Super League 1·Regular Season - 17·
Super League 1·Regular Season - 17·Predicted match statistics
Goals
27%
26%
48%
homeawaytotalprediction1.061.512.58safe0.10–2.030.66–2.370.76–4.40safer0.00–2.280.43–2.600.28–4.88
Shots on target
34%
14%
52%
homeawaytotalprediction3.674.317.98safe1.80–5.532.57–6.054.37–11.58safer1.32–6.022.10–6.523.42–12.54
Total shots
34%
58%
homeawaytotalprediction11.4312.9524.38safe7.50–15.359.39–16.5116.89–31.87safer6.41–16.458.43–17.4714.84–33.92
Shots in box
33%
57%
homeawaytotalprediction6.697.8614.55safe3.75–9.635.18–10.548.93–20.17safer2.92–10.464.44–11.287.36–21.74
Blocked shots
41%
17%
42%
homeawaytotalprediction2.872.915.78safe0.99–4.751.25–4.562.24–9.31safer0.44–5.290.76–5.051.20–10.35
Corners
34%
53%
homeawaytotalprediction4.275.019.28safe2.06–6.493.01–7.015.07–13.50safer1.48–7.062.48–7.543.96–14.60
Possession %
43%
52%
homeawayprediction49.7051.76safe42.91–56.4944.97–58.54safer41.24–58.1643.30–60.21
Passes
42%
58%
homeawaytotalprediction362386748safe295–429319–452614–882safer277–447302–470579–917
Pass accuracy %
28%
67%
homeawayprediction66.2670.25safe62.23–70.2965.93–74.58safer60.94–71.5964.62–75.88
Fouls
42%
51%
homeawaytotalprediction16.8717.4934.36safe14.03–19.7114.55–20.4428.58–40.14safer13.27–20.4613.80–21.1927.08–41.65
Offsides
21%
18%
61%
homeawaytotalprediction1.462.544.00safe0.30–2.621.45–3.641.75–6.25safer0.00–2.921.16–3.921.16–6.84
Yellow cards
41%
17%
42%
homeawaytotalprediction2.872.925.79safe1.82–3.921.79–4.053.61–7.97safer1.55–4.191.50–4.343.06–8.53
Red cards
17%
71%
homeawaytotalprediction0.220.160.37safe0.06–0.380.00–0.340.02–0.72safer0.00–0.530.00–0.470.00–1.00
GK saves
46%
17%
37%
homeawaytotalprediction2.852.585.43safe1.42–4.291.02–4.132.44–8.42safer1.03–4.670.60–4.561.63–9.23
| Stat | Homepred / safe / safer | Awaypred / safe / safer | Totalpred / safe / safer | Who wins |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Goals | 1.06 0.10–2.03 0.00–2.28 | 1.51 0.66–2.37 0.43–2.60 | 2.58 0.76–4.40 0.28–4.88 | 27% 26% 48% |
| Shots on target | 3.67 1.80–5.53 1.32–6.02 | 4.31 2.57–6.05 2.10–6.52 | 7.98 4.37–11.58 3.42–12.54 | 34% 14% 52% |
| Total shots | 11.43 7.50–15.35 6.41–16.45 | 12.95 9.39–16.51 8.43–17.47 | 24.38 16.89–31.87 14.84–33.92 | 34% 58% |
| Shots in box | 6.69 3.75–9.63 2.92–10.46 | 7.86 5.18–10.54 4.44–11.28 | 14.55 8.93–20.17 7.36–21.74 | 33% 57% |
| Blocked shots | 2.87 0.99–4.75 0.44–5.29 | 2.91 1.25–4.56 0.76–5.05 | 5.78 2.24–9.31 1.20–10.35 | 41% 17% 42% |
| Corners | 4.27 2.06–6.49 1.48–7.06 | 5.01 3.01–7.01 2.48–7.54 | 9.28 5.07–13.50 3.96–14.60 | 34% 53% |
| Possession % | 49.70 42.91–56.49 41.24–58.16 | 51.76 44.97–58.54 43.30–60.21 | — | 43% 52% |
| Passes | 362 295–429 277–447 | 386 319–452 302–470 | 748 614–882 579–917 | 42% 58% |
| Pass accuracy % | 66.26 62.23–70.29 60.94–71.59 | 70.25 65.93–74.58 64.62–75.88 | — | 28% 67% |
| Fouls | 16.87 14.03–19.71 13.27–20.46 | 17.49 14.55–20.44 13.80–21.19 | 34.36 28.58–40.14 27.08–41.65 | 42% 51% |
| Offsides | 1.46 0.30–2.62 0.00–2.92 | 2.54 1.45–3.64 1.16–3.92 | 4.00 1.75–6.25 1.16–6.84 | 21% 18% 61% |
| Yellow cards | 2.87 1.82–3.92 1.55–4.19 | 2.92 1.79–4.05 1.50–4.34 | 5.79 3.61–7.97 3.06–8.53 | 41% 17% 42% |
| Red cards | 0.22 0.06–0.38 0.00–0.53 | 0.16 0.00–0.34 0.00–0.47 | 0.37 0.02–0.72 0.00–1.00 | 17% 71% |
| GK saves | 2.85 1.42–4.29 1.03–4.67 | 2.58 1.02–4.13 0.60–4.56 | 5.43 2.44–8.42 1.63–9.23 | 46% 17% 37% |
safe = prediction ± MAE · safer = ± RMSE of the serving model for that statistic. The bars show the model's own chance of each side recording more of that statistic — a Poisson approximation from the predicted rates, with the two teams treated as independent
Statistical estimates for information & entertainment only — not betting advice.18+