Predicted match statistics
Goals
65%
20%
15%
homeawaytotalprediction2.030.842.87safe1.06–3.000.00–1.701.05–4.69safer0.81–3.250.00–1.920.57–5.17
Shots on target
76%
15%
homeawaytotalprediction5.863.249.10safe4.00–7.721.50–4.985.50–12.71safer3.51–8.211.03–5.454.54–13.66
Total shots
93%
homeawaytotalprediction17.419.3226.73safe13.48–21.335.76–12.8919.24–34.22safer12.39–22.424.80–13.8517.19–36.27
Shots in box
92%
homeawaytotalprediction11.265.1216.38safe8.32–14.212.44–7.8010.76–22.01safer7.49–15.041.70–8.549.19–23.57
Blocked shots
77%
homeawaytotalprediction4.722.266.98safe2.84–6.610.60–3.913.45–10.52safer2.30–7.150.11–4.402.41–11.55
Corners
82%
homeawaytotalprediction6.693.3410.03safe4.48–8.901.34–5.345.81–14.24safer3.90–9.480.81–5.874.71–15.35
Possession %
91%
homeawayprediction61.7937.96safe55.00–68.5831.17–44.74safer53.33–70.2529.50–46.42
Passes
95%
homeawaytotalprediction539345883safe471–606278–411750–1017safer453–624261–429714–1053
Pass accuracy %
88%
homeawayprediction84.4574.67safe80.42–88.4870.35–79.00safer79.13–89.7869.04–80.31
Fouls
32%
61%
homeawaytotalprediction12.0413.9826.02safe9.20–14.8811.03–16.9220.24–31.80safer8.45–15.6410.29–17.6718.73–33.31
Offsides
46%
21%
33%
homeawaytotalprediction2.091.743.82safe0.93–3.250.64–2.831.57–6.08safer0.62–3.550.36–3.120.98–6.67
Yellow cards
26%
17%
57%
homeawaytotalprediction1.932.834.75safe0.88–2.981.70–3.962.57–6.93safer0.61–3.241.41–4.252.02–7.49
Red cards
78%
15%
homeawaytotalprediction0.080.180.26safe0.00–0.240.00–0.370.00–0.61safer0.00–0.390.00–0.500.00–0.89
GK saves
19%
13%
68%
homeawaytotalprediction2.233.926.15safe0.80–3.672.36–5.473.16–9.14safer0.41–4.061.94–5.902.35–9.95
| Stat | Homepred / safe / safer | Awaypred / safe / safer | Totalpred / safe / safer | Who wins |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Goals | 2.03 1.06–3.00 0.81–3.25 | 0.84 0.00–1.70 0.00–1.92 | 2.87 1.05–4.69 0.57–5.17 | 65% 20% 15% |
| Shots on target | 5.86 4.00–7.72 3.51–8.21 | 3.24 1.50–4.98 1.03–5.45 | 9.10 5.50–12.71 4.54–13.66 | 76% 15% |
| Total shots | 17.41 13.48–21.33 12.39–22.42 | 9.32 5.76–12.89 4.80–13.85 | 26.73 19.24–34.22 17.19–36.27 | 93% |
| Shots in box | 11.26 8.32–14.21 7.49–15.04 | 5.12 2.44–7.80 1.70–8.54 | 16.38 10.76–22.01 9.19–23.57 | 92% |
| Blocked shots | 4.72 2.84–6.61 2.30–7.15 | 2.26 0.60–3.91 0.11–4.40 | 6.98 3.45–10.52 2.41–11.55 | 77% |
| Corners | 6.69 4.48–8.90 3.90–9.48 | 3.34 1.34–5.34 0.81–5.87 | 10.03 5.81–14.24 4.71–15.35 | 82% |
| Possession % | 61.79 55.00–68.58 53.33–70.25 | 37.96 31.17–44.74 29.50–46.42 | — | 91% |
| Passes | 539 471–606 453–624 | 345 278–411 261–429 | 883 750–1017 714–1053 | 95% |
| Pass accuracy % | 84.45 80.42–88.48 79.13–89.78 | 74.67 70.35–79.00 69.04–80.31 | — | 88% |
| Fouls | 12.04 9.20–14.88 8.45–15.64 | 13.98 11.03–16.92 10.29–17.67 | 26.02 20.24–31.80 18.73–33.31 | 32% 61% |
| Offsides | 2.09 0.93–3.25 0.62–3.55 | 1.74 0.64–2.83 0.36–3.12 | 3.82 1.57–6.08 0.98–6.67 | 46% 21% 33% |
| Yellow cards | 1.93 0.88–2.98 0.61–3.24 | 2.83 1.70–3.96 1.41–4.25 | 4.75 2.57–6.93 2.02–7.49 | 26% 17% 57% |
| Red cards | 0.08 0.00–0.24 0.00–0.39 | 0.18 0.00–0.37 0.00–0.50 | 0.26 0.00–0.61 0.00–0.89 | 78% 15% |
| GK saves | 2.23 0.80–3.67 0.41–4.06 | 3.92 2.36–5.47 1.94–5.90 | 6.15 3.16–9.14 2.35–9.95 | 19% 13% 68% |
safe = prediction ± MAE · safer = ± RMSE of the serving model for that statistic. The bars show the model's own chance of each side recording more of that statistic — a Poisson approximation from the predicted rates, with the two teams treated as independent
Statistical estimates for information & entertainment only — not betting advice.