Super League 1·Regular Season - 6·
Super League 1·Regular Season - 6·Predicted match statistics
Goals
28%
28%
44%
homeawaytotalprediction1.001.332.33safe0.04–1.970.47–2.180.51–4.16safer0.00–2.220.25–2.410.03–4.63
Shots on target
35%
14%
51%
homeawaytotalprediction3.724.328.04safe1.86–5.582.58–6.064.43–11.64safer1.37–6.072.11–6.533.48–12.60
Total shots
40%
51%
homeawaytotalprediction11.7312.4124.14safe7.81–15.668.85–15.9816.66–31.63safer6.71–16.757.89–16.9414.61–33.68
Shots in box
33%
57%
homeawaytotalprediction6.567.7514.31safe3.62–9.505.07–10.438.69–19.93safer2.79–10.334.33–11.177.12–21.50
Blocked shots
46%
17%
37%
homeawaytotalprediction2.942.685.62safe1.06–4.821.03–4.332.08–9.15safer0.51–5.360.54–4.831.05–10.19
Corners
36%
51%
homeawaytotalprediction4.425.019.43safe2.20–6.633.01–7.015.21–13.64safer1.63–7.202.48–7.544.11–14.75
Possession %
46%
49%
homeawayprediction50.3250.94safe43.53–57.1144.16–57.73safer41.86–58.7842.49–59.40
Passes
46%
54%
homeawaytotalprediction396409806safe329–464343–476672–939safer311–482325–493636–975
Pass accuracy %
27%
68%
homeawayprediction66.7770.91safe62.74–70.8066.59–75.24safer61.45–72.0965.28–76.55
Fouls
46%
47%
homeawaytotalprediction15.9816.0832.06safe13.14–18.8213.13–19.0226.28–37.84safer12.39–19.5812.38–19.7724.77–39.35
Offsides
23%
18%
58%
homeawaytotalprediction1.642.604.24safe0.48–2.801.50–3.691.99–6.49safer0.18–3.111.21–3.981.40–7.08
Yellow cards
36%
18%
46%
homeawaytotalprediction2.402.715.12safe1.35–3.451.58–3.842.94–7.29safer1.09–3.721.29–4.132.38–7.85
Red cards
80%
homeawaytotalprediction0.100.140.24safe0.00–0.260.00–0.330.00–0.59safer0.00–0.410.00–0.460.00–0.87
GK saves
46%
17%
36%
homeawaytotalprediction2.902.595.50safe1.47–4.341.04–4.152.51–8.49safer1.08–4.730.61–4.581.69–9.30
| Stat | Homepred / safe / safer | Awaypred / safe / safer | Totalpred / safe / safer | Who wins |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Goals | 1.00 0.04–1.97 0.00–2.22 | 1.33 0.47–2.18 0.25–2.41 | 2.33 0.51–4.16 0.03–4.63 | 28% 28% 44% |
| Shots on target | 3.72 1.86–5.58 1.37–6.07 | 4.32 2.58–6.06 2.11–6.53 | 8.04 4.43–11.64 3.48–12.60 | 35% 14% 51% |
| Total shots | 11.73 7.81–15.66 6.71–16.75 | 12.41 8.85–15.98 7.89–16.94 | 24.14 16.66–31.63 14.61–33.68 | 40% 51% |
| Shots in box | 6.56 3.62–9.50 2.79–10.33 | 7.75 5.07–10.43 4.33–11.17 | 14.31 8.69–19.93 7.12–21.50 | 33% 57% |
| Blocked shots | 2.94 1.06–4.82 0.51–5.36 | 2.68 1.03–4.33 0.54–4.83 | 5.62 2.08–9.15 1.05–10.19 | 46% 17% 37% |
| Corners | 4.42 2.20–6.63 1.63–7.20 | 5.01 3.01–7.01 2.48–7.54 | 9.43 5.21–13.64 4.11–14.75 | 36% 51% |
| Possession % | 50.32 43.53–57.11 41.86–58.78 | 50.94 44.16–57.73 42.49–59.40 | — | 46% 49% |
| Passes | 396 329–464 311–482 | 409 343–476 325–493 | 806 672–939 636–975 | 46% 54% |
| Pass accuracy % | 66.77 62.74–70.80 61.45–72.09 | 70.91 66.59–75.24 65.28–76.55 | — | 27% 68% |
| Fouls | 15.98 13.14–18.82 12.39–19.58 | 16.08 13.13–19.02 12.38–19.77 | 32.06 26.28–37.84 24.77–39.35 | 46% 47% |
| Offsides | 1.64 0.48–2.80 0.18–3.11 | 2.60 1.50–3.69 1.21–3.98 | 4.24 1.99–6.49 1.40–7.08 | 23% 18% 58% |
| Yellow cards | 2.40 1.35–3.45 1.09–3.72 | 2.71 1.58–3.84 1.29–4.13 | 5.12 2.94–7.29 2.38–7.85 | 36% 18% 46% |
| Red cards | 0.10 0.00–0.26 0.00–0.41 | 0.14 0.00–0.33 0.00–0.46 | 0.24 0.00–0.59 0.00–0.87 | 80% |
| GK saves | 2.90 1.47–4.34 1.08–4.73 | 2.59 1.04–4.15 0.61–4.58 | 5.50 2.51–8.49 1.69–9.30 | 46% 17% 36% |
safe = prediction ± MAE · safer = ± RMSE of the serving model for that statistic. The bars show the model's own chance of each side recording more of that statistic — a Poisson approximation from the predicted rates, with the two teams treated as independent
Statistical estimates for information & entertainment only — not betting advice.18+