Super League 1·Regular Season - 19·
Super League 1·Regular Season - 19·Predicted match statistics
Goals
18%
21%
61%
homeawaytotalprediction0.971.982.96safe0.00–1.941.13–2.841.13–4.78safer0.00–2.190.90–3.070.65–5.26
Shots on target
17%
72%
homeawaytotalprediction3.235.498.72safe1.37–5.093.74–7.235.11–12.32safer0.88–5.583.28–7.694.16–13.28
Total shots
86%
homeawaytotalprediction10.5416.6927.24safe6.62–14.4713.13–20.2619.75–34.73safer5.53–15.5612.17–21.2217.70–36.78
Shots in box
88%
homeawaytotalprediction5.6110.7316.33safe2.66–8.558.05–13.4110.71–21.96safer1.83–9.387.31–14.159.14–23.52
Blocked shots
23%
13%
64%
homeawaytotalprediction2.764.196.94safe0.87–4.642.53–5.843.41–10.48safer0.33–5.182.04–6.332.37–11.51
Corners
20%
69%
homeawaytotalprediction3.735.759.48safe1.52–5.943.75–7.755.27–13.70safer0.94–6.523.22–8.284.16–14.80
Possession %
13%
84%
homeawayprediction41.1659.14safe34.37–47.9652.36–65.93safer32.70–49.6250.68–67.60
Passes
16%
83%
homeawaytotalprediction380497877safe313–447430–563743–1010safer295–465413–581707–1046
Pass accuracy %
95%
homeawayprediction65.7478.80safe61.71–69.7774.47–83.12safer60.41–71.0673.16–84.43
Fouls
43%
50%
homeawaytotalprediction14.4214.9329.35safe11.58–17.2611.98–17.8723.56–35.13safer10.82–18.0111.23–18.6222.06–36.63
Offsides
27%
21%
52%
homeawaytotalprediction1.502.143.64safe0.34–2.661.05–3.231.38–5.89safer0.04–2.960.76–3.520.79–6.48
Yellow cards
45%
18%
36%
homeawaytotalprediction2.582.334.91safe1.54–3.631.20–3.462.74–7.09safer1.27–3.900.91–3.752.18–7.65
Red cards
14%
78%
homeawaytotalprediction0.170.110.27safe0.01–0.330.00–0.290.00–0.62safer0.00–0.480.00–0.430.00–0.90
GK saves
63%
15%
22%
homeawaytotalprediction3.532.245.76safe2.09–4.960.68–3.792.77–8.76safer1.70–5.350.26–4.221.96–9.57
| Stat | Homepred / safe / safer | Awaypred / safe / safer | Totalpred / safe / safer | Who wins |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Goals | 0.97 0.00–1.94 0.00–2.19 | 1.98 1.13–2.84 0.90–3.07 | 2.96 1.13–4.78 0.65–5.26 | 18% 21% 61% |
| Shots on target | 3.23 1.37–5.09 0.88–5.58 | 5.49 3.74–7.23 3.28–7.69 | 8.72 5.11–12.32 4.16–13.28 | 17% 72% |
| Total shots | 10.54 6.62–14.47 5.53–15.56 | 16.69 13.13–20.26 12.17–21.22 | 27.24 19.75–34.73 17.70–36.78 | 86% |
| Shots in box | 5.61 2.66–8.55 1.83–9.38 | 10.73 8.05–13.41 7.31–14.15 | 16.33 10.71–21.96 9.14–23.52 | 88% |
| Blocked shots | 2.76 0.87–4.64 0.33–5.18 | 4.19 2.53–5.84 2.04–6.33 | 6.94 3.41–10.48 2.37–11.51 | 23% 13% 64% |
| Corners | 3.73 1.52–5.94 0.94–6.52 | 5.75 3.75–7.75 3.22–8.28 | 9.48 5.27–13.70 4.16–14.80 | 20% 69% |
| Possession % | 41.16 34.37–47.96 32.70–49.62 | 59.14 52.36–65.93 50.68–67.60 | — | 13% 84% |
| Passes | 380 313–447 295–465 | 497 430–563 413–581 | 877 743–1010 707–1046 | 16% 83% |
| Pass accuracy % | 65.74 61.71–69.77 60.41–71.06 | 78.80 74.47–83.12 73.16–84.43 | — | 95% |
| Fouls | 14.42 11.58–17.26 10.82–18.01 | 14.93 11.98–17.87 11.23–18.62 | 29.35 23.56–35.13 22.06–36.63 | 43% 50% |
| Offsides | 1.50 0.34–2.66 0.04–2.96 | 2.14 1.05–3.23 0.76–3.52 | 3.64 1.38–5.89 0.79–6.48 | 27% 21% 52% |
| Yellow cards | 2.58 1.54–3.63 1.27–3.90 | 2.33 1.20–3.46 0.91–3.75 | 4.91 2.74–7.09 2.18–7.65 | 45% 18% 36% |
| Red cards | 0.17 0.01–0.33 0.00–0.48 | 0.11 0.00–0.29 0.00–0.43 | 0.27 0.00–0.62 0.00–0.90 | 14% 78% |
| GK saves | 3.53 2.09–4.96 1.70–5.35 | 2.24 0.68–3.79 0.26–4.22 | 5.76 2.77–8.76 1.96–9.57 | 63% 15% 22% |
safe = prediction ± MAE · safer = ± RMSE of the serving model for that statistic. The bars show the model's own chance of each side recording more of that statistic — a Poisson approximation from the predicted rates, with the two teams treated as independent
Statistical estimates for information & entertainment only — not betting advice.18+