Süper Lig·Regular Season - 23·
Süper Lig·Regular Season - 23·Predicted match statistics
Goals
53%
26%
21%
homeawaytotalprediction1.510.822.33safe0.54–2.480.00–1.680.51–4.16safer0.29–2.730.00–1.910.03–4.63
Shots on target
74%
15%
homeawaytotalprediction4.932.657.58safe3.07–6.790.91–4.393.98–11.19safer2.58–7.280.44–4.863.02–12.14
Total shots
88%
homeawaytotalprediction15.108.9024.00safe11.18–19.035.34–12.4616.52–31.49safer10.09–20.124.38–13.4214.47–33.54
Shots in box
85%
homeawaytotalprediction9.725.3215.04safe6.78–12.672.64–8.009.42–20.67safer5.95–13.501.90–8.747.85–22.23
Blocked shots
71%
17%
homeawaytotalprediction4.072.226.29safe2.19–5.960.56–3.872.76–9.83safer1.65–6.500.07–4.361.72–10.86
Corners
74%
16%
homeawaytotalprediction5.833.379.20safe3.61–8.041.37–5.374.99–13.41safer3.04–8.610.84–5.913.88–14.52
Possession %
92%
homeawayprediction62.0837.75safe55.29–68.8730.97–44.54safer53.62–70.5429.29–46.21
Passes
97%
homeawaytotalprediction590356945safe522–657289–422811–1079safer504–675272–440776–1114
Pass accuracy %
87%
homeawayprediction87.6878.56safe83.65–91.7174.24–82.89safer82.36–93.0072.93–84.20
Fouls
45%
47%
homeawaytotalprediction12.7812.9625.74safe9.95–15.6210.01–15.9019.96–31.52safer9.19–16.389.27–16.6518.46–33.03
Offsides
54%
23%
24%
homeawaytotalprediction1.851.153.00safe0.69–3.010.06–2.250.75–5.26safer0.39–3.310.00–2.530.16–5.85
Yellow cards
35%
21%
44%
homeawaytotalprediction1.772.013.78safe0.72–2.820.88–3.141.60–5.96safer0.45–3.080.59–3.431.04–6.52
Red cards
83%
homeawaytotalprediction0.100.100.20safe0.00–0.260.00–0.290.00–0.54safer0.00–0.410.00–0.420.00–0.83
GK saves
24%
16%
60%
homeawaytotalprediction2.143.225.36safe0.70–3.571.67–4.782.37–8.35safer0.31–3.961.24–5.201.56–9.17
| Stat | Homepred / safe / safer | Awaypred / safe / safer | Totalpred / safe / safer | Who wins |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Goals | 1.51 0.54–2.48 0.29–2.73 | 0.82 0.00–1.68 0.00–1.91 | 2.33 0.51–4.16 0.03–4.63 | 53% 26% 21% |
| Shots on target | 4.93 3.07–6.79 2.58–7.28 | 2.65 0.91–4.39 0.44–4.86 | 7.58 3.98–11.19 3.02–12.14 | 74% 15% |
| Total shots | 15.10 11.18–19.03 10.09–20.12 | 8.90 5.34–12.46 4.38–13.42 | 24.00 16.52–31.49 14.47–33.54 | 88% |
| Shots in box | 9.72 6.78–12.67 5.95–13.50 | 5.32 2.64–8.00 1.90–8.74 | 15.04 9.42–20.67 7.85–22.23 | 85% |
| Blocked shots | 4.07 2.19–5.96 1.65–6.50 | 2.22 0.56–3.87 0.07–4.36 | 6.29 2.76–9.83 1.72–10.86 | 71% 17% |
| Corners | 5.83 3.61–8.04 3.04–8.61 | 3.37 1.37–5.37 0.84–5.91 | 9.20 4.99–13.41 3.88–14.52 | 74% 16% |
| Possession % | 62.08 55.29–68.87 53.62–70.54 | 37.75 30.97–44.54 29.29–46.21 | — | 92% |
| Passes | 590 522–657 504–675 | 356 289–422 272–440 | 945 811–1079 776–1114 | 97% |
| Pass accuracy % | 87.68 83.65–91.71 82.36–93.00 | 78.56 74.24–82.89 72.93–84.20 | — | 87% |
| Fouls | 12.78 9.95–15.62 9.19–16.38 | 12.96 10.01–15.90 9.27–16.65 | 25.74 19.96–31.52 18.46–33.03 | 45% 47% |
| Offsides | 1.85 0.69–3.01 0.39–3.31 | 1.15 0.06–2.25 0.00–2.53 | 3.00 0.75–5.26 0.16–5.85 | 54% 23% 24% |
| Yellow cards | 1.77 0.72–2.82 0.45–3.08 | 2.01 0.88–3.14 0.59–3.43 | 3.78 1.60–5.96 1.04–6.52 | 35% 21% 44% |
| Red cards | 0.10 0.00–0.26 0.00–0.41 | 0.10 0.00–0.29 0.00–0.42 | 0.20 0.00–0.54 0.00–0.83 | 83% |
| GK saves | 2.14 0.70–3.57 0.31–3.96 | 3.22 1.67–4.78 1.24–5.20 | 5.36 2.37–8.35 1.56–9.17 | 24% 16% 60% |
safe = prediction ± MAE · safer = ± RMSE of the serving model for that statistic. The bars show the model's own chance of each side recording more of that statistic — a Poisson approximation from the predicted rates, with the two teams treated as independent
Statistical estimates for information & entertainment only — not betting advice.