Super League 1·Regular Season - 26·
Super League 1·Regular Season - 26·Predicted match statistics
Goals
41%
26%
33%
homeawaytotalprediction1.431.252.68safe0.46–2.400.40–2.110.86–4.50safer0.21–2.650.17–2.330.38–4.98
Shots on target
51%
14%
35%
homeawaytotalprediction4.543.938.47safe2.68–6.402.19–5.674.86–12.07safer2.19–6.891.72–6.143.91–13.03
Total shots
69%
24%
homeawaytotalprediction14.3011.2325.54safe10.38–18.237.67–14.8018.05–33.02safer9.28–19.326.71–15.7616.00–35.07
Shots in box
52%
39%
homeawaytotalprediction8.407.7416.14safe5.46–11.345.06–10.4210.51–21.76safer4.63–12.174.32–11.168.95–23.33
Blocked shots
62%
14%
24%
homeawaytotalprediction4.012.716.72safe2.12–5.891.06–4.363.18–10.25safer1.58–6.430.57–4.862.15–11.29
Corners
51%
36%
homeawaytotalprediction5.074.519.59safe2.86–7.292.51–6.515.37–13.80safer2.29–7.861.98–7.054.27–14.91
Possession %
69%
27%
homeawayprediction54.9045.30safe48.11–61.6938.52–52.08safer46.44–63.3636.84–53.76
Passes
79%
21%
homeawaytotalprediction445349794safe378–512282–415660–927safer360–530265–433624–963
Pass accuracy %
44%
51%
homeawayprediction66.6267.36safe62.59–70.6563.03–71.68safer61.30–71.9461.72–72.99
Fouls
33%
61%
homeawaytotalprediction14.1516.1330.28safe11.32–16.9913.18–19.0724.50–36.06safer10.56–17.7512.43–19.8222.99–37.57
Offsides
36%
23%
41%
homeawaytotalprediction1.611.733.35safe0.45–2.770.64–2.831.09–5.60safer0.15–3.080.35–3.110.50–6.19
Yellow cards
40%
20%
40%
homeawaytotalprediction2.182.174.35safe1.13–3.231.05–3.302.17–6.53safer0.86–3.490.75–3.591.62–7.09
Red cards
81%
homeawaytotalprediction0.090.130.22safe0.00–0.250.00–0.320.00–0.57safer0.00–0.400.00–0.450.00–0.85
GK saves
33%
17%
50%
homeawaytotalprediction2.613.135.74safe1.17–4.041.58–4.692.75–8.73safer0.78–4.431.15–5.121.94–9.54
| Stat | Homepred / safe / safer | Awaypred / safe / safer | Totalpred / safe / safer | Who wins |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Goals | 1.43 0.46–2.40 0.21–2.65 | 1.25 0.40–2.11 0.17–2.33 | 2.68 0.86–4.50 0.38–4.98 | 41% 26% 33% |
| Shots on target | 4.54 2.68–6.40 2.19–6.89 | 3.93 2.19–5.67 1.72–6.14 | 8.47 4.86–12.07 3.91–13.03 | 51% 14% 35% |
| Total shots | 14.30 10.38–18.23 9.28–19.32 | 11.23 7.67–14.80 6.71–15.76 | 25.54 18.05–33.02 16.00–35.07 | 69% 24% |
| Shots in box | 8.40 5.46–11.34 4.63–12.17 | 7.74 5.06–10.42 4.32–11.16 | 16.14 10.51–21.76 8.95–23.33 | 52% 39% |
| Blocked shots | 4.01 2.12–5.89 1.58–6.43 | 2.71 1.06–4.36 0.57–4.86 | 6.72 3.18–10.25 2.15–11.29 | 62% 14% 24% |
| Corners | 5.07 2.86–7.29 2.29–7.86 | 4.51 2.51–6.51 1.98–7.05 | 9.59 5.37–13.80 4.27–14.91 | 51% 36% |
| Possession % | 54.90 48.11–61.69 46.44–63.36 | 45.30 38.52–52.08 36.84–53.76 | — | 69% 27% |
| Passes | 445 378–512 360–530 | 349 282–415 265–433 | 794 660–927 624–963 | 79% 21% |
| Pass accuracy % | 66.62 62.59–70.65 61.30–71.94 | 67.36 63.03–71.68 61.72–72.99 | — | 44% 51% |
| Fouls | 14.15 11.32–16.99 10.56–17.75 | 16.13 13.18–19.07 12.43–19.82 | 30.28 24.50–36.06 22.99–37.57 | 33% 61% |
| Offsides | 1.61 0.45–2.77 0.15–3.08 | 1.73 0.64–2.83 0.35–3.11 | 3.35 1.09–5.60 0.50–6.19 | 36% 23% 41% |
| Yellow cards | 2.18 1.13–3.23 0.86–3.49 | 2.17 1.05–3.30 0.75–3.59 | 4.35 2.17–6.53 1.62–7.09 | 40% 20% 40% |
| Red cards | 0.09 0.00–0.25 0.00–0.40 | 0.13 0.00–0.32 0.00–0.45 | 0.22 0.00–0.57 0.00–0.85 | 81% |
| GK saves | 2.61 1.17–4.04 0.78–4.43 | 3.13 1.58–4.69 1.15–5.12 | 5.74 2.75–8.73 1.94–9.54 | 33% 17% 50% |
safe = prediction ± MAE · safer = ± RMSE of the serving model for that statistic. The bars show the model's own chance of each side recording more of that statistic — a Poisson approximation from the predicted rates, with the two teams treated as independent
Statistical estimates for information & entertainment only — not betting advice.