Super League 1·Regular Season - 6·
Super League 1·Regular Season - 6·Predicted match statistics
Goals
45%
27%
29%
homeawaytotalprediction1.381.052.43safe0.42–2.350.20–1.900.61–4.26safer0.16–2.600.00–2.130.13–4.74
Shots on target
50%
14%
36%
homeawaytotalprediction4.453.938.39safe2.59–6.322.19–5.674.78–11.99safer2.10–6.811.72–6.143.83–12.95
Total shots
51%
41%
homeawaytotalprediction12.6812.0824.76safe8.76–16.618.52–15.6417.28–32.25safer7.67–17.707.56–16.6015.23–34.30
Shots in box
63%
28%
homeawaytotalprediction9.247.4016.64safe6.30–12.184.72–10.0811.02–22.26safer5.47–13.013.98–10.829.45–23.83
Blocked shots
44%
16%
40%
homeawaytotalprediction3.223.076.28safe1.33–5.101.41–4.722.75–9.82safer0.79–5.640.92–5.211.71–10.85
Corners
60%
28%
homeawaytotalprediction5.444.149.58safe3.23–7.662.14–6.145.37–13.80safer2.66–8.231.61–6.674.26–14.90
Possession %
38%
58%
homeawayprediction48.0752.42safe41.28–54.8645.63–59.20safer39.61–56.5343.96–60.87
Passes
38%
62%
homeawaytotalprediction370407776safe302–437340–473643–910safer284–455323–491607–946
Pass accuracy %
20%
76%
homeawayprediction63.7569.72safe59.72–67.7865.40–74.05safer58.42–69.0764.09–75.36
Fouls
59%
34%
homeawaytotalprediction16.8215.0531.87safe13.98–19.6612.11–18.0026.09–37.65safer13.23–20.4211.36–18.7424.59–39.16
Offsides
48%
23%
29%
homeawaytotalprediction1.871.403.27safe0.70–3.030.31–2.491.01–5.52safer0.40–3.330.02–2.780.42–6.11
Yellow cards
39%
19%
43%
homeawaytotalprediction2.342.454.79safe1.29–3.391.32–3.582.62–6.97safer1.03–3.661.03–3.872.06–7.53
Red cards
80%
homeawaytotalprediction0.110.130.24safe0.00–0.270.00–0.320.00–0.59safer0.00–0.420.00–0.450.00–0.87
GK saves
37%
18%
45%
homeawaytotalprediction2.592.825.42safe1.16–4.031.27–4.382.43–8.41safer0.77–4.420.84–4.801.61–9.22
| Stat | Homepred / safe / safer | Awaypred / safe / safer | Totalpred / safe / safer | Who wins |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Goals | 1.38 0.42–2.35 0.16–2.60 | 1.05 0.20–1.90 0.00–2.13 | 2.43 0.61–4.26 0.13–4.74 | 45% 27% 29% |
| Shots on target | 4.45 2.59–6.32 2.10–6.81 | 3.93 2.19–5.67 1.72–6.14 | 8.39 4.78–11.99 3.83–12.95 | 50% 14% 36% |
| Total shots | 12.68 8.76–16.61 7.67–17.70 | 12.08 8.52–15.64 7.56–16.60 | 24.76 17.28–32.25 15.23–34.30 | 51% 41% |
| Shots in box | 9.24 6.30–12.18 5.47–13.01 | 7.40 4.72–10.08 3.98–10.82 | 16.64 11.02–22.26 9.45–23.83 | 63% 28% |
| Blocked shots | 3.22 1.33–5.10 0.79–5.64 | 3.07 1.41–4.72 0.92–5.21 | 6.28 2.75–9.82 1.71–10.85 | 44% 16% 40% |
| Corners | 5.44 3.23–7.66 2.66–8.23 | 4.14 2.14–6.14 1.61–6.67 | 9.58 5.37–13.80 4.26–14.90 | 60% 28% |
| Possession % | 48.07 41.28–54.86 39.61–56.53 | 52.42 45.63–59.20 43.96–60.87 | — | 38% 58% |
| Passes | 370 302–437 284–455 | 407 340–473 323–491 | 776 643–910 607–946 | 38% 62% |
| Pass accuracy % | 63.75 59.72–67.78 58.42–69.07 | 69.72 65.40–74.05 64.09–75.36 | — | 20% 76% |
| Fouls | 16.82 13.98–19.66 13.23–20.42 | 15.05 12.11–18.00 11.36–18.74 | 31.87 26.09–37.65 24.59–39.16 | 59% 34% |
| Offsides | 1.87 0.70–3.03 0.40–3.33 | 1.40 0.31–2.49 0.02–2.78 | 3.27 1.01–5.52 0.42–6.11 | 48% 23% 29% |
| Yellow cards | 2.34 1.29–3.39 1.03–3.66 | 2.45 1.32–3.58 1.03–3.87 | 4.79 2.62–6.97 2.06–7.53 | 39% 19% 43% |
| Red cards | 0.11 0.00–0.27 0.00–0.42 | 0.13 0.00–0.32 0.00–0.45 | 0.24 0.00–0.59 0.00–0.87 | 80% |
| GK saves | 2.59 1.16–4.03 0.77–4.42 | 2.82 1.27–4.38 0.84–4.80 | 5.42 2.43–8.41 1.61–9.22 | 37% 18% 45% |
safe = prediction ± MAE · safer = ± RMSE of the serving model for that statistic. The bars show the model's own chance of each side recording more of that statistic — a Poisson approximation from the predicted rates, with the two teams treated as independent
Statistical estimates for information & entertainment only — not betting advice.