Predicted match statistics
Goals
77%
14%
homeawaytotalprediction2.590.733.32safe1.63–3.560.00–1.581.50–5.15safer1.37–3.810.00–1.811.02–5.63
Shots on target
91%
homeawaytotalprediction7.522.7710.28safe5.65–9.381.03–4.516.68–13.89safer5.16–9.870.56–4.985.72–14.84
Total shots
98%
homeawaytotalprediction19.338.4927.83safe15.41–23.264.93–12.0620.34–35.31safer14.32–24.353.97–13.0118.29–37.36
Shots in box
97%
homeawaytotalprediction13.305.1418.44safe10.36–16.242.46–7.8312.82–24.07safer9.53–17.071.73–8.5611.25–25.63
Blocked shots
77%
13%
homeawaytotalprediction4.732.327.05safe2.85–6.610.67–3.973.52–10.59safer2.31–7.160.17–4.462.48–11.62
Corners
85%
homeawaytotalprediction6.803.139.93safe4.59–9.021.13–5.135.72–14.14safer4.02–9.590.59–5.664.61–15.25
Possession %
82%
15%
homeawayprediction58.2241.60safe51.43–65.0134.82–48.39safer49.76–66.6833.15–50.06
Passes
89%
homeawaytotalprediction517370887safe450–584304–437754–1021safer432–602286–454718–1057
Pass accuracy %
80%
16%
homeawayprediction77.8670.71safe73.83–81.8966.39–75.04safer72.54–83.1865.08–76.35
Fouls
46%
46%
homeawaytotalprediction13.6713.6827.36safe10.83–16.5110.74–16.6321.57–33.14safer10.08–17.269.99–17.3820.07–34.64
Offsides
60%
19%
21%
homeawaytotalprediction2.381.343.72safe1.22–3.540.25–2.441.47–5.97safer0.92–3.840.00–2.730.88–6.56
Yellow cards
24%
17%
59%
homeawaytotalprediction2.023.075.09safe0.97–3.071.94–4.202.91–7.26safer0.70–3.341.65–4.492.35–7.82
Red cards
81%
homeawaytotalprediction0.080.140.22safe0.00–0.240.00–0.330.00–0.57safer0.00–0.390.00–0.460.00–0.85
GK saves
80%
homeawaytotalprediction2.074.736.80safe0.64–3.513.17–6.283.81–9.79safer0.25–3.902.75–6.712.99–10.60
| Stat | Homepred / safe / safer | Awaypred / safe / safer | Totalpred / safe / safer | Who wins |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Goals | 2.59 1.63–3.56 1.37–3.81 | 0.73 0.00–1.58 0.00–1.81 | 3.32 1.50–5.15 1.02–5.63 | 77% 14% |
| Shots on target | 7.52 5.65–9.38 5.16–9.87 | 2.77 1.03–4.51 0.56–4.98 | 10.28 6.68–13.89 5.72–14.84 | 91% |
| Total shots | 19.33 15.41–23.26 14.32–24.35 | 8.49 4.93–12.06 3.97–13.01 | 27.83 20.34–35.31 18.29–37.36 | 98% |
| Shots in box | 13.30 10.36–16.24 9.53–17.07 | 5.14 2.46–7.83 1.73–8.56 | 18.44 12.82–24.07 11.25–25.63 | 97% |
| Blocked shots | 4.73 2.85–6.61 2.31–7.16 | 2.32 0.67–3.97 0.17–4.46 | 7.05 3.52–10.59 2.48–11.62 | 77% 13% |
| Corners | 6.80 4.59–9.02 4.02–9.59 | 3.13 1.13–5.13 0.59–5.66 | 9.93 5.72–14.14 4.61–15.25 | 85% |
| Possession % | 58.22 51.43–65.01 49.76–66.68 | 41.60 34.82–48.39 33.15–50.06 | — | 82% 15% |
| Passes | 517 450–584 432–602 | 370 304–437 286–454 | 887 754–1021 718–1057 | 89% |
| Pass accuracy % | 77.86 73.83–81.89 72.54–83.18 | 70.71 66.39–75.04 65.08–76.35 | — | 80% 16% |
| Fouls | 13.67 10.83–16.51 10.08–17.26 | 13.68 10.74–16.63 9.99–17.38 | 27.36 21.57–33.14 20.07–34.64 | 46% 46% |
| Offsides | 2.38 1.22–3.54 0.92–3.84 | 1.34 0.25–2.44 0.00–2.73 | 3.72 1.47–5.97 0.88–6.56 | 60% 19% 21% |
| Yellow cards | 2.02 0.97–3.07 0.70–3.34 | 3.07 1.94–4.20 1.65–4.49 | 5.09 2.91–7.26 2.35–7.82 | 24% 17% 59% |
| Red cards | 0.08 0.00–0.24 0.00–0.39 | 0.14 0.00–0.33 0.00–0.46 | 0.22 0.00–0.57 0.00–0.85 | 81% |
| GK saves | 2.07 0.64–3.51 0.25–3.90 | 4.73 3.17–6.28 2.75–6.71 | 6.80 3.81–9.79 2.99–10.60 | 80% |
safe = prediction ± MAE · safer = ± RMSE of the serving model for that statistic. The bars show the model's own chance of each side recording more of that statistic — a Poisson approximation from the predicted rates, with the two teams treated as independent
Statistical estimates for information & entertainment only — not betting advice.18+

