 0.56–2.66 0.29–2.92 | 2.16 1.03–3.29 0.74–3.58 | 3.77 1.59–5.94 1.03–6.50 | 29% 21% 50% |
| Red cards | 0.09 0.00–0.25 0.00–0.40 | 0.11 0.00–0.29 0.00–0.43 | 0.19 0.00–0.54 0.00–0.82 | 83% |
| GK saves | 2.73 1.29–4.16 0.90–4.55 | 3.50 1.94–5.06 1.52–5.48 | 6.22 3.23–9.22 2.42–10.03 | 30% 16% 54% |
safe = prediction ± MAE · safer = ± RMSE of the serving model for that statistic. The bars show the model's own chance of each side recording more of that statistic — a Poisson approximation from the predicted rates, with the two teams treated as independent
Statistical estimates for information & entertainment only — not betting advice.