Super League 1·Regular Season - 6·
Super League 1·Regular Season - 6·Predicted match statistics
Goals
61%
22%
17%
homeawaytotalprediction1.920.912.83safe0.95–2.890.06–1.771.01–4.66safer0.70–3.140.00–1.990.53–5.13
Shots on target
73%
16%
homeawaytotalprediction5.373.078.44safe3.51–7.231.33–4.824.84–12.05safer3.02–7.720.87–5.283.88–13.01
Total shots
86%
homeawaytotalprediction15.559.5725.12safe11.62–19.476.01–13.1417.63–32.61safer10.53–20.565.05–14.1015.58–34.66
Shots in box
81%
homeawaytotalprediction10.226.1216.34safe7.28–13.163.44–8.8010.72–21.97safer6.45–13.992.70–9.549.15–23.53
Blocked shots
63%
14%
22%
homeawaytotalprediction3.782.426.20safe1.90–5.660.76–4.072.66–9.73safer1.36–6.210.27–4.561.63–10.77
Corners
74%
16%
homeawaytotalprediction5.943.469.40safe3.73–8.151.46–5.465.19–13.61safer3.15–8.730.93–5.994.08–14.72
Possession %
65%
31%
homeawayprediction53.9046.42safe47.11–60.6939.63–53.20safer45.44–62.3637.96–54.87
Passes
69%
30%
homeawaytotalprediction403342745safe336–470275–408611–878safer318–488258–426575–914
Pass accuracy %
55%
40%
homeawayprediction69.7768.24safe65.74–73.8063.91–72.56safer64.45–75.0962.60–73.87
Fouls
49%
45%
homeawaytotalprediction17.2116.9334.14safe14.37–20.0513.98–19.8728.35–39.92safer13.62–20.8013.23–20.6226.85–41.42
Offsides
64%
17%
19%
homeawaytotalprediction2.701.444.14safe1.54–3.860.34–2.531.88–6.39safer1.24–4.160.06–2.821.29–6.98
Yellow cards
35%
16%
49%
homeawaytotalprediction2.753.205.95safe1.70–3.802.07–4.323.77–8.13safer1.44–4.071.78–4.623.21–8.68
Red cards
73%
17%
homeawaytotalprediction0.120.220.34safe0.00–0.280.03–0.400.00–0.68safer0.00–0.430.00–0.540.00–0.97
GK saves
24%
16%
61%
homeawaytotalprediction2.203.355.55safe0.77–3.641.79–4.912.56–8.54safer0.38–4.031.37–5.331.75–9.36
| Stat | Homepred / safe / safer | Awaypred / safe / safer | Totalpred / safe / safer | Who wins |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Goals | 1.92 0.95–2.89 0.70–3.14 | 0.91 0.06–1.77 0.00–1.99 | 2.83 1.01–4.66 0.53–5.13 | 61% 22% 17% |
| Shots on target | 5.37 3.51–7.23 3.02–7.72 | 3.07 1.33–4.82 0.87–5.28 | 8.44 4.84–12.05 3.88–13.01 | 73% 16% |
| Total shots | 15.55 11.62–19.47 10.53–20.56 | 9.57 6.01–13.14 5.05–14.10 | 25.12 17.63–32.61 15.58–34.66 | 86% |
| Shots in box | 10.22 7.28–13.16 6.45–13.99 | 6.12 3.44–8.80 2.70–9.54 | 16.34 10.72–21.97 9.15–23.53 | 81% |
| Blocked shots | 3.78 1.90–5.66 1.36–6.21 | 2.42 0.76–4.07 0.27–4.56 | 6.20 2.66–9.73 1.63–10.77 | 63% 14% 22% |
| Corners | 5.94 3.73–8.15 3.15–8.73 | 3.46 1.46–5.46 0.93–5.99 | 9.40 5.19–13.61 4.08–14.72 | 74% 16% |
| Possession % | 53.90 47.11–60.69 45.44–62.36 | 46.42 39.63–53.20 37.96–54.87 | — | 65% 31% |
| Passes | 403 336–470 318–488 | 342 275–408 258–426 | 745 611–878 575–914 | 69% 30% |
| Pass accuracy % | 69.77 65.74–73.80 64.45–75.09 | 68.24 63.91–72.56 62.60–73.87 | — | 55% 40% |
| Fouls | 17.21 14.37–20.05 13.62–20.80 | 16.93 13.98–19.87 13.23–20.62 | 34.14 28.35–39.92 26.85–41.42 | 49% 45% |
| Offsides | 2.70 1.54–3.86 1.24–4.16 | 1.44 0.34–2.53 0.06–2.82 | 4.14 1.88–6.39 1.29–6.98 | 64% 17% 19% |
| Yellow cards | 2.75 1.70–3.80 1.44–4.07 | 3.20 2.07–4.32 1.78–4.62 | 5.95 3.77–8.13 3.21–8.68 | 35% 16% 49% |
| Red cards | 0.12 0.00–0.28 0.00–0.43 | 0.22 0.03–0.40 0.00–0.54 | 0.34 0.00–0.68 0.00–0.97 | 73% 17% |
| GK saves | 2.20 0.77–3.64 0.38–4.03 | 3.35 1.79–4.91 1.37–5.33 | 5.55 2.56–8.54 1.75–9.36 | 24% 16% 61% |
safe = prediction ± MAE · safer = ± RMSE of the serving model for that statistic. The bars show the model's own chance of each side recording more of that statistic — a Poisson approximation from the predicted rates, with the two teams treated as independent
Statistical estimates for information & entertainment only — not betting advice.